1006 Heritage Park Dr · Irondequoit, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful colonial with Webster schools! 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms tucked away on a . 42 acre lot! Walk into the lovely foyer that leads you to the spacious eat-in kitchen open to the bright and airy family room! Perfect layout for entertaining! Formal dining room and living room with brand new vinyl plank flooring! Fresh paint throughout! Half bathroom on the first floor as well! Three bedrooms on the second floor with a beautiful full main bathroom! Enjoy the expansive backyard and patio before summer ends! Attached two-car garage + double wide driveway! Conveniently located! All offers are due by Monday, August 8th at 10 am.
Key facts
- Large family room
- Open dining room
- Updated colonial
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (6.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (7.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $240k (7.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.5% in Irondequoit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#92 in NY, #1,414 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F.
- Webster Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #184 of 590 in NY (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $220k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.65%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $349,650
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 671 Adeline Dr | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,537 (-2%) | 7mo | $324,500 | $211 | 80 |
| 986 Gravel Rd | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,644 (+4%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $179 | 67 |
| 949 Gaywood Ln | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,540 (-2%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $182 | 67 |
| 965 Danby Dr | 0.27mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,428 (-9%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $231 | 65 |
| 691 Regina Dr | 0.62mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,578 (+0%) | 1mo | $377,500 | $239 | 65 |
| 1021 Gravel Rd | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,482 (-6%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $101 | 58 |
| 961 Garden Ln | 0.40mi | 3/3.0 | 1,683 (+7%) | 10mo | $395,000 | $235 | 56 |
| 121 Anytrell Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,636 (+4%) | 6mo | $430,000 | $263 | 54 |
| 1100 Hatch Rd | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (-11%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $168 | 53 |
| 658 Regina Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,741 (+10%) | 1mo | $396,000 | $227 | 51 |
| 1103 Five Mile Line Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,418 (-10%) | 2mo | $315,500 | $222 | 49 |
| 611 Galbro Cir | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 1,772 (+12%) | 9mo | $380,000 | $214 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-49,827
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-56,972
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14580
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 242
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$525 /mo · $6,294/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$504
- Net cashflow
- $-100
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $47 | -5% $-26 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-174 | +10% $-247 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-290 | -5% $-195 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-5 | +10% $90 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $31 | -0.5pp $-34 | base $-100 | +0.5pp $-167 | +1.0pp $-236 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 744 Royal Sunset Dr Webster, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1233 | $2,411 | $1.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 78 S Estate Dr Webster, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $3,000 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 47 Willow Point Way Webster, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $2,439 | $2.12 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 77 Deerhurst Ln Webster, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1070 | $2,000 | $1.87 | 4d | 21 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2026-04-16$260,000 Active
-
2022-09-26soldstatus $220,000
-
2022-09-22soldstatus $220,000 Closed Sale or Rented 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Beautiful colonial with Webster schools! 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms tucked away on a . 42 acre lot! Walk into the lovely foyer that leads you to the spacious eat-in kitchen open to the bright and airy family room! Perfect layout for entertaining! Formal dining room and living room with brand new vinyl plank flooring! Fresh paint throughout! Half bathroom on the first floor as well! Three bedrooms on the second floor with a beautiful full main bathroom! Enjoy the expansive backyard and patio before summer ends! Attached two-car garage + double wide driveway! Conveniently located! All offers are due by Monday, August 8th at 10 am.
-
2022-08-09status Pending Sale 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Beautiful colonial with Webster schools! 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms tucked away on a . 42 acre lot! Walk into the lovely foyer that leads you to the spacious eat-in kitchen open to the bright and airy family room! Perfect layout for entertaining! Formal dining room and living room with brand new vinyl plank flooring! Fresh paint throughout! Half bathroom on the first floor as well! Three bedrooms on the second floor with a beautiful full main bathroom! Enjoy the expansive backyard and patio before summer ends! Attached two-car garage + double wide driveway! Conveniently located! All offers are due by Monday, August 8th at 10 am.
-
2022-08-04$194,900 Active 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Beautiful colonial with Webster schools! 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms tucked away on a . 42 acre lot! Walk into the lovely foyer that leads you to the spacious eat-in kitchen open to the bright and airy family room! Perfect layout for entertaining! Formal dining room and living room with brand new vinyl plank flooring! Fresh paint throughout! Half bathroom on the first floor as well! Three bedrooms on the second floor with a beautiful full main bathroom! Enjoy the expansive backyard and patio before summer ends! Attached two-car garage + double wide driveway! Conveniently located! All offers are due by Monday, August 8th at 10 am.
-
2017-02-23soldstatus $159,900 Closed Sale or Rented 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
3 large bedrooms, 1.5 baths, 1545 square feet nestled in a fantastic location in the heart of Webster! Beautifully updated colonial home, newer roof, furnace, windows, solid surface counter tops, central air, stainless steel appliances. Large garage. Gorgeous landscaping and lush treed lot.
-
2017-02-23soldstatus $159,900
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
3 large bedrooms, 1.5 baths, 1545 square feet nestled in a fantastic location in the heart of Webster! Beautifully updated colonial home, newer roof, furnace, windows, solid surface counter tops, central air, stainless steel appliances. Large garage. Gorgeous landscaping and lush treed lot.
-
2017-01-25status Pending Sale 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
3 large bedrooms, 1.5 baths, 1545 square feet nestled in a fantastic location in the heart of Webster! Beautifully updated colonial home, newer roof, furnace, windows, solid surface counter tops, central air, stainless steel appliances. Large garage. Gorgeous landscaping and lush treed lot.
-
2016-10-05price $159,900 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
3 large bedrooms, 1.5 baths, 1545 square feet nestled in a fantastic location in the heart of Webster! Beautifully updated colonial home, newer roof, furnace, windows, solid surface counter tops, central air, stainless steel appliances. Large garage. Gorgeous landscaping and lush treed lot.
-
2016-09-26price $164,900 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
3 large bedrooms, 1.5 baths, 1545 square feet nestled in a fantastic location in the heart of Webster! Beautifully updated colonial home, newer roof, furnace, windows, solid surface counter tops, central air, stainless steel appliances. Large garage. Gorgeous landscaping and lush treed lot.
-
2016-09-02$169,900 Active 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
3 large bedrooms, 1.5 baths, 1545 square feet nestled in a fantastic location in the heart of Webster! Beautifully updated colonial home, newer roof, furnace, windows, solid surface counter tops, central air, stainless steel appliances. Large garage. Gorgeous landscaping and lush treed lot.
-
2005-05-03soldstatus $143,500
-
2000-06-19soldstatus $115,900
-
1998-06-02soldstatus $107,000
-
1996-01-31soldstatus $111,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,294 · $525/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,294 · $525/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,806
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$6,294
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,304
- − Management
- −$2,304
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$5,525
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,326
- After-tax cash flow
- $127/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Webster Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630360
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,221
- Composite
- 55.18/100
- National rank
- #1273
- State rank
- #184 of 590 in NY
Livability — Irondequoit
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #1414
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 74,252
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,180
- Household income
- $98,310
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1325.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.52%
- Current HPI
- 266.2145
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.38%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+134.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $260,000 UNYREIS
- 2022-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-22 Sold (MLS) $220,000 UNYREIS
- 2022-08-09 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2022-08-04 Listed $194,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $159,900 Public Records
- 2017-02-23 Sold (MLS) $159,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-01-25 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2016-10-05 Price Changed $159,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-09-26 Price Changed $164,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-09-02 Listed $169,900 UNYREIS
- 2005-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $143,500 Public Records
- 2000-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $115,900 Public Records
- 1998-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
- 1996-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $6,294 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…