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121 Broadway
D Composite 42.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.9/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$449,000

121 Broadway · Haverstraw, NY 10927
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,980 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1895 3,049 sqft lot $227/sqft · 13% below area Est $518k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AMAZING VALUE!!!! LOW LOW TAXES.... EXCELLENT value, boasting 4 bedrooms, one bedroom on main level, easy access. Main level consists of spacious eat in kitchen with ample cabinetry and breakfast bar open to formal dining room. Light filled formal dining room open to living room EXCELLENT FOR ENTERTAINING.... bring on the holidays! Second floor boasts 3 bedrooms filled with natural light. Basement is partially finished and can be an AWESOME man cave/family room etc... ENDLESS POSSIBILITIES AWAIT FOR YOU HERE!!! All of this PLUS close to transportation, shopping, school ... a MUST SEE :)

Key facts

  • Flexible layout
  • Natural light
  • Outdoor living

Tags

FLEXIBLE LAYOUTOUTDOOR LIVINGNATURAL LIGHTMULTI-GENERATIONAL LIVINGWORK-FROM-HOME SETUPS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking; No carport
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (Orange & Rockland); Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence
  • Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Back yard; Fenced yard; Near schools; Near shops; Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: First-floor bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Eat-in kitchen; Patio
  • Laundry & utility: Basement partially finished (access via Bilco door); Scuttle attic access

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $449k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-280 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $408k (9.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $357k (20.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $357k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,087 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Haverstraw-Stony Point CSD (North Rockland) (suburban): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #427 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Haverstraw Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,729 of 2,108 statewide, top 84%, 742 students, 22% FRL); Haverstraw Elementary School (math 13% / reading 35%, grade F, #640 of 729 statewide, top 88%, 569 students, 9% FRL); North Rockland High School (math 86% / reading 67%, grade A-, #612 of 1,100 statewide, top 56%, 2,687 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 10% FRL vs 40% district-wide (30 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 50 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,573/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 791% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $250k; list at $449k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $357,280 (20.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.68%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$517,901
List price
$449,000
Delta
-13.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9 W Lincoln St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,020 (+2%) 6mo $449,000 $222 73
27 Warren Ave 0.15mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,746 (-12%) 2mo $545,000 $312 63
7 Conger Ave 0.49mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,088 (+6%) 1mo $455,000 $218 60
3 Park Ave 0.53mi 4/2.5 2,048 (+3%) 12mo $540,000 $264 55
61 Picariello Dr 0.46mi 4/2.5 1,804 (-9%) 8mo $610,000 $338 53
68 Hillside Ave 0.67mi 4/2.0 1,863 (-6%) 6mo $555,000 $298 52
67 Picariello Dr 0.42mi 4/2.5 1,804 (-9%) 13mo $639,000 $354 51
46 Picariello Dr 0.54mi 4/2.5 1,804 (-9%) 10mo $599,000 $332 48
40 Hillside Ave 0.57mi 4/2.5 2,096 (+6%) 17mo $605,000 $289 46
8 Hillside Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,800 (-9%) 14mo $540,000 $300 45
72 Hillside Ave 0.67mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,863 (-6%) 14mo $560,000 $301 40
21 Santiago Ave 0.62mi 3/3.5 (-1) 1,872 (-6%) 14mo $605,000 $323 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-73,183
Equity at exit
$66,947
10-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-8,028
Equity at exit
$38,821

Cash invested: $125,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 10927

Home prices YoY
-23.6%
Rents YoY
7.6%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,573 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,355
Tax est. 1.5%
$561 /mo · $6,735/yr
Insurance
$187
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$750
Net cashflow
$-280

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,928
Max offer price $408,422
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,250
Closing costs
$13,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
22 Westside Ave Haverstraw, NY 3.0 2.0 1260 $3,200 $2.54 44d 1 0.27mi
100 Westside Ave Unit 2 Haverstraw, NY 3.0 1.0 1492 $2,485 $1.67 1d 1 0.55mi
56 Coolidge St Unit 2 Haverstraw, NY 4.0 1.5 1400 $3,500 $2.50 5d 1 0.65mi
56 Coolidge St Haverstraw, NY 3.0 1.5 1440 $3,500 $2.43 12d 1 0.65mi
58 Samsondale Ave Unit A West Haverstraw, NY 3.0 2.0 1512 $3,300 $2.18 19d 1 0.66mi
156 Coolidge St Haverstraw, NY 3.0 1.5 1600 $3,200 $2.00 21d 1 0.77mi
93 E Railroad Ave West Haverstraw, NY 3.0 1.0 2383 $3,900 $1.64 13d 1 0.86mi
126 Roosevelt Dr West Haverstraw, NY 3.0 1.5 1404 $3,600 $2.56 44d 1 1.10mi
12 Roosevelt Dr West Haverstraw, NY 3.0 1.5 1400 $3,600 $2.57 17d 1 1.14mi
16 W Railroad Ave Garnerville, NY 3.0 3.5 2328 $4,300 $1.85 6d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    listed $449,000 Active 1578-char remark
  2. 2021-04-06
    soldstatus $249,900
  3. 2021-01-25
    soldstatus $245,000 Closed 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    AMAZING VALUE!!!! LOW LOW TAXES.... EXCELLENT value, boasting 4 bedrooms, one bedroom on main level, easy access. Main level consists of spacious eat in kitchen with ample cabinetry and breakfast bar open to formal dining room. Light filled formal dining room open to living room EXCELLENT FOR ENTERTAINING.... bring on the holidays! Second floor boasts 3 bedrooms filled with natural light. Basement is partially finished and can be an AWESOME man cave/family room etc... ENDLESS POSSIBILITIES AWAIT FOR YOU HERE!!! All of this PLUS close to transportation, shopping, school ... a MUST SEE :)

