1904 Crystal Ct · Wylie, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$449,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BEAUTIFUL Former MODEL HOME on corner, culdesac lot! Gorgeous Hardwood floors entry, powder bath, kitch & family rm. Upgraded ceramic tile in all wet areas, upgraded NEW carpet & pad, Stainless app incl Fridge, Corian c-tops, tumb travertine bksp & butlers pantry. Master suite downstairs with garden tub, seperate shower & huge walk-in closet! Enjoy this wonderful backyard with huge covered patio, & covered balcony above! Freshly painted interior!
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Grand staircase
- Versatile bonus room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, Fixed and VA loans; Exclusions: all TVs, TV mounts & patio furniture
- HOA & community: Mandatory association; Annual association fee of $525; HOA covers grounds maintenance and management fees
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener (garage faces front); Covered parking for 2; Additional driveway parking and on-street parking
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence (attached); Two levels; Built in 2004; Smart home features present
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Covered porch(es); Balcony; Gutters; Fenced yard with privacy wood fencing; Corner lot in a cul-de-sac; Landscaped yard with large grassy backyard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on level 1 with ensuite bath and walk-in closet(s); Additional bedrooms on level 2
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Primary bath features dual sinks, ensuite bath, and separate shower
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Decorative lighting; Double vanity; Eat-in kitchen; Flat screen wiring; High-speed internet available; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings; Two living areas; One dining area; 12 total rooms; Fireplace (living room, wood burning)
- Laundry & utility: Utility room; Full-size washer/dryer area; Laundry room on level 1
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $449k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-211 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $412k (8.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $398k (11.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $398k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.0% in Wylie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#419 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Wylie ISD (suburban): math 64% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #28 of 826 in TX (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Rita Smith El (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #199 of 4,322 statewide, top 5%, 521 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 23% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 700 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($122k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($436k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.01%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $488,160
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1703 Stonecrest Trl | 0.28mi | 4/3.0 | 3,006 (-2%) | 3mo | $560,000 | $186 | 80 |
| 1925 Fountain Spray Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 3,051 (0%) | 4mo | $469,900 | $154 | 80 |
| 1903 Stonecrest Trl | 0.47mi | 4/3.0 | 3,070 (+1%) | 11mo | $644,000 | $210 | 66 |
| 1702 Stoneglen Dr | 0.48mi | 4/2.5 | 2,828 (-7%) | 1mo | $525,000 | $186 | 65 |
| 1209 Maritime Ln | 0.50mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,928 (-4%) | 1mo | $410,000 | $140 | 64 |
| 1517 Windward Ln | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 | 2,708 (-11%) | 11mo | $420,000 | $155 | 62 |
| 1622 Hightimber Ln | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 2,680 (-12%) | 10mo | $430,000 | $160 | 59 |
| 1206 Starpoint Ln | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 | 2,709 (-11%) | 3mo | $405,000 | $150 | 58 |
| 2005 Stonecrest Trl | 0.51mi | 4/3.0 | 3,200 (+5%) | 10mo | $525,000 | $164 | 58 |
| 1710 Stonecrest Trl | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 2,611 (-14%) | 7mo | $450,000 | $172 | 55 |
| 1900 Three Fountains Rd | 0.42mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 3,364 (+10%) | 5mo | $515,000 | $153 | 48 |
| 1410 Summerdale Ln | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 | 3,374 (+11%) | 9mo | $385,000 | $114 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-97,655
- Equity at exit
- $66,947
- IRR
- -30.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.17×
- Total profit
- $-146,574
- Equity at exit
- $38,821
Cash invested: $125,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75098
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 700
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,983 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,355
- Tax from tax record
- −$772 /mo · $9,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$187
- HOA
- −$44
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$836
- Net cashflow
- $-211
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,250
- Closing costs
- $13,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2309 Parker Rd Wylie, TX | 5.0 | 4.5 | 4225 | $5,900 | $1.40 | 1d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1712 Silvery Canoe Way Wylie, TX | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3862 | $3,700 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $44 · $528/yr
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $449,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $449,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $449,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $449,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $449,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $449,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $449,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $449,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $449,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-04-25$449,000 Active
-
2013-12-16soldstatus Closed 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
BEAUTIFUL Former MODEL HOME on corner, culdesac lot! Gorgeous Hardwood floors entry, powder bath, kitch & family rm. Upgraded ceramic tile in all wet areas, upgraded NEW carpet & pad, Stainless app incl Fridge, Corian c-tops, tumb travertine bksp & butlers pantry. Master suite downstairs with garden tub, seperate shower & huge walk-in closet! Enjoy this wonderful backyard with huge covered patio, & covered balcony above! Freshly painted interior!
