5260 E 109th Pl · Winfield, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$334,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious, open concept 3 bedroom, 2 bath duplex with dedicated office in Crown Point. The primary suite offers an attached bath with a large walk in shower and a generous walk in closet. Enjoy maintenance free living--no yard work or snow removal. Additional features include a front patio and an attached 2 car garage. Accessibility upgrades include widened doors to the primary bedroom and bath for wheelchair access. Schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2014
- Listed 67 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($763/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $283k (15.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $283k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.4% in Winfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#121 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Crown Point Community School Corporation (suburban): math 51% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #23 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Winfield Elementary School (561 students, 18% FRL); Colonel John Wheeler Middle School (math 39% / reading 53%, grade D+, #76 of 330 statewide, top 23%, 1,046 students, 24% FRL); Crown Point High School (math 51% / reading 80%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 2,948 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 21% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 756 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($108k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.81%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $332,538
- List price
- $334,900
- Delta
- 0.71%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10971 Elkhart Pl | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,728 (+1%) | 3mo | $332,500 | $192 | 88 |
| 5225 E 109th Pl | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,728 (+1%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $188 | 88 |
| 5264 E 109th Pl | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,711 (0%) | 13mo | $349,900 | $205 | 84 |
| 10947 Elkhart Pl | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,711 (0%) | 13mo | $332,500 | $194 | 82 |
| 5242 E 109th Pl | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,711 (0%) | 17mo | $310,000 | $181 | 80 |
| 10978 Elkhart Pl | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,824 (+7%) | 12mo | $349,999 | $192 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-51,593
- Equity at exit
- $49,935
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-45,305
- Equity at exit
- $28,956
Cash invested: $93,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46307
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 756
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,833 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,756
- Tax from tax record
- −$279 /mo · $3,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$595
- Net cashflow
- $64
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $253 | -5% $158 | +0% $64 | +5% $-31 | +10% $-126 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-160 | -5% $-48 | +0% $64 | +5% $176 | +10% $287 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $232 | -0.5pp $149 | base $64 | +0.5pp $-23 | +1.0pp $-111 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,725
- Closing costs
- $10,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10981 Thomas St Crown Point, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1792 | $2,900 | $1.62 | 0d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 11290 Green Pl Winfield, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2201 | $3,175 | $1.44 | 0d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 11087 Thomas St Winfield, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,175 | $1.76 | 6d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 11652 Thomas St Crown Point, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $2,875 | $1.67 | 46d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 10859 Park St Crown Point, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 10859 Park St Unit Park Crown Point, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,200 | $1.38 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $334,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $334,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $334,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $334,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $334,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $334,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $334,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $334,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $334,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $334,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $334,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $339,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $339,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-09$344,900 Active 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Spacious, open concept 3 bedroom, 2 bath duplex with dedicated office in Crown Point. The primary suite offers an attached bath with a large walk in shower and a generous walk in closet. Enjoy maintenance free living--no yard work or snow removal. Additional features include a front patio and an attached 2 car garage. Accessibility upgrades include widened doors to the primary bedroom and bath for wheelchair access. Schedule your showing today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,348 · $279/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,348 · $279/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,001
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,760
- − Property taxes
- −$3,348
- − Insurance
- −$1,674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,720
- − Management
- −$2,720
- − Depreciation
- −$9,743
- Taxable loss
- −$4,964
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,191
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,955/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crown Point Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1802490
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,148
- Composite
- 49.55/100
- National rank
- #1990
- State rank
- #23 of 301 in IN
Livability — Winfield
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #6471
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winfield, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,673
- Household income
- $107,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 705.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.91%
- Current HPI
- 226.0335
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.53%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $344,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+80.7%/yrLatest (2024): $3,348 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…