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3327 Fulshear Cir
D Composite 40.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Cash flow +2.7/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$450,000

3327 Fulshear Cir · Aurora, IL 60503
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,502 sqft · SingleFamily · 80 Days on market
Built 2025 5,519 sqft lot $300/sqft · 21% below area Est $567k · 21% under $360/mo HOA · 15% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This NEW RESALE Vista floor plan is your opportunity home! Why wait to build and close late in the year, when you can close now on this fantastic home with a charming full front porch? One of the most popular designs in the neighborhood, and numerous upgrades make this the one to own. Western exposure across the backyard, plus premium lot located on the greenbelt and path, with no neighbor directly behind. Upgraded elevation; extensive luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout; upgraded owners' suite bath with tiled shower surround. Whole house humidifier. Upgraded cabinets in a soft gray stain in kitchen, and pecan finish in bathrooms. Upgraded Whirlpool kitchen appliances with LG refrigerator. Upgraded quartz countertops in both bathrooms and kitchen. Pendant lighting over huge breakfast bar island. Door hardware and light fixture upgrade, too. Builder installed passive radon mitigation system. Quiet low traffic street, and location close to ponds, paths, clubhouse, pickleball and tennis courts, bocce ball, pools and clubhouse patios. Very active HOA with numerous clubs and interest groups and endless social events for living your best life! Builder's one year warranty to October. (Note that although this home is within school district boundaries, it is exempt from the district, and no occupants are eligible for school district services. Most furniture available for purchase at additional cost.)

Key facts

  • 5,519 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $450k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $231k (48.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (45.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $231k (48.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 2.3% vs local median 3.5% in Aurora — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#232 in IL, #4,272 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: The Wheatlands Elementary School (math 39% / reading 46%, grade F, #329 of 2,056 statewide, top 16%, 550 students, 0% FRL); Bednarcik Junior High School (math 39% / reading 38%, grade F, #154 of 665 statewide, top 24%, 571 students, 0% FRL); Oswego East High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #104 of 693 statewide, top 15%, 2,836 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $48k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $45k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$77k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($423k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $230,901 (48.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 49% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.55%
Cap rate
2.26%
Cash-on-cash
-14.42%
DSCR
0.36
GRM
15.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$566,566
List price
$450,000
Delta
-20.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3326 Fulshear Cir 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,503 (+0%) 8mo $413,683 $275 93
3225 Sweetgrass Cir 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,503 (+0%) 14mo $443,763 $295 88
3182 Sunbridge Cir 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,503 (+0%) 16mo $476,739 $317 86
3223 Sweetgrass Cir 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,503 (+0%) 17mo $446,331 $297 86
3229 Sweetgrass Cir 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,503 (+0%) 18mo $495,395 $330 80
3311 Fulshear Cir 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,624 (+8%) 11mo $485,000 $299 78
3286 Wildlight Rd 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,624 (+8%) 12mo $476,555 $293 77
3219 Sweetgrass Cir 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,595 (+6%) 15mo $496,022 $311 72
3309 Fulshear Cir 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,625 (+8%) 18mo $465,646 $287 71
3184 Sunbridge Cir 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,595 (+6%) 18mo $465,565 $292 70
2478 Red Hawk Ridge Ct 0.46mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,538 (+2%) 15mo $344,900 $224 55
2132 James Leigh Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,679 (+12%) 13mo $492,900 $294 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$148,904
Equity at exit
$405,396
10-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
5.09×
Total profit
$514,849
Equity at exit
$874,251

Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60503

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
15.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,476 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,360
Tax est. 1.5%
$562 /mo · $6,750/yr
Insurance
$188
HOA
$360
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$520
Net cashflow
$-1,514

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,392
Max offer price $230,901
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,203 -5% $-1,359 +0% $-1,514 +5% $-1,670 +10% $-1,825
Rent -10% $-1,710 -5% $-1,612 +0% $-1,514 +5% $-1,416 +10% $-1,319
Rate -1.0pp $-1,288 -0.5pp $-1,400 base $-1,514 +0.5pp $-1,631 +1.0pp $-1,749

