565 Carlton Pointe Dr · Palmetto, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Do not be fooled! This home has high ceilings, great layout TONS of natural light and plenty of space! Two story home stands out with a smart layout, modern LVP flooring throughout, and a low monthly HOA that keeps the neighborhood well maintained without the high cost. The main level features an open living room with fireplace, dining area, and a kitchen with breakfast bar designed for everyday living and easy entertaining. The primary suite is conveniently located on the main level and offers a private ensuite with separate shower and soaking tub. Upstairs, spacious secondary bedrooms share a full bath, giving everyone their own space. Water heater was replaced just 2 years ago. Quick acc
Key facts
- Open living room
- Separate shower
- Modern lvp flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Paved road access; Directions: Please use GPS
- HOA & community: Association dues of $71 per month; Has association; Community features: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Garage faces front; Driveway; Open parking available; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Two levels; Townhome/Condo style; Resale property
- Construction: Brick and other construction materials; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Pantry; Other solid-surface counters; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master on main; One main-level bedroom; Two upper-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Other flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Master bath with separate tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Living room fireplace; 2+ common walls
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($594/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (5.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $216k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Palmetto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#329 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Palmetto Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #753 of 1,228 statewide, top 64%, 358 students, 100% FRL); Creekside High School (math 30% / reading 24%, grade F, #160 of 424 statewide, top 38%, 1,768 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 41% district-wide (59 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 227 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.92%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $381,929
- List price
- $230,000
- Delta
- -39.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 521 Palmetto Oaks Trl | 0.44mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,405 (+14%) | 3mo | $405,000 | $168 | 46 |
| 507 Palmetto Oaks Trl | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 | 1,863 (-12%) | 24mo | $347,000 | $186 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-34,043
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-25,277
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30268
- Home prices YoY
- -22.1%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,164 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$71
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$455
- Net cashflow
- $49
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $208 | -5% $129 | +0% $49 | +5% $-30 | +10% $-109 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-122 | -5% $-36 | +0% $49 | +5% $135 | +10% $220 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $165 | -0.5pp $108 | base $49 | +0.5pp $-10 | +1.0pp $-71 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512 Tori Ct Palmetto, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2222 | $2,040 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 115 Anna Ave Palmetto, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1716 | $1,910 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 495 Anna Ave Palmetto, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,255 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $71 · $852/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $230,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $230,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $230,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $237,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $237,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $237,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $237,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $237,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $237,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $237,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $237,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $237,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-06$240,000 Active 1185-char remark
-
2023-12-28historical
-
2023-11-07status Back On Market
-
2023-11-03status Under Contract
-
2023-10-22$245,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,974
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,450
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,078
- − Management
- −$2,078
- − HOA
- −$852
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$3,208
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$770
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,364/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton County
- NCES district ID
- 1302280
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,035
- Composite
- 45.33/100
- National rank
- #2640
- State rank
- #12 of 174 in GA
Livability — Palmetto
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #329
- US rank
- #17351
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palmetto, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 10,874
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,874
- Household income
- $91,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 206.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.29%
- Current HPI
- 258.4993
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-6.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $230,000 FMLS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $237,500 FMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $240,000 FMLS
- 2023-12-28 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2023-11-07 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2023-11-03 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-10-22 Listed $245,000 GAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…