4919 Leighton Ave · Lincoln, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$158,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 4919 Leighton Ave. , This, 1000 sq ft home built in 1930, is charming and spacious. The first-floor features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath that flow to the living and dining room. The upstairs offers a loft with a bedroom and bathroom. The basement has 2 additional bedrooms, a third bath and storage. Move in ready with NEW carpet throughout the house. Conveniently located off of 49th and Leighton, this is close to schools, shops and dining. A perfect home for first time home buyers or an investor looking to expand their portfolio. Don't miss the opportunity to see this one today!
Key facts
- Upstairs loft
- First floor
- Basement storage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $158k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($700/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (10.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (10.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Riley Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #289 of 502 statewide, top 63%, 280 students, 68% FRL); Dawes Middle School (math 32% / reading 38%, grade F, #103 of 128 statewide, top 80%, 405 students, 48% FRL); Lincoln Northeast High School (math 34% / reading 36%, grade F, #207 of 261 statewide, top 79%, 1,812 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 37% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lincoln Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 60 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.58%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $256,224
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5337 Garland St | 0.30mi | 2/1.5 | 1,635 (+0%) | 6mo | $216,500 | $132 | 79 |
| 4611 Madison Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,662 (+2%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $135 | 68 |
| 4311 Saint Paul Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,666 (+2%) | 0mo | $261,000 | $157 | 64 |
| 2645 N 57th St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,541 (-6%) | 1mo | $250,600 | $163 | 56 |
| 2242 N 56th St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,431 (-12%) | 2mo | $234,000 | $164 | 53 |
| 3141 N 44th St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,603 (-2%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $97 | 52 |
| 5945 Francis St | 0.69mi | 2/1.5 | 1,518 (-7%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $161 | 52 |
| 5135 Judson St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,468 (-10%) | 2mo | $207,000 | $141 | 48 |
| 6018 Baldwin Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,502 (-8%) | 2mo | $176,000 | $117 | 46 |
| 1721 N 57th St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,457 (-11%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $165 | 44 |
| 4410 Baldwin Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,408 (-14%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $135 | 42 |
| 6100 Lexington Ave | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,454 (-11%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $158 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-25,286
- Equity at exit
- $23,558
- IRR
- -13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-30,518
- Equity at exit
- $13,661
Cash invested: $44,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68504
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,420 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$829
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,030/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $58
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,500
- Closing costs
- $4,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4800 Holdrege St Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 806 | $1,625 | $2.01 | 13d | 88 | 0.46mi |
| 4904 Holdrege St Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1282 | $1,299 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4529 Holdrege St Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4630 Starr St Unit 4630 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1460 | $1,250 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4910 Dudley St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3811 Baldwin Ave Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $1,269 | $1.25 | 13d | 14 | 0.76mi |
| 2228 Mirwyn Ct Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1748 | $2,200 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2210 Mirwyn Ct Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1748 | $2,000 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1025 N 63rd St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1157 | $1,278 | $1.10 | 13d | 7 | 0.97mi |
| 5101 Vine St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $1,370 | $1.55 | 13d | 18 | 1.00mi |
| 2840 N Cotner Blvd Unit 1 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,425 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 301 N 44th St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $1,310 | $1.50 | 13d | 17 | 1.35mi |
| 225 N Cotner Blvd Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 791 | $1,895 | $2.39 | 13d | 25 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-11$158,000 New
-
2026-03-19historical
-
2026-03-09$158,300 New
-
2026-03-09historical
-
2026-01-28$168,300 New
-
2025-10-24historical $1,800
-
2025-07-19$1,800
-
2024-03-14historical $1,800
-
2024-01-18price $1,800
-
2023-10-02$1,900
-
2019-10-31soldstatus $350,000
-
2013-03-20soldstatus $40,000
-
2013-03-20soldstatus $40,000
-
2013-03-11historical
-
2013-03-06historical
-
2012-10-17$55,000
-
2012-10-17$55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,030 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,733 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- +$703/yr (+$59/mo · 34.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,042
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,850
- − Property taxes
- −$2,030
- − Insurance
- −$790
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,363
- − Management
- −$1,363
- − Depreciation
- −$4,596
- Taxable loss
- −$1,952
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$468
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,169/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3172840
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,273
- Composite
- 44.05/100
- National rank
- #2880
- State rank
- #59 of 111 in NE
Livability — Lincoln
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln, NE
- County
- Lancaster County · 291,509 people
- City population
- 291,509
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,278
- Household income
- $56,213
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1076.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 352,806 people
- By 2030
- 377,899 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 428,582 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 483,103 · +36.9%
- By 2075
- 632,390 · +79.2%
- By 2100
- 759,513 · +115.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Black 7% Asian 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: 4.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.3 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+0.1 2012: R+1.0 2008: D+5.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -157.10%
- Current HPI
- 246.8013
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.56%
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+187.3% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-11 Listed $158,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $158,300 GPRMLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $168,300 GPRMLS
- 2025-10-24 Rental Removed $1,800 APPFOLIO
- 2025-07-19 Listed for Rent $1,800 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $1,800 APPFOLIO
- 2024-01-18 Price Changed $1,800 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-02 Listed for Rent $1,900 APPFOLIO
- 2019-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
- 2013-03-20 Sold (MLS) $40,000 GPRMLS
- 2013-03-20 Sold (MLS) $40,000 GPRMLS
- 2013-03-11 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2013-03-06 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2012-10-17 Listed $55,000 GPRMLS
- 2012-10-17 Listed $55,000 GPRMLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,030 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…