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,500
Closing costs
$13,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2205 Daybreak Dr #2205 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1700 $2,500 $1.47 7d 1 0.22mi
2226 Daybreak Dr #2226 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1627 $2,500 $1.54 45d 1 0.26mi
2460 Georgetown Cir Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1532 $2,400 $1.57 3d 1 0.46mi
2516 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1482 $2,300 $1.55 19d 1 0.51mi
2531 Congress Ave #2531 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1532 $2,500 $1.63 45d 1 0.52mi
1801 Turtle Creek Dr Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1794 $3,300 $1.84 20d 1 0.54mi
2550 Providence Ave Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1550 $2,300 $1.48 45d 1 0.54mi
2337 Summerlin Dr Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1700 $2,500 $1.47 45d 1 0.55mi
2333 Summerlin Dr #2333 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.0 1572 $2,500 $1.59 45d 1 0.56mi
2575 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1530 $2,500 $1.63 45d 1 0.60mi
2598 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1482 $2,395 $1.62 22d 1 0.63mi
2270 Georgetown Cir Unit 2270 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1533 $2,800 $1.83 45d 1 0.63mi
1636 Fredericksburg Ln Aurora, IL 2.0 2.0 1168 $2,250 $1.93 45d 1 0.65mi
690 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1318 $2,100 $1.59 4d 1 0.66mi
669 Lincoln Station Dr #669 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1315 $2,250 $1.71 22d 1 0.67mi
652 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,999 $1.33 19d 1 0.74mi
652 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,999 $1.33 5d 1 0.74mi
640 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 2.0 2.5 1318 $2,100 $1.59 45d 1 0.74mi
644 Lincoln Station Dr #644 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1318 $2,250 $1.71 45d 1 0.74mi
616 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 2.0 2.5 1318 $2,250 $1.71 26d 1 0.75mi
337 Devoe Dr #337 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,600 $1.73 26d 1 0.91mi
347 Devoe Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1520 $2,595 $1.71 14d 1 0.92mi
260 Devoe Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1704 $2,400 $1.41 14d 1 0.99mi
2552 Dickens Dr Unit 2552 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.0 1120 $2,150 $1.92 45d 1 1.02mi
2554 Dickens Dr Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1116 $2,050 $1.84 26d 1 1.03mi
2454 Frost Dr Unit 2454 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1230 $2,300 $1.87 45d 1 1.03mi
2565 Dickens Ct Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1116 $2,300 $2.06 45d 1 1.05mi
1847 Clubhouse Dr Aurora, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1238 $2,254 $1.82 0d 23 1.06mi
2503 Dickens Dr #2503 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.0 1150 $2,050 $1.78 45d 1 1.13mi
2873 Carlsbad Cir Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1626 $2,990 $1.84 45d 1 1.17mi
464 Valentine Way Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 2071 $2,800 $1.35 0d 1 1.19mi
1419 Farrington Ln Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1476 $2,959 $2.00 4d 1 1.21mi
1914 Spinnaker Ct Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1412 $3,000 $2.12 45d 1 1.27mi
3153 Teal Bay Ct Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1600 $2,400 $1.50 9d 1 1.31mi
2000 Emblem Cir Oswego, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 966 $2,362 $2.45 0d 29 1.33mi
1860 Middlebury Dr Unit 1860 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1471 $2,450 $1.67 21d 1 1.34mi
3192 Teal Bay Ct Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1600 $2,500 $1.56 45d 1 1.36mi
4475 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1555 $3,100 $1.99 0d 1 1.37mi
4462 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1783 $3,400 $1.91 45d 1 1.37mi
4456 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1600 $2,850 $1.78 3d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$360 · $4,320/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $450,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $450,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $450,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $450,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $450,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $450,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $450,000 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $450,000 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $450,000 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $450,000 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $450,000 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $450,000 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $450,000 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $450,000 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-04-21
    price $455,000 1417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1417 chars)

    This NEW RESALE Vista floor plan is your opportunity home! Why wait to build and close late in the year, when you can close now on this fantastic home with a charming full front porch? One of the most popular designs in the neighborhood, and numerous upgrades make this the one to own. Western exposure across the backyard, plus premium lot located on the greenbelt and path, with no neighbor directly behind. Upgraded elevation; extensive luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout; upgraded owners' suite bath with tiled shower surround. Whole house humidifier. Upgraded cabinets in a soft gray stain in kitchen, and pecan finish in bathrooms. Upgraded Whirlpool kitchen appliances with LG refrigerator. Upgraded quartz countertops in both bathrooms and kitchen. Pendant lighting over huge breakfast bar island. Door hardware and light fixture upgrade, too. Builder installed passive radon mitigation system. Quiet low traffic street, and location close to ponds, paths, clubhouse, pickleball and tennis courts, bocce ball, pools and clubhouse patios. Very active HOA with numerous clubs and interest groups and endless social events for living your best life! Builder's one year warranty to October. (Note that although this home is within school district boundaries, it is exempt from the district, and no occupants are eligible for school district services. Most furniture available for purchase at additional cost.)

  16. 2026-04-02
    listed $460,000 Active 1417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1417 chars)

    This NEW RESALE Vista floor plan is your opportunity home! Why wait to build and close late in the year, when you can close now on this fantastic home with a charming full front porch? One of the most popular designs in the neighborhood, and numerous upgrades make this the one to own. Western exposure across the backyard, plus premium lot located on the greenbelt and path, with no neighbor directly behind. Upgraded elevation; extensive luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout; upgraded owners' suite bath with tiled shower surround. Whole house humidifier. Upgraded cabinets in a soft gray stain in kitchen, and pecan finish in bathrooms. Upgraded Whirlpool kitchen appliances with LG refrigerator. Upgraded quartz countertops in both bathrooms and kitchen. Pendant lighting over huge breakfast bar island. Door hardware and light fixture upgrade, too. Builder installed passive radon mitigation system. Quiet low traffic street, and location close to ponds, paths, clubhouse, pickleball and tennis courts, bocce ball, pools and clubhouse patios. Very active HOA with numerous clubs and interest groups and endless social events for living your best life! Builder's one year warranty to October. (Note that although this home is within school district boundaries, it is exempt from the district, and no occupants are eligible for school district services. Most furniture available for purchase at additional cost.)

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,707
− Mortgage interest
−$25,207
− Property taxes
−$6,750
− Insurance
−$2,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,377
− Management
−$2,377
− HOA
−$4,320
− Depreciation
−$13,091
Taxable loss
−$26,664
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,399
After-tax cash flow
$-11,770/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
CUSD 308
NCES district ID
1730270
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$89,945
Composite
31.25/100
National rank
#6028
State rank
#179 of 620 in IL

Livability — Aurora

Score
75/100
State rank
#232
US rank
#4272

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aurora, IL
County
Will County · 412,448 people
City population
186,692
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
16,789
Household income
$136,726
Rent vs Own
9.8% rent · 90.2% own
Severe rent burden
19.0

Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
705,368 people
By 2030
708,154 · +0.4%
By 2040
702,692 · -0.4%
By 2050
680,249 · -3.6%
By 2075
611,990 · -13.2%
By 2100
516,215 · -26.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Asian 19% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Scandinavian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Will

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.31%
Current HPI
232.382
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $455,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $460,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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