1042 Ambleside Dr · Haines City, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$278,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed | 2 bath | 1-bay | 1582 sqft * Closing costs are additional and not included in the USDA 30 year fixed rate 100% financing. Terms and availability of this loan program, and the sales price, are examples only and are subject to change without notice. Loans are subject to credit approval. Restrictions and conditions may apply. USDA loans are subject to income and geographic eligibility criteria. Loan program is available through Inspire Home Loans® | NMLS # 1564276, click here for State Licensing Disclosures with additional information found at NMLS Consumer Access: www. nmlsconsumeraccess.org. ©02/2025 Century Communities, Inc.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Elegant cabinetry
- Private bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Projected completion date: 2026-06-26
- Financial info: CDD (Community Development District) applicable
- HOA & community: HOA managed by Prime Community Management, LLC; Monthly HOA fee approximately $46.75 (annual $561.05); HOA fees cover common area taxes, pool, management and recreational facilities; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, park, playground, trails, dog park and other recreation; Association recreation owned; community mailboxes; special community restrictions; pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (19 x 20) with garage door opener; Driveway
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Completed / New construction; South-facing
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by Century Complete (model SANIBEL-B6)
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Exterior lighting; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Living room/dining room combo; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Double-pane/insulated thermal windows
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $279k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-193 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (12.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (20.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $223k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#285 in FL, #4,575 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 1333 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.96%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-61,487
- Equity at exit
- $41,598
- IRR
- -23.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.09×
- Total profit
- $-85,161
- Equity at exit
- $24,122
Cash invested: $78,117 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33844
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 1333
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,225 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,463
- Tax from tax record
- −$325 /mo · $3,905/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$46
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$467
- Net cashflow
- $-193
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-35 | -5% $-114 | +0% $-193 | +5% $-272 | +10% $-351 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-369 | -5% $-281 | +0% $-193 | +5% $-105 | +10% $-17 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-52 | -0.5pp $-122 | base $-193 | +0.5pp $-265 | +1.0pp $-339 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,748
- Closing costs
- $8,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1053 Ambleside Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $2,550 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1717 Frogmore Ave Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 239 Summerlin Ln Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2168 | $2,300 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 432 Summer Grove Ln Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $1,850 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 833 Ambleside Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1887 | $1,950 | $1.03 | 11d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 167 Hidden Lake Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1981 | $2,020 | $1.02 | 20d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 148 Summerlin Loop Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1579 | $1,850 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1138 Foreshore Ln Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1734 | $2,200 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 202 Hidden Lake Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1981 | $1,905 | $0.96 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1462 Sea Glass Rd Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2168 | $2,200 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 117 Hidden Lake Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2099 | $2,085 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3377 Wakefield Dr Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,950 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 120 Hidden Lake Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1909 | $2,020 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1361 Current Pl Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1630 | $2,100 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 333 Hidden Lake Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1909 | $1,985 | $1.04 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1105 Lexington Ln Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2123 | $1,995 | $0.94 | 20d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 621 Sand Pine Ln Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2040 | $2,350 | $1.15 | 11d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 299 Bottle Brush Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1763 | $2,300 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1276 Tupelo Trl Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1900 | $1,895 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 429 Silver Palm Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $1,990 | $1.22 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2203 Pigeon Plum Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1887 | $2,190 | $1.16 | 11d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3139 Cedar Crossing Blvd Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $1,795 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1433 Princess Tree Ct Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $1,999 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 914 Princess Sabal Pt Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1677 | $1,775 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1950 Pond Pine Ct Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1939 | $1,975 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1313 Tank Trl Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,095 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 662 Fairview Ave Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $1,995 | $1.12 | 4d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 375 Boardwalk Ave Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1725 | $2,350 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4746 Katrina Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1818 | $2,095 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5153 Green Belt Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,300 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5157 Green Belt Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2109 | $2,900 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1336 Madison Cir Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1733 | $2,800 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 128 Arlington Square Ct Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $2,300 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 768 Richmond Estate Ave Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $1,995 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1339 Madison Cir Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,990 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5009 Katrina Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $2,500 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5177 Green Belt Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2109 | $2,920 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4770 Katrina Dr Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2109 | $2,000 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3754 King Hill Dr Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1720 | $1,800 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1123 Patriot Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1807 | $2,150 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $46 · $552/yr
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $278,990 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $278,990 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $278,990 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $278,990 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $278,990 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $278,990 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $278,990 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $278,990 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $278,990 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $278,990 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $278,990 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $278,990 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $278,990 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $278,990 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
3 bed | 2 bath | 1-bay | 1582 sqft * Closing costs are additional and not included in the USDA 30 year fixed rate 100% financing. Terms and availability of this loan program, and the sales price, are examples only and are subject to change without notice. Loans are subject to credit approval. Restrictions and conditions may apply. USDA loans are subject to income and geographic eligibility criteria. Loan program is available through Inspire Home Loans® | NMLS # 1564276, click here for State Licensing Disclosures with additional information found at NMLS Consumer Access: www. nmlsconsumeraccess.org. ©02/2025 Century Communities, Inc.
-
2026-05-13price $278,990
-
2026-05-12price $285,990 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
3 bed | 2 bath | 1-bay | 1582 sqft * Closing costs are additional and not included in the USDA 30 year fixed rate 100% financing. Terms and availability of this loan program, and the sales price, are examples only and are subject to change without notice. Loans are subject to credit approval. Restrictions and conditions may apply. USDA loans are subject to income and geographic eligibility criteria. Loan program is available through Inspire Home Loans® | NMLS # 1564276, click here for State Licensing Disclosures with additional information found at NMLS Consumer Access: www. nmlsconsumeraccess.org. ©02/2025 Century Communities, Inc.
