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18491 NE State Road 121
C+ Composite 60.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

18491 NE State Road 121 · Williston, FL 32696
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,549 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 333 Days on market
Built 1952 1.00 ac lot ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!

Key facts

  • Bright kitchen
  • Durable metal roof
  • Screened porch

Tags

TONGUE-AND-GROOVE WOOD WALLSCOZY WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEBRIGHT KITCHENSCREENED PORCHDURABLE METAL ROOFHIGH-SPEED FIBER INTERNET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is approximately 1.01 acres (about 143 x 305); Building area total listed as 2,041 sq ft; living area listed as 1,549 sq ft; Living area source: public records

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; High-speed internet available; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south; Property listed as fixer condition; R-1 zoning
  • Construction: Frame construction with asbestos siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation with pillar/post/pier
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt/paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Ductless heating; Wall/window cooling units; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.9% in Williston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#256 in FL, #4,045 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 333 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 333 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.50%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$334,584
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
887 SW 6th Ave 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,780 (+15%) 16mo $385,000 $216 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-3,275
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$26,461
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32696

Home prices YoY
-6.2%
Active inventory
358
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,898 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$239 /mo · $2,867/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$355

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,449
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $445 -5% $400 +0% $355 +5% $310 +10% $264
Rent -10% $205 -5% $280 +0% $355 +5% $430 +10% $505
Rate -1.0pp $435 -0.5pp $396 base $355 +0.5pp $313 +1.0pp $271

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 333 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 332 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 331 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 330 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 328 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 327 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 325 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 324 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 323 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 322 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $160,000 Active 319 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 318 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 317 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 316 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 315 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $160,000 Active 314 DOM
  17. 2026-03-02
    price $160,000 892-char remark
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!

  18. 2026-03-02
    price $160,000
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!

  19. 2026-01-03
    status Active 892-char remark
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!

  20. 2025-12-23
    status Active
  21. 2025-12-15
    status Pending 892-char remark
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!

  22. 2025-12-15
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!

  23. 2025-10-27
    price $170,000 892-char remark
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!

  24. 2025-10-27
    price $170,000
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!

  25. 2025-09-29
    listed $175,000 Active 892-char remark
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!

  26. 2025-07-12
    listed $175,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,867 · $239/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,867 · $239/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,777
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$2,867
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,822
− Management
−$1,822
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$1,848
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$444
After-tax cash flow
$3,814/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Levy
NCES district ID
1201140
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,254
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4673
State rank
#54 of 73 in FL

Livability — Williston

Score
75/100
State rank
#256
US rank
#4045

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,532

Population outlook (Levy County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,536 people
By 2030
34,498 · -5.6%
By 2040
30,294 · -17.1%
By 2050
26,368 · -27.8%
By 2075
19,003 · -48.0%
By 2100
13,169 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Levy

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.6% · R 74.8%
2008→2024 swing
-23.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -50.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -21.99%
Current HPI
335.7751
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $160,000 DGLMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $160,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-03 Relisted DGLMLS
  • 2025-12-23 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-15 Pending DGLMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $170,000 DGLMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $170,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $175,000 DGLMLS
  • 2025-07-12 Listed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+20.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,867 · +15.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…