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416 Spring St
B- Composite 67.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

416 Spring St · Toledo, OH 43608
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,062 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1917 5,200 sqft lot Est $57k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent property with great potential, check it out today! Will be a steady income generating rental or great home!

Key facts

  • Multiple schools
  • Lead certified
  • Near downtown toledo

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYLEAD CERTIFIEDNEAR DOWNTOWN TOLEDOMULTIPLE SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.12 acre; Living area reported as 1,062; Located in Lucas County

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Two garage spaces; Driveway; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer; Electric service: Other
  • Home design: Single-family house; Two levels / Two stories; Not attached to other structures; Located on a city street
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Steel siding; Shingle roof; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Front porch; Rear porch; Garages on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the upper level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in basement; Gas dryer hookup in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 7.7% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Spring Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,554 of 1,584 statewide, top 100%, 231 students, 0% FRL); Woodward High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 672 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 59 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($29k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $59k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $58,115 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
14.87%
Cash-on-cash
30.64%
DSCR
2.36
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$57,348
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2751 Lagrange St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+2%) 7mo $34,000 $31 82
235 Bronson Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,104 (+4%) 2mo $48,000 $43 74
533 Bronson Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,018 (-4%) 6mo $55,000 $54 74
2743 Elm St 0.05mi 3/1.0 925 (-13%) 3mo $68,000 $74 73
3118 Elm St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,140 (+7%) 4mo $50,000 $44 68
3319 Maple St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,046 (-2%) 7mo $65,000 $62 62
40 E Oakland St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,110 (+4%) 4mo $53,000 $48 56
125 E Oakland St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,088 (+2%) 4mo $18,000 $17 55
124 Everett St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 942 (-11%) 8mo $47,500 $50 52
241 E Weber St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 980 (-8%) 4mo $60,000 $61 52
238 E Pearl St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,201 (+13%) 7mo $67,500 $56 38
330 E Lake St 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,211 (+14%) 3mo $72,000 $59 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$18,301
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
34.6%
Equity multiple
4.31×
Total profit
$54,700
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43608

Home prices YoY
-21.3%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,075 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,126/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$422

Break-even live

Break-even rent $541
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $455 -5% $438 +0% $422 +5% $405 +10% $388
Rent -10% $337 -5% $379 +0% $422 +5% $464 +10% $507
Rate -1.0pp $451 -0.5pp $437 base $422 +0.5pp $406 +1.0pp $391

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2621 Chestnut St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,250 $0.87 45d 1 0.03mi
420 Everett St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $975 $0.97 25d 1 0.13mi
329 Mettler St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 908 $975 $1.07 15d 1 0.14mi
227 Everett St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 914 $850 $0.93 45d 1 0.23mi
225 Palmer St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 924 $895 $0.97 45d 1 0.24mi
319 Dexter St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 990 $1,005 $1.02 45d 1 0.25mi
1337 Moore St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1194 $995 $0.83 22d 1 0.30mi
152 Austin St Toledo, OH 4.0 1.5 1370 $1,150 $0.84 25d 1 0.33mi
516 E Hudson St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1204 $1,098 $0.91 15d 1 0.64mi
524 E Hudson St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1150 $895 $0.78 22d 1 0.64mi
524 E Hudson St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1050 $825 $0.79 45d 1 0.64mi
424 E Lake St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1228 $1,075 $0.88 15d 1 0.75mi
59 E Hudson St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1368 $1,100 $0.80 45d 1 0.78mi
333 E Lake St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $495 $0.62 25d 1 0.79mi
710 E Lake St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1242 $1,000 $0.81 15d 1 0.83mi
31 W Oakland St Toledo, OH 4.0 1.0 1188 $1,249 $1.05 25d 1 0.84mi
426 Beacon St Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 809 $882 $1.09 15d 10 0.84mi
1031 N Michigan St Toledo, OH 3.0 2.0 1488 $1,195 $0.80 25d 1 0.86mi
405 E Manhattan Blvd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 15d 1 0.86mi
830 Homer Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1208 $895 $0.74 45d 1 0.88mi
2131 Franklin Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 2.0 1255 $900 $0.72 45d 1 0.92mi
425 Boston Pl Unit A Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $895 $0.75 25d 1 1.01mi
630 Mulberry St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 25d 1 1.02mi
626 Walnut St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1088 $995 $0.91 45d 1 1.10mi
1449 N Huron St Toledo, OH 4.0 2.0 1430 $1,045 $0.73 15d 1 1.10mi
3439 Jeannette Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1098 $1,095 $1.00 45d 1 1.13mi
3474 Maher St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 736 $1,125 $1.53 45d 1 1.16mi
401 W Bancroft St Toledo, OH 4.0 1.0 927 $865 $0.93 25d 1 1.16mi
3405 Beaumont Dr Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 855 $745 $0.87 15d 1 1.17mi
409 W Bancroft St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 730 $880 $1.21 45d 1 1.18mi
1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1023 $1,750 $1.71 15d 2 1.22mi
1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH 2.0 2.0 1500 $1,890 $1.26 45d 1 1.22mi
1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH 2.0 2.0 1226 $1,750 $1.43 25d 1 1.22mi
2907 Rockwood Pl Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1494 $1,100 $0.74 15d 1 1.24mi
610 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1409 $1,050 $0.75 25d 1 1.28mi
332 14th St Unit 303 Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1040 $1,000 $0.96 45d 1 1.30mi
322 14th St Apt 203 Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1065 $1,000 $0.94 15d 1 1.30mi
625 Virginia St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $800 $0.80 45d 1 1.32mi
625 Virginia St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 15d 1 1.32mi
1951 N Summit St Unit 2 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 835 $800 $0.96 45d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,000 Active 8 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $59,000 Active
  18. 2025-10-14
    price $19,000 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Investors! Great turnkey property! Currently rented at $675/mo. Will also consider selling as a package deal with 521 White St, 526 White St, 1675 Nebraska and 1406 Greenwood Ave. Toledo.

