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Litchfield Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 42.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,990

Litchfield Plan · Angier, NC 27501
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,573 sqft · Townhouse · 22 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The Litchfield is a new construction townhome designed with an open-concept layout, efficient use of space, and modern functionality for everyday living. With a thoughtfully designed two-level floor plan, this home offers a balance of comfortable gathering areas and private retreats. The main level features a spacious, open layout that seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining area, and family room. This design creates a natural flow ideal for both entertaining and daily routines, with ample space to gather, relax, or host. The kitchen serves as the focal point of the home, offering a functional layout that integrates easily with the surrounding living areas. Upstairs, the primary suite provi

Key facts

  • Two level floor plan
  • Private suite
  • Spacious open layout

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTTWO LEVEL FLOOR PLANSPACIOUS OPEN LAYOUTFUNCTIONAL KITCHEN LAYOUTPRIVATE SUITEGENEROUSLY SIZED CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $230,990

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 garage space (1 total parking space)
  • Home design: Litchfield plan; New construction (Plan)
  • Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,573

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
  • Interior features: Plan is Litchfield (new construction plan)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $230,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $229,658.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $231k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-9/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $230k (0.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (13.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $201k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.9% in Angier — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#69 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, schools F.
  • Harnett County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #130 of 178 in NC (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 657 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,080 units permitted in Harnett County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harnett County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $200,802 (13.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
-0.01%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$229,658
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
46 Clementine St #186 0.27mi 3/2.5 1,573 (0%) 2mo $229,970 $146 86
36 Clementine St #189 0.27mi 3/2.5 1,588 (+1%) 2mo $217,860 $137 84
38 Clementine St #188 0.27mi 3/2.5 1,603 (+2%) 2mo $207,575 $129 83
34 Clementine St #190 0.27mi 3/2.5 1,618 (+3%) 2mo $238,455 $147 81
40 Amaryllis Ln #139 0.37mi 3/2.5 1,578 (+0%) 3mo $207,930 $132 80
93 Begonia St 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,700 (+8%) 0mo $240,000 $141 80
70 Bloodroot St #113 0.31mi 3/2.5 1,622 (+3%) 3mo $239,185 $147 78
16 Amaryllis Ln #144 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,603 (+2%) 3mo $214,990 $134 78
14 Amaryllis Ln #145 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,603 (+2%) 3mo $218,000 $136 78
34 Amaryllis Ln #140 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,603 (+2%) 3mo $242,960 $152 78
6 Amaryllis Ln #147 0.35mi 3/2.5 1,618 (+3%) 3mo $236,110 $146 76
112 Clementine St 0.26mi 3/2.5 1,418 (-10%) 1mo $245,000 $173 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-40,279
Equity at exit
$34,243
10-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-47,131
Equity at exit
$19,857

Cash invested: $64,304 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27501

Home prices YoY
-11.4%
Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
657
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,008 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,204
Tax est. 1.5%
$287 /mo · $3,445/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$422
Net cashflow
$-1

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,009
Max offer price $229,545
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $158 -5% $79 +0% $-1 +5% $-80 +10% $-159
Rent -10% $-159 -5% $-80 +0% $-1 +5% $79 +10% $158
Rate -1.0pp $115 -0.5pp $58 base $-1 +0.5pp $-60 +1.0pp $-121

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,414
Closing costs
$6,890
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24 Blackthorn Ln Angier, NC 3.0 3.0 1890 $1,995 $1.06 14d 1 0.06mi
24 Blackthorn Ln Angier, NC 3.0 3.0 1890 $1,990 $1.05 24d 1 0.06mi
158 Kay Ln Angier, NC 3.0 2.0 1237 $1,695 $1.37 14d 1 0.38mi
105 Meadow Vista Ln Angier, NC 4.0 2.5 2121 $1,879 $0.89 14d 1 0.63mi
285 N Willow St Angier, NC 2.0 2.5 1192 $1,445 $1.21 22d 1 0.67mi
102 N Dunn St Angier, NC 3.0 2.5 1914 $1,895 $0.99 14d 1 0.67mi
43 Molly Mac Ln Angier, NC 3.0 2.0 1732 $2,100 $1.21 22d 1 0.82mi
25 North St Angier, NC 3.0 2.0 1212 $1,750 $1.44 24d 1 0.91mi
242 S Raleigh St Angier, NC 2.0 2.5 1156 $1,800 $1.56 24d 1 0.93mi
278 S Raleigh St Angier, NC 2.0 2.5 1168 $1,500 $1.28 24d 1 0.94mi
170 Shelly Dr Angier, NC 2.0 2.5 1387 $1,445 $1.04 22d 1 1.18mi
167 Shelly Dr Angier, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 946 $1,445 $1.53 22d 2 1.19mi
13 Silver Pine Dr Angier, NC 3.0 3.0 1851 $1,860 $1.00 24d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,990 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $230,990 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,990 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,990 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $230,990 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $230,990 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $230,990 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,990 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $230,990 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $230,990 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $230,990 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $230,990 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $230,990 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $230,990 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $230,990 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,096
− Mortgage interest
−$12,864
− Property taxes
−$3,445
− Insurance
−$1,148
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,928
− Management
−$1,928
− Depreciation
−$6,681
Taxable loss
−$3,898
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$935
After-tax cash flow
$926/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This new construction townhome is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It offers a spacious, open-concept layout and modern amenities. The property is move-in ready with minimal maintenance required.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
  • Resale Kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Resale Bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures can make bathrooms more appealing to potential buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
  • Resale Kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Resale Bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures can make bathrooms more appealing to potential buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harnett County Schools
NCES district ID
3702010
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,400
Composite
29.88/100
National rank
#6397
State rank
#130 of 178 in NC

Livability — Angier

Score
73/100
State rank
#69
US rank
#5182

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Angier, NC
County
Harnett County · 125,715 people
City population
24,806
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
24,806
Household income
$73,336
Rent vs Own
22.1% rent · 77.9% own
Severe rent burden
339.0

Population outlook (Harnett County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
153,758 people
By 2030
166,581 · +8.3%
By 2040
192,741 · +25.4%
By 2050
218,332 · +42.0%
By 2075
275,422 · +79.1%
By 2100
313,511 · +103.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harnett

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.1) · D 36.9% · R 62.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -25.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.1 2020: R+22.4 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.84%
Current HPI
248.5302
Rent YoY
▲ 1.47%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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