112 Colony Dr · Cape Colony, NC
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.45%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Cape Colony! Where you will enjoy deeded access to a sandy beach on the Albemarle Sound plus a neighborhood boat ramp too! The home offers 3 bedrooms, a flex room, comfortable living room & kitchen w pass thru window/ dining bar plus a covered front porch and storage room addition on the rear of the home. Offered as-is
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- 0.35 acre lot
- Built 1978
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $20 (about $1.67/month); Association includes beach access
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Water connected; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property; One story; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Built with referenced remarks
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Storage structure on property; Waterfront access; Has view; Paved road access; Frontage type: see remarks; Road frontage on city street and state road
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric heating; Wall/window cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dedicated laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (3.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (3.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Edenton-Chowan Schools (rural): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #118 of 178 in NC (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: White Oak Elementary (509 students, 66% FRL); Chowan Middle (math 29% / reading 42%, grade F, #279 of 475 statewide, top 60%, 428 students, 68% FRL); John A Holmes High (math 57% / reading 47%, grade D+, #292 of 535 statewide, top 56%, 592 students, 57% FRL).
- Market conditions: 243 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Chowan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chowan County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $125k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.75%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $83,214
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Water Lilly Loop | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (-4%) | 11mo | $80,000 | $67 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-9,605
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $5,263
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27932
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,204 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $883/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$2
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $238 | -5% $203 | +0% $168 | +5% $132 | +10% $97 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $73 | -5% $120 | +0% $168 | +5% $215 | +10% $263 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $231 | -0.5pp $200 | base $168 | +0.5pp $135 | +1.0pp $102 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $2 · $24/yr
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $125,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 336-char remark
-
2026-06-04$125,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $883 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,025 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- +$142/yr (+$12/mo · 16.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 45% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,444
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$883
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,156
- − Management
- −$1,156
- − HOA
- −$24
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$37
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$9
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,022/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edenton-Chowan Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700840
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,516
- Composite
- 32.97/100
- National rank
- #5586
- State rank
- #118 of 178 in NC
Livability — Cape Colony
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cape Colony, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,784
Population outlook (Chowan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,627 people
- By 2030
- 13,099 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 11,899 · -12.7%
- By 2050
- 10,858 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 9,010 · -33.9%
- By 2100
- 7,463 · -45.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chowan
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.5) · D 38.4% · R 60.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -22.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.5 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+14.3 2012: R+4.9 2008: R+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.59%
- Current HPI
- 172.7448
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $125,000 Hive MLS
- 2001-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $883 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…