  19. 2025-10-14
    price $20,000 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Investors! Great turnkey property! Currently rented at $675/mo. Will also consider selling as a package deal with 521 White St, 526 White St, 1675 Nebraska and 1406 Greenwood Ave. Toledo.

  20. 2025-10-14
    price $5,500
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Investors! Great turnkey property! Currently rented at $675/mo. Will also consider selling as a package deal with 521 White St, 526 White St, 1675 Nebraska and 1406 Greenwood Ave. Toledo.

  21. 2019-02-05
    soldstatus $19,000 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    Excellent property with great potential, check it out today! Will be a steady income generating rental or great home!

  22. 2019-01-20
    listed $21,000 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    Excellent property with great potential, check it out today! Will be a steady income generating rental or great home!

  23. 2017-08-25
    soldstatus $20,000 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Investors! Great turnkey property! Currently rented at $675/mo. Will also consider selling as a package deal with 521 White St, 526 White St, 1675 Nebraska and 1406 Greenwood Ave. Toledo.

  24. 2017-08-07
    soldstatus $100,000
  25. 2017-05-16
    listed $23,000 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Investors! Great turnkey property! Currently rented at $675/mo. Will also consider selling as a package deal with 521 White St, 526 White St, 1675 Nebraska and 1406 Greenwood Ave. Toledo.

  26. 2015-08-14
    soldstatus $5,500
  27. 2015-07-31
    price $7,000
  28. 2015-06-11
    listed $7,000
  29. 2008-08-29
    soldstatus $6,500
  30. 2008-08-01
    price $6,500
  31. 2008-06-02
    listed $6,138
  32. 2008-05-18
    historical
  33. 2008-02-20
    listed $18,300
  34. 2008-02-16
    historical
  35. 2007-11-30
    listed $21,090
  36. 1992-09-04
    soldstatus $31,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,126 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,126 · $94/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,904
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$1,126
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,032
− Management
−$1,032
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$4,398
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,055
After-tax cash flow
$4,006/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
13,593
Household income
$29,275
Rent vs Own
44.6% rent · 55.4% own
Severe rent burden
911.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 25% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.73%
Current HPI
139.4964
Rent YoY
▲ 3.89%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+85.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $59,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $19,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $20,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $5,500 NORIS
  • 2019-02-05 Sold (MLS) $19,000 NORIS
  • 2019-01-20 Listed $21,000 NORIS
  • 2017-08-25 Sold (MLS) $20,000 NORIS
  • 2017-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2017-05-16 Listed $23,000 NORIS
  • 2015-08-14 Sold (MLS) $5,500 NORIS
  • 2015-07-31 Price Changed $7,000 NORIS
  • 2015-06-11 Listed $7,000 NORIS
  • 2008-08-29 Sold (MLS) $6,500 NORIS
  • 2008-08-01 Price Changed $6,500 NORIS
  • 2008-06-02 Listed $6,138 NORIS
  • 2008-05-18 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2008-02-20 Listed $18,300 NORIS
  • 2008-02-16 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2007-11-30 Listed $21,090 NORIS
  • 1992-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $31,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,126 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…