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906 E North Union St
B+ Composite 76.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

906 E North Union St · Bay City, MI 48706
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,534 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1870 4,792 sqft lot $59/sqft · 18% below area Est $110k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

YOUR NEXT HOME ON NORTH UNION! Welcome to this charming two bedroom one bathroom home situated just minutes from Northwest Little League fields, the Bay City Infinity Skate Park, DeFoe Park, Riverbend West Nature Area and more! With over 1,500 square feet of living space, this adorable 2 story home sits on a 50 x 100 corner lot with a 1 car attached garage. The main floor highlights the living room, dining room, one full bathroom and kitchen while the upstairs is where you will find both bedrooms and the second full bathroom. The beautiful open corner lot is large enough for a playset, shed, garden or anything else you could imagine! Call today to schedule your private tour.

Key facts

  • Playset
  • Shed
  • Kitchen

Tags

CORNER LOTLIVING ROOMDINING ROOMKITCHENPLAYSETSHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Other sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: 50 x 100 lot; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven, Refrigerator, Range
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Oven, Refrigerator, Range; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $491 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 5.5% in Bay City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#360 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, crime F.
  • Bay City School District (urban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #317 of 540 in MI (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bay County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,203 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
12.84%
Cash-on-cash
23.39%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$109,511
List price
$89,900
Delta
-17.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
811 N Walnut St 0.12mi 4/1.0 1,416 (-8%) 0mo $130,000 $92 81
506 LITCHFIELD St 0.21mi 4/1.0 1,422 (-7%) 0mo $119,900 $84 78
104 King St 0.13mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,600 (+4%) 3mo $159,900 $100 78
700 E Fulton St 0.20mi 4/1.0 1,406 (-8%) 1mo $103,000 $73 76
208 State St 0.09mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,400 (-9%) 7mo $104,000 $74 69
204 Elm St 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,520 (-1%) 1mo $143,000 $94 68
900 E Fulton St 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,426 (-7%) 8mo $40,000 $28 66
307 N Warner St 0.70mi 4/2.5 1,492 (-3%) 0mo $142,000 $95 56
1308 N Dewitt St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,520 (-1%) 5mo $150,000 $99 56
507 Litchfield St 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,724 (+12%) 7mo $140,000 $81 55
1009 N Wenona St 0.51mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,437 (-6%) 8mo $199,900 $139 52
203 Elm St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,321 (-14%) 4mo $125,000 $95 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$16,723
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
3.18×
Total profit
$54,954
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48706

Active inventory
246
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,438 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,633/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$491

Break-even live

Break-even rent $816
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $89,900 Pending 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-04-23
    listed $99,900 Active 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    YOUR NEXT HOME ON NORTH UNION! Welcome to this charming two bedroom one bathroom home situated just minutes from Northwest Little League fields, the Bay City Infinity Skate Park, DeFoe Park, Riverbend West Nature Area and more! With over 1,500 square feet of living space, this adorable 2 story home sits on a 50 x 100 corner lot with a 1 car attached garage. The main floor highlights the living room, dining room, one full bathroom and kitchen while the upstairs is where you will find both bedrooms and the second full bathroom. The beautiful open corner lot is large enough for a playset, shed, garden or anything else you could imagine! Call today to schedule your private tour.

  12. 2026-04-23
    listed $99,900 Active 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    YOUR NEXT HOME ON NORTH UNION! Welcome to this charming two bedroom one bathroom home situated just minutes from Northwest Little League fields, the Bay City Infinity Skate Park, DeFoe Park, Riverbend West Nature Area and more! With over 1,500 square feet of living space, this adorable 2 story home sits on a 50 x 100 corner lot with a 1 car attached garage. The main floor highlights the living room, dining room, one full bathroom and kitchen while the upstairs is where you will find both bedrooms and the second full bathroom. The beautiful open corner lot is large enough for a playset, shed, garden or anything else you could imagine! Call today to schedule your private tour.