  4. 2020-09-08
    historical 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    AMAZING VALUE!!!! LOW LOW TAXES.... EXCELLENT value, boasting 4 bedrooms, one bedroom on main level, easy access. Main level consists of spacious eat in kitchen with ample cabinetry and breakfast bar open to formal dining room. Light filled formal dining room open to living room EXCELLENT FOR ENTERTAINING.... bring on the holidays! Second floor boasts 3 bedrooms filled with natural light. Basement is partially finished and can be an AWESOME man cave/family room etc... ENDLESS POSSIBILITIES AWAIT FOR YOU HERE!!! All of this PLUS close to transportation, shopping, school ... a MUST SEE :)

  5. 2020-09-01
    listed $249,999 Active 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    AMAZING VALUE!!!! LOW LOW TAXES.... EXCELLENT value, boasting 4 bedrooms, one bedroom on main level, easy access. Main level consists of spacious eat in kitchen with ample cabinetry and breakfast bar open to formal dining room. Light filled formal dining room open to living room EXCELLENT FOR ENTERTAINING.... bring on the holidays! Second floor boasts 3 bedrooms filled with natural light. Basement is partially finished and can be an AWESOME man cave/family room etc... ENDLESS POSSIBILITIES AWAIT FOR YOU HERE!!! All of this PLUS close to transportation, shopping, school ... a MUST SEE :)

  6. 1999-12-17
    soldstatus $99,000
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    WILL ENTERTAIN OFFERS $99,900-$119,876. GREAT HOME. SHOWS WELL. FANS & SHED ARESTAYING.

  7. 1999-12-17
    soldstatus $102,000
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    WILL ENTERTAIN OFFERS $99,900-$119,876. GREAT HOME. SHOWS WELL. FANS & SHED ARESTAYING.

  8. 1999-11-16
    price $119,876
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    WILL ENTERTAIN OFFERS $99,900-$119,876. GREAT HOME. SHOWS WELL. FANS & SHED ARESTAYING.

  9. 1999-11-16
    historical
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    WILL ENTERTAIN OFFERS $99,900-$119,876. GREAT HOME. SHOWS WELL. FANS & SHED ARESTAYING.

  10. 1999-10-06
    listed $99,000
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    WILL ENTERTAIN OFFERS $99,900-$119,876. GREAT HOME. SHOWS WELL. FANS & SHED ARESTAYING.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,874
− Mortgage interest
−$25,151
− Property taxes
−$6,735
− Insurance
−$2,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,430
− Management
−$3,430
− Depreciation
−$13,062
Taxable loss
−$11,179
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,683
After-tax cash flow
$-682/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Haverstraw-Stony Point CSD (North Rockland)
NCES district ID
3614010
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$80,218
Composite
40.68/100
National rank
#3672
State rank
#427 of 590 in NY

Livability — Haverstraw

Score
57/100
State rank
#1087
US rank
#21649

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Haverstraw, NY
County
Rockland County · 98,828 people
City population
12,325
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
12,325
Household income
$75,167
Rent vs Own
50.4% rent · 49.6% own
Severe rent burden
791.0

Population outlook (Rockland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
339,642 people
By 2030
345,987 · +1.9%
By 2040
357,178 · +5.2%
By 2050
362,456 · +6.7%
By 2075
367,281 · +8.1%
By 2100
328,211 · -3.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 24% White 18% Black 17% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 32%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 5% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
43% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Guatemala
Languages at home
38% English-only · Spanish 53% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockland

2024 margin
R (+11.8) · D 44.1% · R 55.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -11.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.8 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+5.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.63%
Current HPI
238.4313
Rent YoY
▲ 7.62%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+353.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $449,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $249,900 Public Records
  • 2021-01-25 Sold (MLS) $245,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-08 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-01 Listed $249,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
  • 1999-12-17 Sold (MLS) $99,000 HGMLS
  • 1999-11-16 Delisted HGMLS
  • 1999-11-16 Price Changed $119,876 HGMLS
  • 1999-10-06 Listed $99,000 HGMLS

Property tax history

+19.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $48,871 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…