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10231 N Circle Lake Dr #201 🌊 Lakefront
D+ Composite 49.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$249,000

10231 N Circle Lake Dr #201 · Golf, FL 33437
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,648 sqft · Condo public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1988 $933/mo HOA · 28% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy the BEST sunsets and views in the whole complex from this terrace! Boasting one of the largest floor plans in Palm Chase Lakes, this spacious second-floor lakefront residence offers the perfect blend of comfort, flexibility, and opportunity. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,648 square feet of living space, this well-maintained home boasts a bright, open layout designed for easy everyday living and entertaining. A private first-floor entry with additional storage leads upstairs to the main living area, where you'll find generous living and dining spaces, abundant natural light, and tranquil lake views. The expansive enclosed terrace provides the perfect setting to enjoy your mo

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Clubhouse
  • Resort style pool

Tags

LAKEFRONT RESIDENCEEXPANSIVE ENCLOSED TERRACECLUBHOUSERESORT STYLE POOLFITNESS CENTERTENNIS COURTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Senior community
  • Financial info: Pets allowed (pet restrictions possible)
  • HOA & community: Palm Chase Condominium Association; Monthly association fee; Association amenities: billiard room, clubhouse, fitness center, game room, management/manager on site, parking, pool, sauna, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, pickleball courts, shuffleboard court, community room, library, sidewalks, street lights

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; 2 parking spaces total
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Owned security system; Gated community (no guard)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Condominium; Multi-level / split levels; Faces south; 2 stories total; Resale
  • Construction: Stucco and CBS construction; Barrel roof
  • Exterior features: Terrace; Waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; High ceilings; Walk-in closets; Split bedroom layout; Upstairs living area; Furnished
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-51 ($-611/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (3.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
  • Recommended offer: $240k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#703 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Crosspointe Elementary School (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,471 of 2,144 statewide, top 69%, 652 students, 75% FRL); Boynton Beach Community High (math 13% / reading 25%, grade F, #565 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,547 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 490 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,283/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 902% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-602 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $240,011 (3.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.88%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.24% appreciation · 1.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.8%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-18,309
Equity at exit
$69,307
10-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-10,232
Equity at exit
$80,957

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33437

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
490
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,283 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,306
Tax from tax record
$302 /mo · $3,627/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$933
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$690
Net cashflow
$-51

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,348
Max offer price $240,011
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $90 -5% $20 +0% $-51 +5% $-121 +10% $-192
Rent -10% $-310 -5% $-181 +0% $-51 +5% $79 +10% $209
Rate -1.0pp $75 -0.5pp $12 base $-51 +0.5pp $-115 +1.0pp $-181

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,250
Closing costs
$7,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5895 Autumn Lake Ln Unit A Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1469 $2,600 $1.77 25d 1 0.07mi
6037 Rossmoor Lakes Ct Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1617 $4,700 $2.91 25d 1 0.21mi
10492 Boynton Place Cir Boynton Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $2,757 $2.71 0d 19 0.23mi
10056 Boynton Place Cir Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1253 $3,000 $2.39 25d 1 0.33mi
10056 Boynton Place Cir Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1253 $2,950 $2.35 3d 1 0.33mi
9926 Watermill Cir Unit F Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1471 $2,400 $1.63 25d 1 0.43mi
10187 Mangrove Dr #104 Boynton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1260 $2,350 $1.87 25d 1 0.45mi
10596 Sunset Isles Ct Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1769 $4,500 $2.54 25d 1 0.52mi
10390 Utopia Cir E Unit 10390 Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1845 $4,200 $2.28 25d 1 0.53mi
10390 Utopia Cir E Unit E Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1845 $4,200 $2.28 3d 1 0.53mi
9654 Sun Pointe Dr Boynton Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 2142 $4,400 $2.05 25d 1 0.53mi
5418 Firenze Dr Unit P Boynton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1139 $2,400 $2.11 3d 1 0.56mi
6165 Country Fair Cir Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1656 $3,200 $1.93 25d 1 0.57mi
5275 Europa Dr Unit I Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1282 $2,500 $1.95 2d 1 0.62mi
6039 Sunberry Cir Boynton Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 2149 $3,650 $1.70 6d 1 0.64mi
10592 Tropic Palm Ave #202 Boynton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1385 $2,450 $1.77 25d 1 0.65mi
10624 Tropic Palm Ave #202 Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1385 $2,550 $1.84 25d 1 0.66mi
9629 El Clair Ranch Rd Boynton Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 2231 $4,800 $2.15 25d 1 0.68mi
9565 El Clair Ranch Rd Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1867 $3,500 $1.87 21d 1 0.69mi
9565 El Clair Ranch Rd Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1867 $3,500 $1.87 8d 1 0.69mi
5217 Cedar Lake Rd Boynton Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1030 $2,811 $2.73 2d 51 0.70mi
6396 Park Lake Cir Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1422 $2,950 $2.07 15d 1 0.70mi
5133 Brisata Cir Unit P Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1374 $2,800 $2.04 25d 1 0.70mi
5234 Europa Dr Unit A Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1578 $2,500 $1.58 20d 1 0.74mi
5299 Europa Dr Unit P Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1606 $3,000 $1.87 14d 1 0.74mi
10921 Royal Caribbean Cir Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1782 $3,800 $2.13 25d 1 0.77mi
10921 Royal Caribbean Cir Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1762 $3,800 $2.16 5d 1 0.77mi
9215 Sun Pointe Dr Boynton Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 2142 $4,650 $2.17 11d 1 0.78mi
9215 Sun Pointe Dr Boynton Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 2142 $4,650 $2.17 25d 1 0.78mi
5157 Floria Way Unit J Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1447 $3,300 $2.28 25d 1 0.79mi
5916 Seashell Ter Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1882 $2,900 $1.54 16d 1 0.81mi
10206 Stonehenge Cir Boynton Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1054 $2,650 $2.51 0d 12 0.81mi
5373 Mirror Lakes Blvd Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1310 $2,100 $1.60 25d 1 0.83mi
5155 Europa Dr Unit J Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1333 $2,750 $2.06 25d 1 0.88mi
10839 Madison Dr Boynton Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 2079 $3,800 $1.83 2d 1 0.90mi
10839 Madison Dr Boynton Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 2079 $3,800 $1.83 11d 1 0.90mi
9336 Water Course Way Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1779 $3,600 $2.02 25d 1 0.92mi
9336 Water Course Way Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1779 $3,600 $2.02 23d 1 0.92mi
4944 Equestrian Cir Unit A Boynton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1400 $2,500 $1.79 8d 1 0.93mi
11115 Oakdale Rd Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1713 $4,200 $2.45 25d 1 1.04mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$933 · $11,196/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $249,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $249,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,627 · $302/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,627 · $302/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,400
− Mortgage interest
−$13,948
− Property taxes
−$3,627
− Insurance
−$1,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,152
− Management
−$3,152
− HOA
−$11,196
− Depreciation
−$7,244
Taxable loss
−$4,163
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$999
After-tax cash flow
$388/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Golf

Score
63/100
State rank
#703
US rank
#14941

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
37,229
Household income
$80,710
Rent vs Own
14.5% rent · 85.5% own
Severe rent burden
902.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 8% Romanian 8% Hispanic 6%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.24%
Current HPI
257.5891
Rent YoY
▲ 1.28%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $249,000 Beaches MLS

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,627 · +64.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…