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2918 Oak Ridge Ct
C+ Composite 60.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

2918 Oak Ridge Ct · Abilene, TX 79606
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,417 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1987 7,928 sqft lot Est $244k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step into this charming home featuring warm, inviting spaces and thoughtful details throughout. Cozy up by the wood-burning fireplace in the living area, perfect for relaxing evenings at home. The galley kitchen offers functionality and style with a convenient bar top ideal for casual dining or entertaining guests. Spacious walk-in closets provide plenty of storage, while the primary suite boasts a large ensuite bath designed for comfort. Outside, enjoy a large backyard with endless possibilities for gatherings, pets, or play, along with a covered porch perfect for morning coffee or winding down at the end of the day. This home combines comfort, charm, and practicality in one inviting packa

Key facts

  • 7,928 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1987

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Municipal utility district: No
  • Financial info: Listing accepts conventional, FHA, VA, cash, and 1031 exchange financing
  • HOA & community: No association (no HOA)

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car attached garage with garage door opener and inside entrance; Covered parking spaces (2); Asphalt driveway; Garage includes a workshop area; Garage dimensions approximately 19' wide x 20' long x 8' high; single 2-car door
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Phone available; Curbs and sidewalk
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Not attached to another property; Built in 1987; Subdivision: The Oaks
  • Construction: Brick and siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Year built: 1987
  • Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Covered porch(es); Wood privacy fence with gate; Large backyard with grass; Landscaped lot; Few trees; Level, interior lot in a subdivision; Located on a cul-de-sac

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal; Warming drawer; Pantry; Breakfast bar / eat-in kitchen; Galley-style layout
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on one level); Primary bedroom with ensuite bath and garden tub; Two additional bedrooms arranged as split bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bathroom has built-in cabinets, ensuite access, garden tub and solid-surface counters; Secondary bathroom with built-in cabinets and solid-surface counters
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s); Fireplace(s) for supplemental heat
  • Interior features: Decorative lighting; Cable TV available; High speed internet available; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility / separate laundry room with built-in cabinets

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 6.7% in Abilene — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
  • Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ward El (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,651 of 4,322 statewide, top 39%, 494 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+40.7%/yr); 288 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $230,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.34%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$243,724
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12 High Life Cir 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,550 (+9%) 4mo $279,000 $180 77
2926 Button Willow Pkwy 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-5%) 3mo $215,000 $159 72
4333 Mary Lou Ln 0.32mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,368 (-4%) 5mo $215,000 $157 68
2618 Button Willow Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,551 (+10%) 1mo $190,000 $123 68
5217 Shady Glen Ln 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,363 (-4%) 2mo $260,000 $191 67
4633 Plover Ln 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,498 (+6%) 3mo $174,900 $117 65
3034 Broken Bough Trl 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,595 (+13%) 2mo $299,900 $188 60
4317 Hearthstone Ct 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,540 (+9%) 1mo $265,000 $172 54
3542 Paint Brush Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,547 (+9%) 2mo $272,500 $176 52
4326 Bruce Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,510 (+7%) 6mo $289,900 $192 49
4618 Bruce Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,622 (+14%) 2mo $250,000 $154 44
70 Courtyard Ln 0.60mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,629 (+15%) 3mo $228,900 $141 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,515
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$95,946
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79606

Rents YoY
40.7%
Active inventory
288
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,579 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$342 /mo · $4,101/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$542
Net cashflow
$394

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,081
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4925 Greenslope Dr Unit C Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,900 $1.73 13d 1 0.33mi
3134 Winterhawk Dr Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,795 $1.55 7d 1 0.46mi
2701 S 40th St Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1196 $1,995 $1.67 21d 1 0.78mi
3826 Crest Way Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1721 $2,695 $1.57 44d 1 0.84mi
5733 Legacy Dr Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1843 $5,000 $2.71 5d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $230,000 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $230,000 Active Option Contract 5 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $230,000 Active Option Contract 4 DOM
  4. 2026-05-27
    historical Active Option Contract
  5. 2026-05-26
    listed $230,000 Active
  6. 1994-11-17
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,101 · $342/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,209 · $351/mo
Expected delta
+$108/yr (+$9/mo · 2.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,950
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$4,101
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,476
− Management
−$2,476
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable income
$1,173
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$281
After-tax cash flow
$4,444/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Abilene ISD
NCES district ID
4807440
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,782
Composite
27.71/100
National rank
#6909
State rank
#575 of 826 in TX

Livability — Abilene

Score
75/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#4037

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Abilene, TX
County
Taylor County · 136,672 people
City population
136,672
Metro
Abilene, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,182
Household income
$79,196
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
1181.0

Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
145,270 people
By 2030
150,050 · +3.3%
By 2040
159,417 · +9.7%
By 2050
168,883 · +16.3%
By 2075
194,436 · +33.8%
By 2100
203,163 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Taylor

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -167.33%
Current HPI
179.2555
Rent YoY
▲ 40.73%
Metro
Abilene, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $230,000 NTREIS
  • 1994-11-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,101 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…