906 E North Union St · Bay City, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
YOUR NEXT HOME ON NORTH UNION! Welcome to this charming two bedroom one bathroom home situated just minutes from Northwest Little League fields, the Bay City Infinity Skate Park, DeFoe Park, Riverbend West Nature Area and more! With over 1,500 square feet of living space, this adorable 2 story home sits on a 50 x 100 corner lot with a 1 car attached garage. The main floor highlights the living room, dining room, one full bathroom and kitchen while the upstairs is where you will find both bedrooms and the second full bathroom. The beautiful open corner lot is large enough for a playset, shed, garden or anything else you could imagine! Call today to schedule your private tour.
Key facts
- Playset
- Shed
- Kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Other sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: 50 x 100 lot; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven, Refrigerator, Range
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Oven, Refrigerator, Range; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $491 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 5.5% in Bay City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#360 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, crime F.
- Bay City School District (urban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #317 of 540 in MI (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $70k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.39%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $109,511
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -17.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 811 N Walnut St | 0.12mi | 4/1.0 | 1,416 (-8%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $92 | 81 |
| 506 LITCHFIELD St | 0.21mi | 4/1.0 | 1,422 (-7%) | 0mo | $119,900 | $84 | 78 |
| 104 King St | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,600 (+4%) | 3mo | $159,900 | $100 | 78 |
| 700 E Fulton St | 0.20mi | 4/1.0 | 1,406 (-8%) | 1mo | $103,000 | $73 | 76 |
| 208 State St | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,400 (-9%) | 7mo | $104,000 | $74 | 69 |
| 204 Elm St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,520 (-1%) | 1mo | $143,000 | $94 | 68 |
| 900 E Fulton St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,426 (-7%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $28 | 66 |
| 307 N Warner St | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 1,492 (-3%) | 0mo | $142,000 | $95 | 56 |
| 1308 N Dewitt St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,520 (-1%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $99 | 56 |
| 507 Litchfield St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,724 (+12%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $81 | 55 |
| 1009 N Wenona St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,437 (-6%) | 8mo | $199,900 | $139 | 52 |
| 203 Elm St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,321 (-14%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $95 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $16,723
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $54,954
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48706
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,438 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,633/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $491
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $89,900 Pending 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$99,900 Active 683-char remark
Show marketing remark (683 chars)
YOUR NEXT HOME ON NORTH UNION! Welcome to this charming two bedroom one bathroom home situated just minutes from Northwest Little League fields, the Bay City Infinity Skate Park, DeFoe Park, Riverbend West Nature Area and more! With over 1,500 square feet of living space, this adorable 2 story home sits on a 50 x 100 corner lot with a 1 car attached garage. The main floor highlights the living room, dining room, one full bathroom and kitchen while the upstairs is where you will find both bedrooms and the second full bathroom. The beautiful open corner lot is large enough for a playset, shed, garden or anything else you could imagine! Call today to schedule your private tour.
-
2026-04-23$99,900 Active 683-char remark
Show marketing remark (683 chars)
YOUR NEXT HOME ON NORTH UNION! Welcome to this charming two bedroom one bathroom home situated just minutes from Northwest Little League fields, the Bay City Infinity Skate Park, DeFoe Park, Riverbend West Nature Area and more! With over 1,500 square feet of living space, this adorable 2 story home sits on a 50 x 100 corner lot with a 1 car attached garage. The main floor highlights the living room, dining room, one full bathroom and kitchen while the upstairs is where you will find both bedrooms and the second full bathroom. The beautiful open corner lot is large enough for a playset, shed, garden or anything else you could imagine! Call today to schedule your private tour.
-
2023-02-09soldstatus $69,900
-
2023-02-01soldstatus $69,900
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Great location and potential with this vintage Bay City beauty on a rare double city lot! Large open lower level with updated vinyl plank flooring, updated trim and vinyl windows. Newer drywall downstairs and appealing open stair case. First floor laundry and updated kitchen. 2 Bedrooms with possible 3rd and 4th upstairs, as well as 1 full bathroom on the main level and the perfect kids sized half bath upstairs. Sellers open to all offers - Come check it!
-
2023-02-01soldstatus $69,900 Closed
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Great location and potential with this vintage Bay City beauty on a rare double city lot! Large open lower level with updated vinyl plank flooring, updated trim and vinyl windows. Newer drywall downstairs and appealing open stair case. First floor laundry and updated kitchen. 2 Bedrooms with possible 3rd and 4th upstairs, as well as 1 full bathroom on the main level and the perfect kids sized half bath upstairs. Sellers open to all offers - Come check it!
-
2022-12-22status Pending
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Great location and potential with this vintage Bay City beauty on a rare double city lot! Large open lower level with updated vinyl plank flooring, updated trim and vinyl windows. Newer drywall downstairs and appealing open stair case. First floor laundry and updated kitchen. 2 Bedrooms with possible 3rd and 4th upstairs, as well as 1 full bathroom on the main level and the perfect kids sized half bath upstairs. Sellers open to all offers - Come check it!
-
2022-11-03$79,900
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Great location and potential with this vintage Bay City beauty on a rare double city lot! Large open lower level with updated vinyl plank flooring, updated trim and vinyl windows. Newer drywall downstairs and appealing open stair case. First floor laundry and updated kitchen. 2 Bedrooms with possible 3rd and 4th upstairs, as well as 1 full bathroom on the main level and the perfect kids sized half bath upstairs. Sellers open to all offers - Come check it!
-
2022-11-03$79,900 Active
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Great location and potential with this vintage Bay City beauty on a rare double city lot! Large open lower level with updated vinyl plank flooring, updated trim and vinyl windows. Newer drywall downstairs and appealing open stair case. First floor laundry and updated kitchen. 2 Bedrooms with possible 3rd and 4th upstairs, as well as 1 full bathroom on the main level and the perfect kids sized half bath upstairs. Sellers open to all offers - Come check it!
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2018-04-25historical
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2009-10-12soldstatus $14,000
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2009-08-18$14,900
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2007-08-13soldstatus $50,323
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2007-08-13soldstatus $45,375
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2006-12-13soldstatus $50,323
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2006-08-03$49,900
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2006-03-14historical
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2005-09-14$65,900
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2005-03-29historical
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2004-08-25$69,900
-
2003-09-24soldstatus $50,323
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,633 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,633 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,251
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,633
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,380
- − Management
- −$1,380
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $4,757
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,142
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,747/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2604260
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,833
- Composite
- 28.47/100
- National rank
- #6743
- State rank
- #317 of 540 in MI
Livability — Bay City
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #360
- US rank
- #8912
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bay City, MI
- City population
- 25,635
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,756
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 101,476 people
- By 2030
- 98,152 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 89,711 · -11.6%
- By 2050
- 80,614 · -20.6%
- By 2075
- 60,544 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 41,603 · -59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Lithuanian 9% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.7) · D 42.0% · R 56.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: -14.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.7 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+12.6 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.29%
- Current HPI
- 203.6444
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+78.6% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
- 2023-02-01 Sold (MLS) $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2023-02-01 Sold (MLS) $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-12-22 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-11-03 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-11-03 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-04-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-10-12 Sold (MLS) $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-08-18 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $45,375 Public Records
- 2007-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,323 Public Records
- 2006-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,323 Public Records
- 2006-08-03 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-03-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-09-14 Listed $65,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-03-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-08-25 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $50,323 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,633 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…