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565 Carlton Pointe Dr
C- Composite 50.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

565 Carlton Pointe Dr · Palmetto, GA 30268
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,104 sqft · SingleFamily · 45 Days on market
Built 2002 1,393 sqft lot $109/sqft · 40% below area Est $382k · 40% under $71/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Do not be fooled! This home has high ceilings, great layout TONS of natural light and plenty of space! Two story home stands out with a smart layout, modern LVP flooring throughout, and a low monthly HOA that keeps the neighborhood well maintained without the high cost. The main level features an open living room with fireplace, dining area, and a kitchen with breakfast bar designed for everyday living and easy entertaining. The primary suite is conveniently located on the main level and offers a private ensuite with separate shower and soaking tub. Upstairs, spacious secondary bedrooms share a full bath, giving everyone their own space. Water heater was replaced just 2 years ago. Quick acc

Key facts

  • Open living room
  • Separate shower
  • Modern lvp flooring

Tags

CARLTON POINTE COMMUNITYMODERN LVP FLOORINGOPEN LIVING ROOMBREAKFAST BARPRIVATE ENSUITESEPARATE SHOWER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Paved road access; Directions: Please use GPS
  • HOA & community: Association dues of $71 per month; Has association; Community features: Other

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Garage faces front; Driveway; Open parking available; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Two levels; Townhome/Condo style; Resale property
  • Construction: Brick and other construction materials; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Rear porch; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Pantry; Other solid-surface counters; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master on main; One main-level bedroom; Two upper-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Master bath with separate tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Living room fireplace; 2+ common walls
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($594/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (5.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $216k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Palmetto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#329 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Palmetto Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #753 of 1,228 statewide, top 64%, 358 students, 100% FRL); Creekside High School (math 30% / reading 24%, grade F, #160 of 424 statewide, top 38%, 1,768 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 41% district-wide (59 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 227 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $216,448 (5.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.55%
Cash-on-cash
0.92%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$381,929
List price
$230,000
Delta
-39.78%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
521 Palmetto Oaks Trl 0.44mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,405 (+14%) 3mo $405,000 $168 46
507 Palmetto Oaks Trl 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,863 (-12%) 24mo $347,000 $186 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-34,043
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-25,277
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30268

Home prices YoY
-22.1%
Active inventory
227
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,164 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax est. 1.5%
$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$71
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$455
Net cashflow
$49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,102
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $208 -5% $129 +0% $49 +5% $-30 +10% $-109
Rent -10% $-122 -5% $-36 +0% $49 +5% $135 +10% $220
Rate -1.0pp $165 -0.5pp $108 base $49 +0.5pp $-10 +1.0pp $-71

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
512 Tori Ct Palmetto, GA 3.0 2.5 2222 $2,040 $0.92 45d 1 0.59mi
115 Anna Ave Palmetto, GA 3.0 2.5 1716 $1,910 $1.11 44d 1 0.73mi
495 Anna Ave Palmetto, GA 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,255 $1.41 0d 1 0.93mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$71 · $852/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $230,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $230,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $237,500 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $237,500 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $237,500 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $237,500 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $237,500 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $237,500 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $237,500 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $237,500 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    price $237,500 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    listed $240,000 Active 1185-char remark
  16. 2023-12-28
    historical
  17. 2023-11-07
    status Back On Market
  18. 2023-11-03
    status Under Contract
  19. 2023-10-22
    listed $245,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,974
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$3,450
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,078
− Management
−$2,078
− HOA
−$852
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$3,208
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$770
After-tax cash flow
$1,364/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — Palmetto

Score
61/100
State rank
#329
US rank
#17351

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palmetto, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
10,874
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
10,874
Household income
$91,349
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
206.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.29%
Current HPI
258.4993
Rent YoY
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $230,000 FMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $237,500 FMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $240,000 FMLS
  • 2023-12-28 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2023-11-07 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2023-11-03 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-10-22 Listed $245,000 GAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…