14855 4th Rd · La Paz, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment opportunity awaits! This quaint country home sits on a full acre and is ready for its next chapter. If you’ve been searching for a place that rewards vision—and you’re unafraid of the unknown—you’ve found it. Yes, it needs a major rehab but for the right buyer that just means a chance to build serious sweat equity. Nestled in a quiet rural setting, you’ll enjoy peaceful surroundings, open space, and room to make it your own—while still being just a short drive from town and everyday conveniences. Whether you’re an investor, flipper, or a buyer with ambition this property offers endless possibilities. If you’re not afraid of a
Key facts
- Open space
- Quiet rural setting
- Full acre
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); 1 story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Approximately 1 acre lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; No cooling
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Has a basement (crawl space)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $684 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#467 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Union-North United School Corporation (rural): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #172 of 301 in IN (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marshall County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.09%
- DSCR
- 3.01
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $315,425
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -79.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $33,021
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 48.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.66×
- Total profit
- $84,825
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46563
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,383 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $486/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $684
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $721 | -5% $702 | +0% $684 | +5% $666 | +10% $647 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $575 | -5% $629 | +0% $684 | +5% $739 | +10% $793 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $717 | -0.5pp $700 | base $684 | +0.5pp $667 | +1.0pp $650 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-17status $65,000 Pending 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $94,900 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,900 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active Under Contract 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active Under Contract 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $94,900 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
-
2026-05-02historical Active Under Contract 884-char remark
-
2026-04-24$94,900 Active 884-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $486 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $519 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$33/yr (+$3/mo · 6.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,592
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$486
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,327
- − Management
- −$1,327
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $7,595
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,823
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,384/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union-North United School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1811910
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,550
- Composite
- 31.63/100
- National rank
- #5934
- State rank
- #172 of 301 in IN
Livability — La Paz
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #467
- US rank
- #16478
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Marshall County · 23,615 people
- City population
- 520
- Metro
- Plymouth, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,615
- Household income
- $73,293
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 243.0
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,402 people
- By 2030
- 45,775 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 44,220 · -4.7%
- By 2050
- 42,329 · -8.8%
- By 2075
- 38,235 · -17.6%
- By 2100
- 33,285 · -28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 12% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.4) · D 27.4% · R 70.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -43.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.4 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.52%
- Current HPI
- 247.1045
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Plymouth, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-31.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-06-05 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $65,000 IRMLS
- 2026-05-02 Contingent — IRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $94,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $486 · -28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…