-
2026-05-11price $285,990
-
2026-04-24price $295,990 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
3 bed | 2 bath | 1-bay | 1582 sqft * Closing costs are additional and not included in the USDA 30 year fixed rate 100% financing. Terms and availability of this loan program, and the sales price, are examples only and are subject to change without notice. Loans are subject to credit approval. Restrictions and conditions may apply. USDA loans are subject to income and geographic eligibility criteria. Loan program is available through Inspire Home Loans® | NMLS # 1564276, click here for State Licensing Disclosures with additional information found at NMLS Consumer Access: www. nmlsconsumeraccess.org. ©02/2025 Century Communities, Inc.
-
2026-04-24price $295,990
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
3 bed | 2 bath | 1-bay | 1582 sqft * Closing costs are additional and not included in the USDA 30 year fixed rate 100% financing. Terms and availability of this loan program, and the sales price, are examples only and are subject to change without notice. Loans are subject to credit approval. Restrictions and conditions may apply. USDA loans are subject to income and geographic eligibility criteria. Loan program is available through Inspire Home Loans® | NMLS # 1564276, click here for State Licensing Disclosures with additional information found at NMLS Consumer Access: www. nmlsconsumeraccess.org. ©02/2025 Century Communities, Inc.
-
2026-04-18price $299,990 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
3 bed | 2 bath | 1-bay | 1582 sqft * Closing costs are additional and not included in the USDA 30 year fixed rate 100% financing. Terms and availability of this loan program, and the sales price, are examples only and are subject to change without notice. Loans are subject to credit approval. Restrictions and conditions may apply. USDA loans are subject to income and geographic eligibility criteria. Loan program is available through Inspire Home Loans® | NMLS # 1564276, click here for State Licensing Disclosures with additional information found at NMLS Consumer Access: www. nmlsconsumeraccess.org. ©02/2025 Century Communities, Inc.
-
2026-04-18price $299,990
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
3 bed | 2 bath | 1-bay | 1582 sqft * Closing costs are additional and not included in the USDA 30 year fixed rate 100% financing. Terms and availability of this loan program, and the sales price, are examples only and are subject to change without notice. Loans are subject to credit approval. Restrictions and conditions may apply. USDA loans are subject to income and geographic eligibility criteria. Loan program is available through Inspire Home Loans® | NMLS # 1564276, click here for State Licensing Disclosures with additional information found at NMLS Consumer Access: www. nmlsconsumeraccess.org. ©02/2025 Century Communities, Inc.
-
2026-04-08price $294,888 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
3 bed | 2 bath | 1-bay | 1582 sqft * Closing costs are additional and not included in the USDA 30 year fixed rate 100% financing. Terms and availability of this loan program, and the sales price, are examples only and are subject to change without notice. Loans are subject to credit approval. Restrictions and conditions may apply. USDA loans are subject to income and geographic eligibility criteria. Loan program is available through Inspire Home Loans® | NMLS # 1564276, click here for State Licensing Disclosures with additional information found at NMLS Consumer Access: www. nmlsconsumeraccess.org. ©02/2025 Century Communities, Inc.
-
2026-04-07price $294,888
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2026-02-26$313,990 Active 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
3 bed | 2 bath | 1-bay | 1582 sqft * Closing costs are additional and not included in the USDA 30 year fixed rate 100% financing. Terms and availability of this loan program, and the sales price, are examples only and are subject to change without notice. Loans are subject to credit approval. Restrictions and conditions may apply. USDA loans are subject to income and geographic eligibility criteria. Loan program is available through Inspire Home Loans® | NMLS # 1564276, click here for State Licensing Disclosures with additional information found at NMLS Consumer Access: www. nmlsconsumeraccess.org. ©02/2025 Century Communities, Inc.
-
2026-02-26$313,990 Active
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
3 bed | 2 bath | 1-bay | 1582 sqft * Closing costs are additional and not included in the USDA 30 year fixed rate 100% financing. Terms and availability of this loan program, and the sales price, are examples only and are subject to change without notice. Loans are subject to credit approval. Restrictions and conditions may apply. USDA loans are subject to income and geographic eligibility criteria. Loan program is available through Inspire Home Loans® | NMLS # 1564276, click here for State Licensing Disclosures with additional information found at NMLS Consumer Access: www. nmlsconsumeraccess.org. ©02/2025 Century Communities, Inc.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,905 · $325/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,905 · $325/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,702
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,628
- − Property taxes
- −$3,905
- − Insurance
- −$1,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,136
- − Management
- −$2,136
- − HOA
- −$552
- − Depreciation
- −$8,116
- Taxable loss
- −$7,166
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,720
- After-tax cash flow
- $-594/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Haines City
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #285
- US rank
- #4575
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Haines City, FL
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- City population
- 51,255
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,255
- Household income
- $63,650
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1107.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% White 31% Black 18% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 39% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.94%
- Current HPI
- 291.0798
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.16%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-11.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $278,990 Zillow
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $278,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $285,990 Zillow
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $285,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $295,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $295,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $299,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $299,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $294,888 Zillow
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $294,888 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Listed $313,990 Zillow
- 2026-02-26 Listed $313,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,905 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…