1115 Filmore St · Sandusky, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
5 bedroom home needs work but has endless possibilities! Nice bonus room area upstairs, house sits on 1/3 acre. SOLD AS IS! All room sizes are approximate.
Key facts
- Remodeled kitchen
- Spacious layout
- Remodeled bathrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 5.4% in Sandusky — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#63 in OH, #929 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, employment F.
- Sandusky City (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #583 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 209 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 128 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Erie County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $87k; list at $160k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.39%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,782
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1505 Central Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,208 (-4%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $170 | 80 |
| 1222 W Osborne St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,211 (-3%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $58 | 79 |
| 1523 Central Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-8%) | 3mo | $206,000 | $179 | 74 |
| 1720 Buchanan St | 0.41mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,264 (+1%) | 0mo | $169,500 | $134 | 72 |
| 513 Rockwell St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,312 (+5%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $130 | 68 |
| 1313 Vine St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (-11%) | 1mo | $171,500 | $154 | 64 |
| 1805 Mills St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,352 (+8%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $48 | 59 |
| 1334 Lindsley St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,366 (+9%) | 1mo | $143,000 | $105 | 58 |
| 1510 Pearl St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,103 (-12%) | 3mo | $47,000 | $43 | 58 |
| 1330 Clinton St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,334 (+6%) | 3mo | $177,250 | $133 | 56 |
| 306 Tyler St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,136 (-9%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $114 | 53 |
| 932 Madison St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,098 (-12%) | 2mo | $162,000 | $148 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-6,006
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $20,288
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44870
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,660 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,118/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $313
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1515 W Perkins Ave Sandusky, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $925 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1032 Perry St Sandusky, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1845 | $850 | $0.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 156 E Market St Sandusky, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1266 | $3,539 | $2.79 | 43d | 5 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $159,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $159,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $159,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$189,900 Active
-
2022-06-01soldstatus $87,000
-
2018-03-26soldstatus $18,000 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
5 bedroom home needs work but has endless possibilities! Nice bonus room area upstairs, house sits on 1/3 acre. SOLD AS IS! All room sizes are approximate.
-
2018-01-19$25,000 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
5 bedroom home needs work but has endless possibilities! Nice bonus room area upstairs, house sits on 1/3 acre. SOLD AS IS! All room sizes are approximate.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,118 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,806 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- +$688/yr (+$57/mo · 61.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,922
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$1,118
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,594
- − Management
- −$1,594
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $1,208
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$290
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,468/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sandusky City
- NCES district ID
- 3904474
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,583
- Composite
- 25.1/100
- National rank
- #7532
- State rank
- #583 of 656 in OH
Livability — Sandusky
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #929
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sandusky, OH
- County
- Erie County · 39,883 people
- City population
- 39,883
- Metro
- Sandusky, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,883
- Household income
- $62,082
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1602.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 73,204 people
- By 2030
- 71,341 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 66,771 · -8.8%
- By 2050
- 62,512 · -14.6%
- By 2075
- 56,154 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 49,045 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 15% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.5% · R 56.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.99%
- Current HPI
- 209.6383
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sandusky, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+659.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $189,900 FSBO.com
- 2022-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 2018-03-26 Sold (MLS) $18,000 FAOR
- 2018-01-19 Listed $25,000 FAOR
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,118 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…