2354 State Route 41a · Moravia, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming farmhouse where things will be alright and the stars shine bright across your own private country setting. Nestled on 2.72 acres, this inviting home offers the perfect blend of rural character and everyday comfort. Step inside to discover a spacious country kitchen featuring newer appliances and plenty of room to gather with family and friends. Hardwood floors flow throughout much of the home, complemented by several newer windows that bring in abundant natural light. The large open living and dining rooms create an ideal space for entertaining or simply relaxing after a long day. Upstairs, you'll find four generously sized bedrooms offering plenty of room for famil
Key facts
- Country kitchen
- Massive pole barn
- Newer windows
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Two-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Existing structure
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Country kitchen; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Propane water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $235k).
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.7% in Moravia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#357 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Moravia Central School District (rural): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #391 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1800 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1800 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.21%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $149,704
- Equity at exit
- $211,707
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.44×
- Total profit
- $423,881
- Equity at exit
- $456,553
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13118
- Home prices YoY
- 29.3%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,487 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$294 /mo · $3,525/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$522
- Net cashflow
- $340
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18$235,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,839
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$3,525
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,387
- − Management
- −$2,387
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable income
- $365
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$88
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,997/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moravia Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3619800
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,991
- Composite
- 42.47/100
- National rank
- #3215
- State rank
- #391 of 590 in NY
Livability — Moravia
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #357
- US rank
- #6025
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,514
Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 74,820 people
- By 2030
- 72,402 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 66,917 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 61,007 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 48,047 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 34,512 · -53.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 82.97%
- Current HPI
- 366.5746
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+47.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $235,000 CNYIS
- 2017-07-22 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2016-07-23 Listed $159,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-07-22 Listed $159,900 IBRMLS
- 2015-10-01 Listed $159,900 UNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…