3300 26th Ave E #225 · Bradenton, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
LOOKING FOR A FLORIDA GETAWAY PROPERTY? Consider this one bedroom, 1 1/2 bathroom mobile home in Sugar Creek Resort. The furnished home features a comfortable living area, eat-in kitchen, den which could be used for extra sleeping options, one-of-a-kind painted coastal murals, a huge storage closet, and it sits on Shady Oak Circle--a very social cul de sac within the community. The home has a large primary bedroom with space for a dressing room, or seating area. Central A/C replaced in 2023. Shingle portion of the roof was replaced in 2025. Newer washer & dryer. This particular lot is not in a flood zone. SUGAR CREEK RESORT has low HOA fees of just $500 each quarter which include wate
Key facts
- 2,128 sq ft lot
- Community pool
- Built 1994
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Senior community; Pets not allowed; Association contact: KRIS TUTTLE; Quarterly association fee listed as $500; total annual HOA approx. $2,000
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA; buyer approval required; Monthly HOA approximately $166.67 (quarterly fee $500); Association amenities: clubhouse, pool, tennis courts, shuffleboard, recreation facilities, gated community, community laundry; Association fee covers common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, grounds maintenance, private road, recreational facilities, sewer, trash and water
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Parking pad
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected; Phone available; Underground utilities
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One level; Faces west
- Construction: Frame construction; Membrane, metal and shingle roofing; Crawlspace with pillar/post/pier foundation; Built in 1 structure (single-wide manufactured)
- Exterior features: Awnings; Rain gutters; Private, level, paved lot; Paved road with private maintenance
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Wine refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Thermostat; Blinds and drapes
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: William H. Bashaw Elementary (math 51% / reading 44%, grade D, #1,182 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 684 students, 69% FRL); Braden River Middle School (math 54% / reading 47%, grade C, #246 of 571 statewide, top 44%, 810 students, 58% FRL); Braden River High School (math 44% / reading 52%, grade D, #201 of 667 statewide, top 30%, 1,774 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.4%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.40%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $46,800
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3300 26th Ave E #171 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 420 (-10%) | 3mo | $29,900 | $71 | 81 |
| 3333 26th Ave E #1025 | 0.31mi | 1/1.0 | 501 (+7%) | 12mo | $50,000 | $100 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-15,687
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-19,534
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34208
- Rents YoY
- -5.4%
- Active inventory
- 351
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,320 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $650/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$166
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $105
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $170 | -5% $138 | +0% $105 | +5% $73 | +10% $40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1 | -5% $53 | +0% $105 | +5% $157 | +10% $210 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $163 | -0.5pp $135 | base $105 | +0.5pp $76 | +1.0pp $45 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $166 · $1,992/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $115,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-03-26$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $650 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $954 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$305/yr (+$25/mo · 47.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,842
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$650
- − Insurance
- −$1,372
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,267
- − Management
- −$1,267
- − HOA
- −$1,992
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$494
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$119
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,383/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bradenton
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #1528
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 227,091
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,004
- Household income
- $60,504
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1777.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Hispanic / Latino 33% Black 18% Two or more races 16% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 27% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -353.49%
- Current HPI
- 287.0443
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.44%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Listed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $650 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…