126 Cherokee Cr Cir · Hinesville, GA 31313

$139,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,208 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market

Built 2015 Est $211k · 34% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +17.6/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +5.8/10.0
• DSCR +5.5/10.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss this opportunity to own this renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bath duplex offering 1208 sq feet of comfortable living space! Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and just a short drive to Ft. Stewart. This property is perfect for homeowners or investors . Recent updates include fresh paint, appliances, cabinets and LVP flooring throughout. The layout offers a functional flow with ample living space. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

• Built 2015
• Listed 28 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located in Cherokee Village subdivision

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities
• Home design: Single-family residence; Attached property with one common wall; Single-story
• Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior
• Exterior features: Underground utilities; Public water; Public sewer

Interior

• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
• Interior features: Electric water heater
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dedicated laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
• Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.2% in Hinesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#51 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, commute D+, crime F.
• Liberty County (urban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #133 of 174 in GA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 612 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 471 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Liberty County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $137,801 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.08% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.23%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.34%
• DSCR: 1.15
• GRM: 7.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $211,400
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1064 Desert Shield St	0.38mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,178 (-2%)	4mo	$199,900	$170	70
1104 Tomcat Trl Trl	0.47mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,245 (+3%)	2mo	$237,000	$190	66
735 Kadi Ln	0.57mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,290 (+7%)	0mo	$208,500	$162	57
1242 Dhurahn Dr	0.73mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,223 (+1%)	3mo	$185,000	$151	56
927 Charles C Frasier Blvd	0.30mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,379 (+14%)	6mo	$210,000	$152	53
106 Deann Dr	0.63mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,285 (+6%)	2mo	$224,900	$175	52
1110 Apache Aly	0.46mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,106 (-8%)	12mo	$204,500	$185	50
222 Glenn Bryant Rd	0.67mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,111 (-8%)	1mo	$219,900	$198	50
124 Deann Dr	0.67mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,269 (+5%)	12mo	$202,000	$159	46
1405 Desert Storm Dr	0.73mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,268 (+5%)	11mo	$232,000	$183	43
1052 Phantom Ter	0.53mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,032 (-15%)	4mo	$217,400	$211	43
1102 Chapparal Cir	0.53mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,381 (+14%)	11mo	$235,000	$170	37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.70×
• Total profit: $-11,874
• Equity at exit: $20,860

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.39×
• Total profit: $15,167
• Equity at exit: $12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31313

• Home prices YoY: -27.1%
• Rents YoY: 5.4%
• Active inventory: 612
• Price-to-rent: 7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,511 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$734
• Tax from tax record: −$292 /mo · $3,509/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$317
• Net cashflow: $109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,373

Max offer price $139,900

Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $188	-5% $149	+0% $109	+5% $70	+10% $30
Rent	-10% $-10	-5% $49	+0% $109	+5% $169	+10% $228
Rate	-1.0pp $180	-0.5pp $145	base $109	+0.5pp $73	+1.0pp $36

