18491 NE State Road 121 · Williston, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- Durable metal roof
- Screened porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is approximately 1.01 acres (about 143 x 305); Building area total listed as 2,041 sq ft; living area listed as 1,549 sq ft; Living area source: public records
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; High-speed internet available; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south; Property listed as fixer condition; R-1 zoning
- Construction: Frame construction with asbestos siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation with pillar/post/pier
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt/paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Ductless heating; Wall/window cooling units; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.9% in Williston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#256 in FL, #4,045 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 333 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 333 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.50%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $334,584
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 887 SW 6th Ave | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,780 (+15%) | 16mo | $385,000 | $216 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-3,275
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $26,461
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32696
- Home prices YoY
- -6.2%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,898 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$239 /mo · $2,867/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $355
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $445 | -5% $400 | +0% $355 | +5% $310 | +10% $264 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $205 | -5% $280 | +0% $355 | +5% $430 | +10% $505 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $435 | -0.5pp $396 | base $355 | +0.5pp $313 | +1.0pp $271 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $160,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $160,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-03-02price $160,000 892-char remark
Show marketing remark (892 chars)
VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!
-
2026-03-02price $160,000
Show marketing remark (892 chars)
VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!
-
2026-01-03status Active 892-char remark
Show marketing remark (892 chars)
VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!
-
2025-12-23status Active
-
2025-12-15status Pending 892-char remark
Show marketing remark (892 chars)
VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!
-
2025-12-15status Pending
Show marketing remark (892 chars)
VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!
-
2025-10-27price $170,000 892-char remark
Show marketing remark (892 chars)
VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!
-
2025-10-27price $170,000
Show marketing remark (892 chars)
VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!
-
2025-09-29$175,000 Active 892-char remark
Show marketing remark (892 chars)
VINTAGE CHARM JUST OUTSIDE THE CITY! Discover the character and warmth of this classic 1952 home, set on a full acre along scenic State Road 121, just a mile south of downtown Williston. With over 1,500 sq. ft. of living space, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home blends vintage appeal with practical updates. Inside, you'll find tongue-and-groove wood walls in the dining and living rooms, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a bright kitchen that opens to a screened porch/mud room connecting to the garage. Enjoy peace of mind with a durable metal roof and stay connected with high-speed fiber internet from Fiber by Central Florida. A paved driveway leads to the attached one-car garage, offering convenience and extra storage. This is a rare opportunity to own a solid, character-filled home on a spacious lot in a great location close to town but with a true country feel. Come make it your own!
-
2025-07-12$175,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,867 · $239/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,867 · $239/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,777
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,867
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,822
- − Management
- −$1,822
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $1,848
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$444
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,814/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Levy
- NCES district ID
- 1201140
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,254
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4673
- State rank
- #54 of 73 in FL
Livability — Williston
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #256
- US rank
- #4045
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,532
Population outlook (Levy County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,536 people
- By 2030
- 34,498 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 30,294 · -17.1%
- By 2050
- 26,368 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 19,003 · -48.0%
- By 2100
- 13,169 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Levy
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.6% · R 74.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.99%
- Current HPI
- 335.7751
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-8.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $160,000 DGLMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $160,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-03 Relisted — DGLMLS
- 2025-12-23 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-15 Pending — DGLMLS
- 2025-12-15 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $170,000 DGLMLS
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $170,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-29 Listed $175,000 DGLMLS
- 2025-07-12 Listed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+20.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,867 · +15.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…