  13. 2023-02-09
    soldstatus $69,900
  14. 2023-02-01
    soldstatus $69,900
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Great location and potential with this vintage Bay City beauty on a rare double city lot! Large open lower level with updated vinyl plank flooring, updated trim and vinyl windows. Newer drywall downstairs and appealing open stair case. First floor laundry and updated kitchen. 2 Bedrooms with possible 3rd and 4th upstairs, as well as 1 full bathroom on the main level and the perfect kids sized half bath upstairs. Sellers open to all offers - Come check it!

  15. 2023-02-01
    soldstatus $69,900 Closed
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Great location and potential with this vintage Bay City beauty on a rare double city lot! Large open lower level with updated vinyl plank flooring, updated trim and vinyl windows. Newer drywall downstairs and appealing open stair case. First floor laundry and updated kitchen. 2 Bedrooms with possible 3rd and 4th upstairs, as well as 1 full bathroom on the main level and the perfect kids sized half bath upstairs. Sellers open to all offers - Come check it!

  16. 2022-12-22
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Great location and potential with this vintage Bay City beauty on a rare double city lot! Large open lower level with updated vinyl plank flooring, updated trim and vinyl windows. Newer drywall downstairs and appealing open stair case. First floor laundry and updated kitchen. 2 Bedrooms with possible 3rd and 4th upstairs, as well as 1 full bathroom on the main level and the perfect kids sized half bath upstairs. Sellers open to all offers - Come check it!

  17. 2022-11-03
    listed $79,900
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Great location and potential with this vintage Bay City beauty on a rare double city lot! Large open lower level with updated vinyl plank flooring, updated trim and vinyl windows. Newer drywall downstairs and appealing open stair case. First floor laundry and updated kitchen. 2 Bedrooms with possible 3rd and 4th upstairs, as well as 1 full bathroom on the main level and the perfect kids sized half bath upstairs. Sellers open to all offers - Come check it!

  18. 2022-11-03
    listed $79,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Great location and potential with this vintage Bay City beauty on a rare double city lot! Large open lower level with updated vinyl plank flooring, updated trim and vinyl windows. Newer drywall downstairs and appealing open stair case. First floor laundry and updated kitchen. 2 Bedrooms with possible 3rd and 4th upstairs, as well as 1 full bathroom on the main level and the perfect kids sized half bath upstairs. Sellers open to all offers - Come check it!

  19. 2018-04-25
    historical
  20. 2009-10-12
    soldstatus $14,000
  21. 2009-08-18
    listed $14,900
  22. 2007-08-13
    soldstatus $50,323
  23. 2007-08-13
    soldstatus $45,375
  24. 2006-12-13
    soldstatus $50,323
  25. 2006-08-03
    listed $49,900
  26. 2006-03-14
    historical
  27. 2005-09-14
    listed $65,900
  28. 2005-03-29
    historical
  29. 2004-08-25
    listed $69,900
  30. 2003-09-24
    soldstatus $50,323

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,633 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,633 · $136/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,251
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,633
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,380
− Management
−$1,380
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$4,757
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,142
After-tax cash flow
$4,747/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bay City School District
NCES district ID
2604260
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,833
Composite
28.47/100
National rank
#6743
State rank
#317 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bay City

Score
68/100
State rank
#360
US rank
#8912

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bay City, MI
City population
25,635
Population (ZIP)
38,756

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
101,476 people
By 2030
98,152 · -3.3%
By 2040
89,711 · -11.6%
By 2050
80,614 · -20.6%
By 2075
60,544 · -40.3%
By 2100
41,603 · -59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Lithuanian 9% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

2024 margin
R (+14.7) · D 42.0% · R 56.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-30.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: -14.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.7 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+12.6 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.29%
Current HPI
203.6444
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+78.6% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
  • 2023-02-01 Sold (MLS) $69,900 REALCOMP
  • 2023-02-01 Sold (MLS) $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-12-22 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-11-03 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-11-03 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-04-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-10-12 Sold (MLS) $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-08-18 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $45,375 Public Records
  • 2007-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,323 Public Records
  • 2006-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,323 Public Records
  • 2006-08-03 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-03-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-09-14 Listed $65,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-03-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-08-25 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $50,323 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,633 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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