601 Woodlawn Dr #23 · Fairfield Bay, AR
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This cute 2 bedroom 2 bath condo is located in the heart of Fairfield Bay close to golfing, shopping, parks, and Greers Ferry Lake. This condo features vaulted, ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and a large covered patio. Don't miss out on this great space buy!! This is a Fannie Mae Homepath property. Agents see agent remarks on how and where to submit offers. Seller may pay up to 3% in closing assistance for qualified buyers.
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Close to golfing
- Large covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-150 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $68k (24.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($981 rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.1% in Fairfield Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#220 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Shirley School District (rural): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #132 of 245 in AR (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Shirley Elementary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #419 of 454 statewide, top 93%, 180 students, 100% FRL); Shirley High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #164 of 292 statewide, top 61%, 139 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 73% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 43% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Shirley School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 16 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $194 of equity ($622 loan paydown + $-428 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Van Buren County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.15%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $180,158
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -50.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601 Woodlawn Unit Dr #28 | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,564 (+20%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $144 | 69 |
| 232 Snead Dr | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 1,374 (+6%) | 0mo | $159,000 | $116 | 63 |
| 171 Pine Knot Rd | 1.28mi | 2/2.5 | 1,334 (+3%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $116 | 57 |
| 135 Hillview Dr #18 | 0.93mi | 2/1.5 | 1,373 (+6%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $44 | 52 |
| 158 Dunn Holw | 1.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-12%) | 1mo | $107,500 | $94 | 44 |
| 125 Cliffside Dr #26 | 1.47mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-14%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $156 | 40 |
| 135 Hillview Dr #19 | 0.93mi | 2/1.5 | 1,117 (-14%) | 0mo | $97,000 | $87 | 39 |
| 135 Hillview Dr #29 | 0.93mi | 2/1.5 | 1,117 (-14%) | 2mo | $77,000 | $69 | 38 |
| 135 Hillview Dr #115 | 0.93mi | 2/1.5 | 1,117 (-14%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $63 | 38 |
| 135 Hillview Dr #101 | 0.93mi | 2/1.5 | 1,117 (-14%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $67 | 37 |
| 117 Dunn Hollow Dr | 1.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,486 (+14%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $101 | 36 |
| 134 Richwood Dr #3 | 1.08mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 1,095 (-16%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $78 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-13,981
- Equity at exit
- $23,983
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-14,074
- Equity at exit
- $27,186
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 1 under contract
- Median asking
- $101,000 ($90/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 65 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +53.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 72088
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $981 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$304
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $-150
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-88 | -5% $-119 | +0% $-150 | +5% $-181 | +10% $-212 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-228 | -5% $-189 | +0% $-150 | +5% $-111 | +10% $-73 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-105 | -0.5pp $-127 | base $-150 | +0.5pp $-173 | +1.0pp $-197 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Ambrose Ln Fairfield Bay, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $1,000 | $0.78 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 104 Chelsea Dr #49 Fairfield Bay, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 938 | $950 | $1.01 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Approx. 1,300 interior square feet (per tax records)Subdivision: COUNTRY CLUB RIDGELocated in Van Buren County, Fairfield Bay
- Financial info
- New conventional financing available
- HOA & community
- Association fee of $304 per month
Exterior
- Parking
- Garage
- Utilities
- Municipal electric service (Entergy)
- Home design
- Frame construction
- Construction
- Composition roofCrawl space foundationFrame exterior
- Exterior features
- Golf view lotPaved road accessInside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric range
- Flooring
- Carpet
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central electric cooling
- Interior features
- Carpet floorsWood-burning fireplace (site-built)
HOA detail $304/mo · $3,648/yr condo
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $89,900 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $89,900 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $89,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $89,900 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $89,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $89,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $89,900 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $89,900 Active 80 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $89,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $89,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $89,900 Active 75 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $89,900 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $89,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $89,900 Active 72 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $89,900 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $89,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $89,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $89,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $89,900 Active 64 DOM
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2026-07-13statusdays on market $89,900 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $89,900 Price Change 62 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $89,900 Price Change 61 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $89,900 Price Change 60 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $89,900 Price Change 59 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $89,900 Price Change 58 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $89,900 Price Change 57 DOM
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2026-07-07pricestatus $89,900 Price Change 56 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $105,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $105,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $105,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $105,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $105,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $105,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $105,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $105,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $105,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $105,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $105,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $105,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $105,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-15statusdays on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Price Change 33 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $105,000 Price Change 32 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Price Change 29 DOM
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2026-06-09pricestatus $105,000 Price Change 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $113,500 Active 28 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,775
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$942
- − Management
- −$942
- − HOA
- −$3,648
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable loss
- −$3,206
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$769
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,032/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This townhouse requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including repainting and re-roofing, to improve its condition and value.
Components & finishes AI
Repairs flagged
- Major Paint — Paint is faded and needs repainting
- Moderate Siding — Siding appears weathered and may need repainting or replacement
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and repainting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Re-roofing — Improves structural integrity and aesthetic appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shirley School District
- NCES district ID
- 0512420
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,296
- Composite
- 37.98/100
- National rank
- #8669
- State rank
- #132 of 245 in AR
Livability — Fairfield Bay
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #16778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairfield Bay, AR
- County
- Van Buren · 15,459 people
- City population
- 2,264
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,264
- Household income
- $54,508
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,459 people
- By 2030
- 14,645 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 12,918 · -16.4%
- By 2050
- 11,263 · -27.1%
- By 2075
- 7,870 · -49.1%
- By 2100
- 4,918 · -68.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.2) · D 18.9% · R 79.0% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -31.7pp · 2024: -60.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.2 2020: R+56.9 2016: R+53.9 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+31.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.48%
- Current HPI
- 238.2694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+5.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $105,000 CARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $113,500 CARMLS
- 2023-11-02 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2023-07-11 Price Changed $144,900 CARMLS
- 2023-06-10 Price Changed $154,900 CARMLS
- 2023-05-02 Listed $164,900 CARMLS
- 2019-06-21 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2018-12-20 Listed $99,900 CARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…