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51/53 Ford St
D Composite 44.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

51/53 Ford St · Highland Park, MI 48203
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,620 sqft · SingleFamily · 366 Days on market
Built 1922 Poor condition 5,227 sqft lot $10/sqft · 74% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor or Homeowner Opportunity! This property offers great potential for the right buyer, whether you're looking to renovate and resell, rent, or make it your own home. Please note: This property will be sold strictly in as-is condition. The Buyer is solely responsible for all inspections, reports, ACR, Certificate of Occupancy (C of O), and activation of any utilities. For more information or to schedule a viewing, please contact the listing agents directly.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1922
  • Listed 365 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $25k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $801 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 44.8% vs local median 14.2% in Highland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#214 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 366 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $2k; list at $25k implies a 1150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $22,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 366 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.93%
Cap rate
44.76%
Cash-on-cash
137.38%
DSCR
7.11
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,715
List price
$25,000
Delta
-73.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.72×
Total profit
$47,006
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.25×
Total profit
$106,728
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48203

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,233 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $375/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$801

Break-even live

Break-even rent $219
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 30%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15537 Normandy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2626 $1,400 $0.53 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $25,000 Active 366 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $25,000 Active 365 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $25,000 Active 364 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $25,000 Active 363 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $25,000 Active 361 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 357 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 356 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 355 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $25,000 Active 352 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $25,000 Active 351 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 350 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 349 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 348 DOM
  14. 2025-08-13
    price $25,000 466-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Investor or Homeowner Opportunity! This property offers great potential for the right buyer, whether you're looking to renovate and resell, rent, or make it your own home. Please note: This property will be sold strictly in as-is condition. The Buyer is solely responsible for all inspections, reports, ACR, Certificate of Occupancy (C of O), and activation of any utilities. For more information or to schedule a viewing, please contact the listing agents directly.

  15. 2025-08-13
    price $25,000 466-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Investor or Homeowner Opportunity! This property offers great potential for the right buyer, whether you're looking to renovate and resell, rent, or make it your own home. Please note: This property will be sold strictly in as-is condition. The Buyer is solely responsible for all inspections, reports, ACR, Certificate of Occupancy (C of O), and activation of any utilities. For more information or to schedule a viewing, please contact the listing agents directly.

  16. 2025-06-18
    listed $30,000 Active 466-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Investor or Homeowner Opportunity! This property offers great potential for the right buyer, whether you're looking to renovate and resell, rent, or make it your own home. Please note: This property will be sold strictly in as-is condition. The Buyer is solely responsible for all inspections, reports, ACR, Certificate of Occupancy (C of O), and activation of any utilities. For more information or to schedule a viewing, please contact the listing agents directly.

  17. 2025-06-17
    listed $30,000 Active 466-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Investor or Homeowner Opportunity! This property offers great potential for the right buyer, whether you're looking to renovate and resell, rent, or make it your own home. Please note: This property will be sold strictly in as-is condition. The Buyer is solely responsible for all inspections, reports, ACR, Certificate of Occupancy (C of O), and activation of any utilities. For more information or to schedule a viewing, please contact the listing agents directly.

  18. 2025-06-16
    historical
  19. 2025-06-16
    historical
  20. 2025-04-04
    price $30,000
  21. 2025-04-03
    price $30,000
  22. 2024-08-27
    price $35,000
  23. 2024-08-12
    listed $35,000 Active
  24. 2024-08-12
    listed $40,000 Active
  25. 2017-06-01
    soldstatus $2,000 Sold
  26. 2017-06-01
    soldstatus $2,000 Closed
  27. 2017-05-31
    price $3,500
  28. 2017-05-31
    status Pending
  29. 2017-05-31
    status Pending
  30. 2017-05-31
    price $3,500
  31. 2017-05-24
    listed $9,500 Active
  32. 2017-05-24
    listed $9,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,797
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$375
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,184
− Management
−$1,184
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$9,802
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,352
After-tax cash flow
$7,264/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof, exterior, and interior updates. Significant improvements are needed to make it move-in ready and attractive for resale or rental.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Missing shingles and possible water damage
  • Major exterior siding — Peeling and damaged in places
  • Major exterior walls — Signs of wear and possible water damage
  • Major windows — Boarded up
  • Major foundation — Visible cracks and possible water damage
  • Major porch flooring — Broken and uneven

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and exterior repairs — Improving the curb appeal and exterior condition would attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Interior repairs and updates — Updating the interior would make the home more attractive and functional for both resale and rental.
  • Both HVAC and mechanical systems — Upgrading the HVAC and mechanical systems would improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive for both resale and rental.
  • Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating the kitchen and bathroom would make the home more functional and attractive for both resale and rental.
  • Both Roof repair — Repairing the roof would address a major issue and prevent further water damage, making the home more attractive for both resale and rental.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Missing shingles and possible water damage Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Peeling and damaged in places Major $15,000–50,000
exterior walls · Signs of wear and possible water damage Major $15,000–50,000
windows · Boarded up Major $15,000–50,000
foundation · Visible cracks and possible water damage Major $15,000–50,000
porch flooring · Broken and uneven Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $90,000–300,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and exterior repairs — Improving the curb appeal and exterior condition would attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Interior repairs and updates — Updating the interior would make the home more attractive and functional for both resale and rental.
  • Both HVAC and mechanical systems — Upgrading the HVAC and mechanical systems would improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive for both resale and rental.
  • Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating the kitchen and bathroom would make the home more functional and attractive for both resale and rental.
  • Both Roof repair — Repairing the roof would address a major issue and prevent further water damage, making the home more attractive for both resale and rental.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Highland Park

Score
73/100
State rank
#214
US rank
#5271

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Highland Park, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,049
Household income
$38,404
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
1192.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.13%
Current HPI
297.0176
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+163.2% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-13 Price Changed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-13 Price Changed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-17 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-04 Price Changed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-03 Price Changed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-27 Price Changed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-12 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-12 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-06-01 Sold (MLS) $2,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-06-01 Sold (MLS) $2,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-05-31 Price Changed $3,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-05-31 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-05-31 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2017-05-31 Price Changed $3,500 REALCOMP
  • 2017-05-24 Listed $9,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-05-24 Listed $9,500 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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