12330 N US Highway 59 · Appleby, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment Opportunity & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Great Fixer-Upper with Strong Potential! 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on 0.63 acres along Highway 59, just minutes from Appleby and Central Heights, on the outskirts of Nacogdoches. This property needs remodeling and is being sold as-is, making it an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create value through renovation. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home offers a solid foundation with plenty of potential for customization. The 0.63-acre lot provides ample space for outdoor improvements, storage, or future expansion. Conveniently located with direct access to Highway 59, the property
Key facts
- 0.63 acres
- Sold as-is
- Room for expansion
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#882 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Nacogdoches ISD (town): math 26% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #688 of 826 in TX (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.9%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Nacogdoches County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.53%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $8,200
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $64,953
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75965
- Rents YoY
- 12.9%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,349 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,263/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $309
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $114,999 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,999 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,999 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,999 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-14$114,999 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,263 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,104 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- +$842/yr (+$70/mo · 66.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,187
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,263
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,295
- − Management
- −$1,295
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,973
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$473
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,240/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nacogdoches ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4832090
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,759
- Composite
- 22.98/100
- National rank
- #7983
- State rank
- #688 of 826 in TX
Livability — Appleby
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #882
- US rank
- #15908
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Nacogdoches County · 53,896 people
- Metro
- Nacogdoches, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,243
- Household income
- $55,291
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1086.0
Population outlook (Nacogdoches County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,553 people
- By 2030
- 66,920 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 66,833 · +0.4%
- By 2050
- 66,462 · -0.1%
- By 2075
- 65,710 · -1.3%
- By 2100
- 62,321 · -6.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 11% Two or more races 8% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Nacogdoches
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.8) · D 30.2% · R 69.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -38.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.8 2020: R+31.3 2016: R+35.4 2012: R+36.2 2008: R+27.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -130.81%
- Current HPI
- 178.4946
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.91%
- Metro
- Nacogdoches, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $114,999 FSBO.com
- 2026-04-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-03-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,263 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…