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4373 Wimbledon Rd
C Composite 59.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

4373 Wimbledon Rd · Montgomery, AL 36116
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1989 6,534 sqft lot $85/sqft · 19% above area Est $67k · 19% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property! This 2 bed 1 bath home has a minimal investment cost to make rent ready. Great add for a portfolio. Call your favorite realtor today to schedule a tour.

Key facts

  • Brand new roof
  • Move in ready
  • Fresh interior paint

Tags

MOVE IN READYHISTORIC REGENCY PARKFRESH INTERIOR PAINTBRAND NEW ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $80k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
11.83%
Cash-on-cash
19.77%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$67,309
List price
$80,000
Delta
18.86%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4373 Wimbledon Rd 0.00mi 2/1.0 936 (0%) 11mo $40,000 $43 91
6232 S Hampton Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,068 (+14%) 8mo $75,000 $70 55
5862 Virgil Ct 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-8%) 12mo $55,000 $64 42
6153 Cherry Hill Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,075 (+15%) 0mo $20,000 $19 40
6056 Eric Ln 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,048 (+12%) 15mo $98,000 $94 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$13,481
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
3.44×
Total profit
$54,748
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36116

Home prices YoY
-9.7%
Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
294
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,083 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $404/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $616
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $414 -5% $392 +0% $369 +5% $346 +10% $324
Rent -10% $283 -5% $326 +0% $369 +5% $412 +10% $455
Rate -1.0pp $409 -0.5pp $389 base $369 +0.5pp $348 +1.0pp $327

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6061 Briarhurst Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1124 $1,075 $0.96 44d 1 0.44mi
6028 Oakleigh Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1105 $850 $0.77 44d 1 0.55mi
4590 Troy Hwy Montgomery, AL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1330 $799 $0.60 14d 1 0.86mi
4611 Virginia Loop Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1029 $1,195 $1.16 22d 1 1.12mi
3231 Virginia Pines Ln Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1068 $800 $0.75 44d 1 1.14mi
4604 Virginia Loop Rd Montgomery, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 810 $895 $1.10 44d 1 1.19mi
3248 Meadow Walk Ln Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,200 $1.08 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $80,000 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 15 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 14 DOM
  17. 2026-03-13
    status Active
  18. 2026-03-12
    historical Contingent
  19. 2026-02-08
    status Active
  20. 2026-01-29
    historical Contingent
  21. 2025-11-29
    listed $80,000 Active
  22. 2025-07-17
    status Pending 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Great investment property! This 2 bed 1 bath home has a minimal investment cost to make rent ready. Great add for a portfolio. Call your favorite realtor today to schedule a tour.

  23. 2025-07-17
    soldstatus $40,000 Closed 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Great investment property! This 2 bed 1 bath home has a minimal investment cost to make rent ready. Great add for a portfolio. Call your favorite realtor today to schedule a tour.

  24. 2025-06-02
    historical Contingent 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Great investment property! This 2 bed 1 bath home has a minimal investment cost to make rent ready. Great add for a portfolio. Call your favorite realtor today to schedule a tour.

  25. 2025-05-15
    listed $49,900 Active 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Great investment property! This 2 bed 1 bath home has a minimal investment cost to make rent ready. Great add for a portfolio. Call your favorite realtor today to schedule a tour.

  26. 2022-06-29
    listed $38,000
  27. 2009-11-13
    listed $54,000
  28. 2000-06-01
    listed $49,900
  29. 1997-10-22
    listed $49,900
  30. 1997-02-12
    listed $48,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$404 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$404 · $34/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,997
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$404
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,040
− Management
−$1,040
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$3,304
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$793
After-tax cash flow
$3,635/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
45,250
Household income
$55,160
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
2786.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 80% White 12% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.31%
Current HPI
151.8598
Rent YoY
▲ 5.65%
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+64.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Relisted MAAR
  • 2026-03-12 Contingent MAAR
  • 2026-02-08 Relisted MAAR
  • 2026-01-29 Contingent MAAR
  • 2025-11-29 Listed $80,000 MAAR
  • 2025-07-17 Pending MAAR
  • 2025-07-17 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MAAR
  • 2025-06-02 Contingent MAAR
  • 2025-05-15 Listed $49,900 MAAR
  • 2022-06-29 Listed $38,000 MAAR
  • 2009-11-13 Listed $54,000 MAAR
  • 2000-06-01 Listed $49,900 MAAR
  • 1997-10-22 Listed $49,900 MAAR
  • 1997-02-12 Listed $48,500 MAAR

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $404 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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