12305 Conde Dr · High Point, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- ARV discount +3.7/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
. Welcome to 12305 Conde Dr, a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering a comfortable layout with bright, open living spaces and a functional kitchen ideal for everyday living or entertaining. Step outside and enjoy your private lot--perfect for gardening, relaxing, or soaking up the Florida sunshine. High Point offers a vibrant, amenity-rich lifestyle, including golf, tennis, pickleball, shuffleboard, a clubhouse, and a heated pool with sun deck. Residents also benefit from a 24-hour staffed information booth for added convenience and peace of mind. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this move-in ready home delivers both comfort and accessibility.
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Lot for gardening
- Heated pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size about 0.14 acre; Living area reported as 768 square feet; Home is listed as residential mobile home (single wide); Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: HOA (HighPont) with required approval; Monthly HOA fee of $44; Community amenities: Clubhouse, Golf Course, Pickleball courts; Senior community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single-wide mobile home; Single-story; West-facing
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 100
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Separate living and dining areas
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.8% in High Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#677 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pine Grove Elementary School (math 60% / reading 45%, grade C-, #976 of 2,144 statewide, top 46%, 991 students, 60% FRL); West Hernando Middle School (math 36% / reading 37%, grade F, #405 of 571 statewide, top 72%, 695 students, 58% FRL); Central High School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 1,426 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 695 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $135k implies a 184% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.55%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $124,416
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8013 Eastern Circle Dr | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 828 (+8%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $145 | 67 |
| 7526 Highpoint Blvd | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 768 (0%) | 14mo | $122,000 | $159 | 61 |
| 7540 Western Circle Dr | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $169 | 53 |
| 12334 Fairway Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.5 | 744 (-3%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $141 | 52 |
| 7252 Fairlane Ave | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 696 (-9%) | 14mo | $113,000 | $162 | 52 |
| 7174 Fairlane Ave | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 660 (-14%) | 12mo | $120,000 | $182 | 51 |
| 8479 Highpoint Blvd | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 736 (-4%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $163 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-8,679
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $9,581
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34613
- Home prices YoY
- -17.2%
- Active inventory
- 695
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,504 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,078/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$44
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $206
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $283 | -5% $245 | +0% $206 | +5% $168 | +10% $130 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $88 | -5% $147 | +0% $206 | +5% $266 | +10% $325 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $274 | -0.5pp $241 | base $206 | +0.5pp $171 | +1.0pp $136 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7402 Eastern Circle Dr Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 7513 Highpoint Blvd Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,150 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 12136 Fairway Ave Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,650 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 13186 Thrush St Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,950 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $44 · $528/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $135,000 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
. Welcome to 12305 Conde Dr, a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering a comfortable layout with bright, open living spaces and a functional kitchen ideal for everyday living or entertaining. Step outside and enjoy your private lot--perfect for gardening, relaxing, or soaking up the Florida sunshine. High Point offers a vibrant, amenity-rich lifestyle, including golf, tennis, pickleball, shuffleboard, a clubhouse, and a heated pool with sun deck. Residents also benefit from a 24-hour staffed information booth for added convenience and peace of mind. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this move-in ready home delivers both comfort and accessibility.
-
2026-04-16price $135,000
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
. Welcome to 12305 Conde Dr, a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering a comfortable layout with bright, open living spaces and a functional kitchen ideal for everyday living or entertaining. Step outside and enjoy your private lot--perfect for gardening, relaxing, or soaking up the Florida sunshine. High Point offers a vibrant, amenity-rich lifestyle, including golf, tennis, pickleball, shuffleboard, a clubhouse, and a heated pool with sun deck. Residents also benefit from a 24-hour staffed information booth for added convenience and peace of mind. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this move-in ready home delivers both comfort and accessibility.
-
2026-03-06$149,900 Active
-
2025-12-01$149,900 Active 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
. Welcome to 12305 Conde Dr, a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering a comfortable layout with bright, open living spaces and a functional kitchen ideal for everyday living or entertaining. Step outside and enjoy your private lot--perfect for gardening, relaxing, or soaking up the Florida sunshine. High Point offers a vibrant, amenity-rich lifestyle, including golf, tennis, pickleball, shuffleboard, a clubhouse, and a heated pool with sun deck. Residents also benefit from a 24-hour staffed information booth for added convenience and peace of mind. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday essentials, this move-in ready home delivers both comfort and accessibility.
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2019-11-11historical
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2019-11-11historical
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2018-05-09$79,900
-
2018-05-08historical
-
2018-05-08historical
-
2017-09-18$89,900
-
2017-09-18$89,900
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2015-09-27historical
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2015-03-27$79,900
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2015-03-27$79,900
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2003-05-01soldstatus $47,500
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1993-01-01soldstatus $33,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,078 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,078 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,042
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,078
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,443
- − Management
- −$1,443
- − HOA
- −$528
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $385
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$92
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,384/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — High Point
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #677
- US rank
- #14099
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- High Point, FL
- County
- Hernando County · 169,677 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,337
- Household income
- $58,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.51%
- Current HPI
- 276.2229
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+303.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $135,000 HCAR
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-06 Listed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-01 Listed $149,900 HCAR
- 2019-11-11 Listing Removed — HCAR
- 2019-11-11 Listing Removed — HCAR
- 2018-05-09 Listed $79,900 HCAR
- 2018-05-08 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-08 Listing Removed — HCAR
- 2017-09-18 Listed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-18 Listed $89,900 HCAR
- 2015-09-27 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-27 Listed $79,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-27 Listed $79,900 HCAR
- 2003-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
- 1993-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,078 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…