475 North Ave · Chevy Chase Heights, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great 4 bedroom, 2 full bath home conveniently located between the Indiana Area Jr. and Sr. High School's. This 2 story home features a converted bonus room on the main floor to a master bedroom. 3 additional bedrooms located on the second floor. Eat-in kitchen with all appliances included. Two full baths, one located on each floor. This home would make a great starter home, families with children are within walking distance to the schools, or a rental home for an investor. Many possibilities located at 475 North Ave!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- 4,543 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2 stories; Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Construction: Built with vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Resale condition
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stove; Some electric appliances
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $110 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,142 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Indiana Area SD (town): math 49% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #96 of 539 in PA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 44 units permitted in Indiana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indiana County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $100k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.74%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $182,784
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 896 Fairman Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,306 (-3%) | 5mo | $191,000 | $146 | 70 |
| 123 North Carpenter Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,360 (+1%) | 9mo | $94,000 | $69 | 65 |
| 367 Washington St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (0%) | 4mo | $169,000 | $126 | 63 |
| 265 Charles St | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,431 (+6%) | 7mo | $202,000 | $141 | 63 |
| 270 Charles St | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,144 (-15%) | 6mo | $149,000 | $130 | 57 |
| 790 White Farm Rd | 0.42mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,500 (+12%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $193 | 56 |
| 107 N Second St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,228 (-9%) | 7mo | $162,000 | $132 | 53 |
| 315 Church St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,287 (-4%) | 10mo | $131,000 | $102 | 52 |
| 22 Stevenson Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (+2%) | 9mo | $221,450 | $161 | 52 |
| 440 School St | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,404 (+4%) | 12mo | $215,000 | $153 | 50 |
| 1109 Chestnut St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,319 (-2%) | 10mo | $179,900 | $136 | 49 |
| 410 Washington St | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,256 (-6%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $40 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-9,139
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,158
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15701
- Home prices YoY
- -26.2%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,012 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $110
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 561 Water St Unit First Floor Indiana, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 245 S 7th St Indiana, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $839 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 207 S 10th St Indiana, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $1,100 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 845 W Maple St unit 845 Maple St 13 A Indiana, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $550 | $0.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1227 W Maple St Indiana, PA | 2.0–5.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 990 | $450 | $0.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-07$99,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,485 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,532 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$47/yr (+$4/mo · 3.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$972
- − Management
- −$972
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable loss
- −$283
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$68
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,393/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indiana Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212150
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,558
- Composite
- 48.44/100
- National rank
- #2133
- State rank
- #96 of 539 in PA
Livability — Chevy Chase Heights
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #1142
- US rank
- #13096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chevy Chase Heights, PA
- County
- Indiana County · 31,269 people
- Metro
- Indiana, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,269
- Household income
- $56,311
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1590.0
Population outlook (Indiana County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,294 people
- By 2030
- 81,773 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 75,213 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 69,348 · -17.7%
- By 2075
- 57,951 · -31.3%
- By 2100
- 47,313 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Serbian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indiana
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.1) · D 30.1% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.0pp toward R · 2008: -7.1pp · 2024: -39.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.1 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+35.6 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.33%
- Current HPI
- 167.0982
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Indiana, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+54.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $99,900 West Penn MLS
- 2024-04-29 Sold (MLS) $41,000 West Penn MLS
- 2024-04-03 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2024-03-24 Price Changed $49,900 West Penn MLS
- 2024-03-24 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2024-02-08 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2023-09-19 Listed $65,000 West Penn MLS
- 2012-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
- 2012-09-17 Sold (MLS) $64,500 West Penn MLS
- 2012-09-17 Price Changed $68,000 West Penn MLS
- 2012-07-06 Listed $64,500 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,485 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…