-
2013-12-10status Pending 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
BEAUTIFUL Former MODEL HOME on corner, culdesac lot! Gorgeous Hardwood floors entry, powder bath, kitch & family rm. Upgraded ceramic tile in all wet areas, upgraded NEW carpet & pad, Stainless app incl Fridge, Corian c-tops, tumb travertine bksp & butlers pantry. Master suite downstairs with garden tub, seperate shower & huge walk-in closet! Enjoy this wonderful backyard with huge covered patio, & covered balcony above! Freshly painted interior!
-
2013-11-20price $210,000 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
BEAUTIFUL Former MODEL HOME on corner, culdesac lot! Gorgeous Hardwood floors entry, powder bath, kitch & family rm. Upgraded ceramic tile in all wet areas, upgraded NEW carpet & pad, Stainless app incl Fridge, Corian c-tops, tumb travertine bksp & butlers pantry. Master suite downstairs with garden tub, seperate shower & huge walk-in closet! Enjoy this wonderful backyard with huge covered patio, & covered balcony above! Freshly painted interior!
-
2013-11-16historical Active Option Contract 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
BEAUTIFUL Former MODEL HOME on corner, culdesac lot! Gorgeous Hardwood floors entry, powder bath, kitch & family rm. Upgraded ceramic tile in all wet areas, upgraded NEW carpet & pad, Stainless app incl Fridge, Corian c-tops, tumb travertine bksp & butlers pantry. Master suite downstairs with garden tub, seperate shower & huge walk-in closet! Enjoy this wonderful backyard with huge covered patio, & covered balcony above! Freshly painted interior!
-
2013-11-06$207,500 Active 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
BEAUTIFUL Former MODEL HOME on corner, culdesac lot! Gorgeous Hardwood floors entry, powder bath, kitch & family rm. Upgraded ceramic tile in all wet areas, upgraded NEW carpet & pad, Stainless app incl Fridge, Corian c-tops, tumb travertine bksp & butlers pantry. Master suite downstairs with garden tub, seperate shower & huge walk-in closet! Enjoy this wonderful backyard with huge covered patio, & covered balcony above! Freshly painted interior!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $9,260 · $772/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,260 · $772/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,792
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,151
- − Property taxes
- −$9,260
- − Insurance
- −$2,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,823
- − Management
- −$3,823
- − HOA
- −$528
- − Depreciation
- −$13,062
- Taxable loss
- −$10,101
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,424
- After-tax cash flow
- $-109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wylie ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4846530
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,145
- Composite
- 57.25/100
- National rank
- #1091
- State rank
- #28 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wylie
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #419
- US rank
- #8623
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wylie, TX
- County
- Collin County · 1,159,394 people
- City population
- 69,325
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,325
- Household income
- $122,089
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 996.0
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 15% Black 13% Asian 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 4% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.91%
- Current HPI
- 261.9973
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.39%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+116.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Listed $449,000 NTREIS
- 2013-12-16 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2013-12-10 Pending — NTREIS
- 2013-11-20 Price Changed $210,000 NTREIS
- 2013-11-16 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2013-11-06 Listed $207,500 NTREIS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $9,260 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…