🌊 Lakefront
10231 N Circle Lake Dr #201 · Golf, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$249,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy the BEST sunsets and views in the whole complex from this terrace! Boasting one of the largest floor plans in Palm Chase Lakes, this spacious second-floor lakefront residence offers the perfect blend of comfort, flexibility, and opportunity. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,648 square feet of living space, this well-maintained home boasts a bright, open layout designed for easy everyday living and entertaining. A private first-floor entry with additional storage leads upstairs to the main living area, where you'll find generous living and dining spaces, abundant natural light, and tranquil lake views. The expansive enclosed terrace provides the perfect setting to enjoy your mo
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Clubhouse
- Resort style pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community
- Financial info: Pets allowed (pet restrictions possible)
- HOA & community: Palm Chase Condominium Association; Monthly association fee; Association amenities: billiard room, clubhouse, fitness center, game room, management/manager on site, parking, pool, sauna, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, pickleball courts, shuffleboard court, community room, library, sidewalks, street lights
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; 2 parking spaces total
- Security: Smoke detectors; Owned security system; Gated community (no guard)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: Condominium; Multi-level / split levels; Faces south; 2 stories total; Resale
- Construction: Stucco and CBS construction; Barrel roof
- Exterior features: Terrace; Waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; High ceilings; Walk-in closets; Split bedroom layout; Upstairs living area; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $249k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-51 ($-611/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (3.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
- Recommended offer: $240k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#703 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Crosspointe Elementary School (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,471 of 2,144 statewide, top 69%, 652 students, 75% FRL); Boynton Beach Community High (math 13% / reading 25%, grade F, #565 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,547 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 490 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,283/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 902% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-602 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.88%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.24% appreciation · 1.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-18,309
- Equity at exit
- $69,307
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-10,232
- Equity at exit
- $80,957
Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33437
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 490
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,283 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax from tax record
- −$302 /mo · $3,627/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$933
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$690
- Net cashflow
- $-51
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $90 | -5% $20 | +0% $-51 | +5% $-121 | +10% $-192 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-310 | -5% $-181 | +0% $-51 | +5% $79 | +10% $209 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $75 | -0.5pp $12 | base $-51 | +0.5pp $-115 | +1.0pp $-181 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5895 Autumn Lake Ln Unit A Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $2,600 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 6037 Rossmoor Lakes Ct Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1617 | $4,700 | $2.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 10492 Boynton Place Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $2,757 | $2.71 | 0d | 19 | 0.23mi |
| 10056 Boynton Place Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $3,000 | $2.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 10056 Boynton Place Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $2,950 | $2.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 9926 Watermill Cir Unit F Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1471 | $2,400 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 10187 Mangrove Dr #104 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,350 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 10596 Sunset Isles Ct Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $4,500 | $2.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 10390 Utopia Cir E Unit 10390 Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $4,200 | $2.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 10390 Utopia Cir E Unit E Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $4,200 | $2.28 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 9654 Sun Pointe Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2142 | $4,400 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 5418 Firenze Dr Unit P Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1139 | $2,400 | $2.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6165 Country Fair Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1656 | $3,200 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5275 Europa Dr Unit I Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $2,500 | $1.95 | 2d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 6039 Sunberry Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2149 | $3,650 | $1.70 | 6d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10592 Tropic Palm Ave #202 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,450 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 10624 Tropic Palm Ave #202 Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,550 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 9629 El Clair Ranch Rd Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2231 | $4,800 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9565 El Clair Ranch Rd Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1867 | $3,500 | $1.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9565 El Clair Ranch Rd Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1867 | $3,500 | $1.87 | 8d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5217 Cedar Lake Rd Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1030 | $2,811 | $2.73 | 2d | 51 | 0.70mi |
| 6396 Park Lake Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1422 | $2,950 | $2.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5133 Brisata Cir Unit P Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $2,800 | $2.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5234 Europa Dr Unit A Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $2,500 | $1.58 | 20d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5299 Europa Dr Unit P Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $3,000 | $1.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 10921 Royal Caribbean Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $3,800 | $2.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10921 Royal Caribbean Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1762 | $3,800 | $2.16 | 5d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 9215 Sun Pointe Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2142 | $4,650 | $2.17 | 11d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9215 Sun Pointe Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2142 | $4,650 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5157 Floria Way Unit J Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1447 | $3,300 | $2.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5916 Seashell Ter Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1882 | $2,900 | $1.54 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 10206 Stonehenge Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1054 | $2,650 | $2.51 | 0d | 12 | 0.81mi |
| 5373 Mirror Lakes Blvd Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,100 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5155 Europa Dr Unit J Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1333 | $2,750 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 10839 Madison Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2079 | $3,800 | $1.83 | 2d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 10839 Madison Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2079 | $3,800 | $1.83 | 11d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 9336 Water Course Way Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1779 | $3,600 | $2.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9336 Water Course Way Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1779 | $3,600 | $2.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4944 Equestrian Cir Unit A Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 8d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 11115 Oakdale Rd Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1713 | $4,200 | $2.45 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $933 · $11,196/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $249,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$249,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,627 · $302/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,627 · $302/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$3,627
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,152
- − Management
- −$3,152
- − HOA
- −$11,196
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable loss
- −$4,163
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$999
- After-tax cash flow
- $388/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Golf
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #703
- US rank
- #14941
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,229
- Household income
- $80,710
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 902.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Romanian 8% Hispanic 6%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.24%
- Current HPI
- 257.5891
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.28%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $249,000 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,627 · +64.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…