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813 County Highway 122
A- Composite 80.1
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$70,000

813 County Highway 122 · Gloversville, NY 12078
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1930 Poor condition 2.20 ac lot $75/sqft · 63% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Calling all INVESTORS. This is an estate and is being sold as is. 2.2 acres. ..

Key facts

  • Lots of potential
  • Estate
  • 2.2 acres

Tags

2.2 ACRESESTATELOTS OF POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#70 in NY, #1,048 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
  • Gloversville City School District (town): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #565 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Gloversville Middle School (math 6% / reading 35%, grade F, #664 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 548 students, 70% FRL); Gloversville High School (math 82% / reading 77%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 697 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gloversville City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 289 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $70k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,900 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
11.15%
Cash-on-cash
17.35%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$189,671
List price
$70,000
Delta
-63.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
600 State Highway 309 0.70mi 2/1.0 900 (-4%) 10mo $168,400 $187 53
325 Bleecker St 1.49mi 2/1.0 1,000 (+7%) 16mo $110,000 $110 41
40-42 Lee Ave 1.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 832 (-11%) 6mo $189,920 $228 37
667 County Hwy 122 0.66mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,013 (+8%) 26mo $150,000 $148 29
180 W State St 0.88mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,053 (+12%) 25mo $95,000 $90 19
45 W State St 1.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,166 (+25%) 33mo $189,000 $162 15

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.2%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$56,283
Equity at exit
$63,062
10-year hold
IRR
32.1%
Equity multiple
8.74×
Total profit
$151,766
Equity at exit
$135,995

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12078

Home prices YoY
12.2%
Active inventory
289
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,159 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$236 /mo · $2,827/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$283

Break-even live

Break-even rent $800
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $323 -5% $303 +0% $283 +5% $264 +10% $244
Rent -10% $192 -5% $238 +0% $283 +5% $329 +10% $375
Rate -1.0pp $319 -0.5pp $301 base $283 +0.5pp $265 +1.0pp $247

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    days on market $70,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-09-20
    days on market $70,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-09-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-09-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-09-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-09-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-09-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-09-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-09-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-09-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-09-11
    days on market $70,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-09-05
    days on market $70,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-09-04
    days on market $70,000 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-09-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-09-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-08-30
    days on market $70,000 Active 27 DOM
  17. 2026-08-29
    days on market $70,000 Active 26 DOM
  18. 2026-08-28
    days on market $70,000 Active 25 DOM
  19. 2026-08-27
    days on market $70,000 Active 24 DOM
  20. 2026-08-25
    days on market $70,000 Active 22 DOM
  21. 2026-08-24
    days on market $70,000 Active 21 DOM
  22. 2026-08-23
    days on market $70,000 Active 20 DOM
  23. 2026-08-22
    days on market $70,000 Active 19 DOM
  24. 2026-08-21
    days on market $70,000 Active 18 DOM
  25. 2026-08-20
    days on market $70,000 Active 17 DOM
  26. 2026-08-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 16 DOM
  27. 2026-08-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 15 DOM
  28. 2026-08-17
    status $70,000 Active 14 DOM
  29. 2026-02-27
    status Pending
  30. 2026-02-13
    listed $70,000 Active
  31. 2000-05-17
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,827 · $236/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,827 · $236/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥93°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,902
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$2,827
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,112
− Management
−$1,112
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$2,544
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$610
After-tax cash flow
$2,791/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab Est. rehab $46,800–$84,240 screening

This property requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant work is needed on the roof, exterior, flooring, and bathrooms to increase its resale and rental value.

Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof) — Significant snow accumulation and potential ice dam formation
  • Major Windows (windows) — Visible ice dams and potential water damage
  • Major Electrical (electrical) — Exposed wiring and potential electrical hazards
  • Major Plumbing (plumbing) — Frozen pipes and potential water damage
  • Major Exterior (exterior) — Significant snow accumulation and potential structural damage

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Significant snow accumulation
  • Major exterior siding — Snow accumulation and potential water damage
  • Major flooring — Worn and in need of replacement
  • Major interior walls — Peeling paint and potential structural issues
  • Major bathrooms — Cluttered and in disrepair

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting and updating the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Flooring replacement — Improves living space and value
  • Both Roof repair — Prevents water damage and enhances value
  • Both Exterior siding repair — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Bathroom renovation — Improves functionality and value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 50/100

Zoned Schools

Middle Gloversville Middle School F NY #664/729 Nat'l #11,564/14,009 High Gloversville High School A- NY #518/1,100 Nat'l #1,121/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gloversville City School District
NCES district ID
3612270
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$36,775
Composite
28.2/100
National rank
#6806
State rank
#565 of 590 in NY
A Composite livability gradescore 82/100

Livability — Gloversville

Score
82/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#1048

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Fulton · 51,132 people
Population (ZIP)
23,087
Household income
$54,565
Rent vs Own
38.6% rent · 61.4% own
Severe rent burden
9% of renters

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
51,132 people
By 2030
49,114 · -3.9%
By 2040
44,373 · -13.2%
By 2050
39,321 · -23.1%
By 2075
28,503 · -44.3%
By 2100
19,268 · -62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 32.1% · R 67.9%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+31.4 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+84.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-27 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $70,000 Global MLS
  • 2000-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,827 · +351.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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