1914 Woodgate Arch · Chesapeake, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.5/30.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- ARV discount +4.9/15.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully renovated 2-bedroom, 2 bathroom townhome featuring impressive high ceilings that create an open, airy feel throughout. The updated interior boasts modern finishes, refreshed flooring, and a stylish kitchen perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Spacious bedrooms offer comfort and privacy, while the thoughtfully updated bathrooms add a touch of luxury. Move-in ready and designed for low-maintenance living, this home is a perfect blend of style and convenience.
Key facts
- $31 HOA
- Built 1985
- Listed 13 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA present with a $31 monthly fee (Greenbrier Property Owners Association)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
- Home design: Attached townhouse; 2 stories; Slab foundation; Simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Back fenced yard; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with ensuite; Bedroom and full bathroom on first floor; Additional bedroom and loft
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Geothermal cooling
- Interior features: One fireplace; Carpet and laminate flooring
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-133 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (9.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (23.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (23.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.7% in Chesapeake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#236 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
- Chesapeake City Public School District (suburban): math 58% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #31 of 131 in VA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Great Bridge Primary (701 students, 18% FRL); Indian River High (math 69% / reading 73%, grade B+, #146 of 319 statewide, top 47%, 1,701 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 28% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 282 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 597 units permitted in Chesapeake city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chesapeake County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $205k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.19%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $245,752
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 Woodgate Arch | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,156 (+4%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $234 | 76 |
| 1940 Woodgate Arch | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,256 (+13%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $191 | 72 |
| 2 Penzance Cir | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,061 (-5%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $221 | 68 |
| 1984 Woodgate Arch | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,242 (+12%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $229 | 66 |
| 2010 Fawnwood Cmn | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,252 (+13%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $224 | 63 |
| 12 Romsey Cir | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,248 (+12%) | 1mo | $311,000 | $249 | 62 |
| 1716 Rock Bridge Mews Unit D | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 978 (-12%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $210 | 60 |
| 1605 Stone Moss Reach Unit B | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 978 (-12%) | 2mo | $206,000 | $211 | 58 |
| 2108 Rocky Point Run Unit D | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 978 (-12%) | 6mo | $199,900 | $204 | 58 |
| 1605 Stone Moss Reach Unit D | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 978 (-12%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $210 | 57 |
| 1701 Stoney Creek Arch Unit C | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 978 (-12%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $220 | 55 |
| 1 Newstead Cir | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,276 (+15%) | 0mo | $305,000 | $239 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-40,598
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-947
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23320
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 282
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,988 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,412/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$31
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$418
- Net cashflow
- $-133
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1924 Woodgate Arch Unit 1 Chesapeake, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1264 | $1,850 | $1.46 | 16d | 1 | 0.00mi |
| 1924 Woodgate Arch Chesapeake, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1264 | $1,850 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 0.00mi |
| 2008 Fawnwood Cmn Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1131 | $1,950 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 150 Coveside Ln Chesapeake, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1120 | $2,240 | $2.00 | 2d | 29 | 0.36mi |
| 929 Wintercress Way Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 898 | $2,396 | $2.67 | 3d | 17 | 0.51mi |
| 1501 Carlton Dr Chesapeake, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1075 | $2,170 | $2.02 | 2d | 11 | 0.67mi |
| 1201 Edenham Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,650 | $1.94 | 1d | 2 | 0.91mi |
| 2213 Sparrow Rd Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 17d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1315 River Birch Run S Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1244 | $1,950 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1315 River Birch Run S Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1244 | $1,950 | $1.57 | 11d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1005 Scarlet Oak Ct S Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1301 Cypress Pl Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $2,400 | $1.99 | 3d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1301 Cypress Pl Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $2,400 | $1.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1221 Clydesdale Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,800 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 67 King George Quay Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1298 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1140 Ivystone Sq Chesapeake, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $2,168 | $2.12 | 1d | 26 | 1.40mi |
| 1101 Craftsman Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1014 | $1,909 | $1.88 | 2d | 22 | 1.41mi |
| 1102 Clear Springs Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $1,695 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $31 · $372/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $260,000 Under Contract 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $260,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-21status Under Contract
-
2026-05-11$260,000 Active
-
2022-04-12soldstatus $205,000
-
2022-04-05status Under Contract
-
2022-04-04historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-04-01status Active
-
2022-03-12historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-03-09$206,900 Active
-
2020-03-25soldstatus $157,000
-
2020-03-13status Under Contract
-
2020-02-26historical Active Under Contract
-
2020-02-14$159,900 Active
-
2014-06-27price $87,700 Active
-
2001-09-12soldstatus $69,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,412 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,412 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,862
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$2,412
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,909
- − Management
- −$1,909
- − HOA
- −$372
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$6,168
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,480
- After-tax cash flow
- $-114/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chesapeake City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100810
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,356
- Composite
- 57.84/100
- National rank
- #1047
- State rank
- #31 of 131 in VA
Livability — Chesapeake
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #236
- US rank
- #7942
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chesapeake, VA
- County
- Chesapeake City · 253,091 people
- City population
- 253,091
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,108
- Household income
- $84,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2714.0
Population outlook (Chesapeake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 263,804 people
- By 2030
- 276,798 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 299,906 · +13.7%
- By 2050
- 318,284 · +20.7%
- By 2075
- 362,137 · +37.3%
- By 2100
- 372,225 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chesapeake
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.3% · R 47.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: 1.3pp · 2024: 3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.8 2020: D+6.5 2016: R+1.3 2012: D+1.1 2008: D+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.43%
- Current HPI
- 285.5792
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.78%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+272.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $260,000 REINMLS
- 2022-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-05 Pending — REINMLS
- 2022-04-04 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2022-04-01 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2022-03-12 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2022-03-09 Listed $206,900 REINMLS
- 2020-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
- 2020-03-13 Pending — REINMLS
- 2020-02-26 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2020-02-14 Listed $159,900 REINMLS
- 2014-06-27 Price Changed $87,700 REINMLS
- 2001-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,412 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…