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $34,975
• Closing costs: $4,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 23 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
172 Cherokee Cir Hinesville, GA	3.0	2.0	1290	$1,550	$1.20	44d	1	0.07mi
108 Cherokee Cir Hinesville, GA	3.0	2.0	1208	$1,275	$1.06	44d	1	0.09mi
131 Pointe South Dr Hinesville, GA	2.0	1.0	960	$1,950	$2.03	44d	1	0.50mi
910 Brett Dr Hinesville, GA	2.0–3.0	2.0	957	$1,350	$1.41	45d	3	0.51mi
910 Brett Dr Hinesville, GA	2.0–3.0	2.0	957	$1,350	$1.41	44d	4	0.51mi
134 Pointe South Dr Hinesville, GA	2.0	1.0	840	$1,195	$1.42	44d	1	0.54mi
286 Whitetail Cir Hinesville, GA	3.0	2.0	1274	$1,600	$1.26	44d	1	0.79mi
1456 Coalition Cir Hinesville, GA	3.0	2.0	1424	$1,700	$1.19	44d	1	0.80mi
1458 Sheridan Pt Hinesville, GA	3.0	2.0	1400	$1,800	$1.29	44d	1	0.80mi
1012 White Cir Hinesville, GA	3.0	1.0	1050	$1,300	$1.24	44d	1	0.82mi
255 Glenn Bryant Rd Hinesville, GA	3.0	1.0	1075	$1,700	$1.58	44d	1	0.91mi
250 Garden Cir Hinesville, GA	3.0	2.0	1140	$1,750	$1.54	44d	1	0.95mi
1100 Pineland Ave Hinesville, GA	2.0	2.5	1412	$1,575	$1.12	44d	2	0.99mi
727 S Main St Hinesville, GA	2.0–3.0	1.5	1286	$1,250	$0.97	44d	3	1.00mi
220 Garden Cir Hinesville, GA	3.0	1.5	1323	$1,650	$1.25	44d	1	1.03mi
732 Fleming Rd Hinesville, GA	3.0	1.5	1348	$1,400	$1.04	44d	1	1.06mi
814 Lesa St Hinesville, GA	2.0	1.5	1152	$950	$0.82	44d	1	1.09mi
662 Mahoney Rd Hinesville, GA	3.0	2.0	1196	$1,795	$1.50	44d	1	1.13mi
1069 Kelly Dr Hinesville, GA	3.0	1.5	1270	$1,350	$1.06	44d	1	1.16mi
635 Maxwell St Hinesville, GA	3.0	1.0	950	$1,700	$1.79	44d	1	1.24mi
912 Pineland Ave Hinesville, GA	3.0	2.5	1428	$1,648	$1.15	44d	1	1.29mi
1113 Kelly Dr Hinesville, GA	2.0	2.0	858	$995	$1.16	44d	1	1.30mi
149 Becky St Hinesville, GA	3.0	2.0	1145	$1,800	$1.57	44d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-05-20
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-01
   historical Active Under Contract

   Show marketing remark (439 chars)

   Don't miss this opportunity to own this renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bath duplex offering 1208 sq feet of comfortable living space! Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and just a short drive to Ft. Stewart. This property is perfect for homeowners or investors . Recent updates include fresh paint, appliances, cabinets and LVP flooring throughout. The layout offers a functional flow with ample living space. Schedule your showing today!

3. 2026-05-01
   historical Active Under Contract 439-char remark

   Show marketing remark (439 chars)

   Don't miss this opportunity to own this renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bath duplex offering 1208 sq feet of comfortable living space! Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and just a short drive to Ft. Stewart. This property is perfect for homeowners or investors . Recent updates include fresh paint, appliances, cabinets and LVP flooring throughout. The layout offers a functional flow with ample living space. Schedule your showing today!

4. 2026-04-21
   listed $139,900 Active 439-char remark

   Show marketing remark (439 chars)

   Don't miss this opportunity to own this renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bath duplex offering 1208 sq feet of comfortable living space! Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and just a short drive to Ft. Stewart. This property is perfect for homeowners or investors . Recent updates include fresh paint, appliances, cabinets and LVP flooring throughout. The layout offers a functional flow with ample living space. Schedule your showing today!

5. 2026-04-20
   listed $139,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,509 · $292/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,509 · $292/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,129
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,837
• − Property taxes: −$3,509
• − Insurance: −$700
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,450
• − Management: −$1,450
• − Depreciation: −$4,070
• Taxable loss: −$887
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$213
• After-tax cash flow: $1,522/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Liberty County
• NCES district ID: 1303300
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 28% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $43,911
• Composite: 20.2/100
• National rank: #8630
• State rank: #133 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hinesville

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #51
• US rank: #5200

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Hinesville, GA
• County: Liberty County · 58,565 people
• City population: 42,838
• Metro: Hinesville, GA
• Population (ZIP): 42,838
• Household income: $60,233
• Rent vs Own: 50.1% rent · 49.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 1693.0

Population outlook (Liberty County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 58,689 people
• By 2030: 57,670 · -1.7%
• By 2040: 55,750 · -5.0%
• By 2050: 54,155 · -7.7%
• By 2075: 58,947 · +0.4%
• By 2100: 66,919 · +14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 47% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 7%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Liberty

• 2024 margin: D (+17.4) · D 58.5% · R 41.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.9pp toward R · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 17.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+17.4 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+30.2 2008: D+28.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -77.50%
• Current HPI: 208.0927
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.41%
• Metro: Hinesville, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Pending — Hive MLS
• 2026-05-01 Contingent — Hive MLS
• 2026-05-01 Contingent — HABR
• 2026-04-21 Listed $139,900 HABR
• 2026-04-20 Listed $139,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+11.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,509 · +1337.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.