🏗️ New Construction
Litchfield Plan · Angier, NC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The Litchfield is a new construction townhome designed with an open-concept layout, efficient use of space, and modern functionality for everyday living. With a thoughtfully designed two-level floor plan, this home offers a balance of comfortable gathering areas and private retreats. The main level features a spacious, open layout that seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining area, and family room. This design creates a natural flow ideal for both entertaining and daily routines, with ample space to gather, relax, or host. The kitchen serves as the focal point of the home, offering a functional layout that integrates easily with the surrounding living areas.
Key facts
- Two level floor plan
- Private suite
- Spacious open layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $231k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $230k (0.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (13.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $201k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.9% in Angier — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#69 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, commute F.
- Harnett County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #130 of 178 in NC (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Angier Elementary (math 21% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,218 of 1,410 statewide, top 87%, 356 students, 80% FRL); Harnett Central Middle (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #323 of 475 statewide, top 68%, 1,024 students, 63% FRL); Harnett Central High (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D-, #334 of 535 statewide, top 64%, 1,474 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 51% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 817 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,080 units permitted in Harnett County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harnett County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.26%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $248,526
- List price
- $230,990
- Delta
- -7.06%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Clementine St #187 | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 | 1,603 (+2%) | 2mo | $217,705 | $136 | 83 |
| 50 Anastasia St #148 | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,573 (0%) | 2mo | $227,500 | $145 | 83 |
| 86 Amaryllis Ln #129 | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,578 (+0%) | 0mo | $212,930 | $135 | 81 |
| 54 Amaryllis Ln #136 | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 1,588 (+1%) | 0mo | $213,830 | $135 | 81 |
| 50 Amaryllis Ln #137 | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 1,586 (+1%) | 1mo | $232,385 | $147 | 81 |
| 58 Amaryllis Ln #135 | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 1,603 (+2%) | 0mo | $229,805 | $143 | 79 |
| 74 Amaryllis Ln #132 | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,603 (+2%) | 0mo | $235,155 | $147 | 79 |
| 78 Amaryllis Ln #131 | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,603 (+2%) | 0mo | $218,005 | $136 | 79 |
| 82 Amaryllis Ln #130 | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,603 (+2%) | 0mo | $212,915 | $133 | 79 |
| 42 Anastasia St #150 | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 | 1,622 (+3%) | 2mo | $241,470 | $149 | 78 |
| 62 Amaryllis Ln #134 | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 1,618 (+3%) | 1mo | $214,220 | $132 | 77 |
| 108 Clementine St | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (-10%) | 1mo | $223,000 | $157 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-51,641
- Equity at exit
- $37,056
- IRR
- -19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-67,719
- Equity at exit
- $21,488
Cash invested: $69,587 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active · 20 under contract
- Months of supply
- 1.0 mo (100%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $258,858 ($162/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 76 d
- This list price
- 17% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -2.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 27501
- Home prices YoY
- -11.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 817
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,008 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,303
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$311 /mo · $3,728/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$422
- Net cashflow
- $-131
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $41 | -5% $-45 | +0% $-131 | +5% $-217 | +10% $-303 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-290 | -5% $-210 | +0% $-131 | +5% $-52 | +10% $27 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-6 | -0.5pp $-68 | base $-131 | +0.5pp $-196 | +1.0pp $-261 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,132
- Closing costs
- $7,456
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Blackthorn Ln Angier, NC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1890 | $1,995 | $1.06 | 63d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 24 Blackthorn Ln Angier, NC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1890 | $1,990 | $1.05 | 72d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 158 Kay Ln Angier, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $1,695 | $1.37 | 63d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 105 Meadow Vista Ln Angier, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2121 | $1,879 | $0.89 | 63d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 285 N Willow St Angier, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1192 | $1,445 | $1.21 | 70d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 102 N Dunn St Angier, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1914 | $1,895 | $0.99 | 63d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 43 Molly Mac Ln Angier, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $2,100 | $1.21 | 70d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 25 North St Angier, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,750 | $1.44 | 72d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 242 S Raleigh St Angier, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1156 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 72d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 278 S Raleigh St Angier, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1168 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 72d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 170 Shelly Dr Angier, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1387 | $1,445 | $1.04 | 70d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 167 Shelly Dr Angier, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 946 | $1,445 | $1.53 | 70d | 2 | 1.19mi |
| 13 Silver Pine Dr Angier, NC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1851 | $1,860 | $1.00 | 72d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- List price $230,990
Exterior
- Parking
- 1 garage space (1 total parking space)
- Home design
- Litchfield planNew construction (Plan)
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 1,573
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
- Interior features
- Plan is Litchfield (new construction plan)
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $230,990 Active 73 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $230,990 Active 72 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $230,990 Active 71 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $230,990 Active 70 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $230,990 Active 69 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $230,990 Active 68 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $230,990 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $230,990 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $230,990 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $230,990 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $230,990 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $230,990 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $230,990 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $230,990 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $230,990 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $230,990 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $230,990 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $230,990 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $230,990 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $230,990 Active 45 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $230,990 Active 44 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $230,990 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $230,990 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $230,990 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $230,990 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $230,990 Active 39 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $230,990 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $230,990 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $230,990 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $230,990 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $230,990 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $230,990 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $230,990 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $230,990 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $230,990 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $230,990 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $230,990 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $230,990 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $230,990 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $230,990 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $230,990 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $230,990 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $230,990 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $230,990 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $230,990 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $230,990 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $230,990 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $230,990 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $230,990 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $230,990 Active 6 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,096
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,921
- − Property taxes
- −$3,728
- − Insurance
- −$1,243
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,928
- − Management
- −$1,928
- − Depreciation
- −$7,230
- Taxable loss
- −$5,881
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,411
- After-tax cash flow
- $-163/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This new construction townhome is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It offers a spacious, open-concept layout and modern amenities. The property is move-in ready with minimal maintenance required.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Resale Kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures can make bathrooms more appealing to potential buyers and renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harnett County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702010
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,400
- Composite
- 29.88/100
- National rank
- #6397
- State rank
- #130 of 178 in NC
Livability — Angier
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #69
- US rank
- #5182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Angier, NC
- County
- Harnett County · 153,758 people
- City population
- 24,806
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,806
- Household income
- $73,336
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Harnett County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 153,758 people
- By 2030
- 166,581 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 192,741 · +25.4%
- By 2050
- 218,332 · +42.0%
- By 2075
- 275,422 · +79.1%
- By 2100
- 313,511 · +103.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harnett
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.1) · D 36.9% · R 62.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -25.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.1 2020: R+22.4 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.84%
- Current HPI
- 248.5302
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.47%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…