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1255 Orcutt Rd Unit B33
B- Composite 69.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.0/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,950

1255 Orcutt Rd Unit B33 · San Luis Obispo, CA 93401
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 745 sqft · Manufactured · 81 Days on market
Built 2026 $255/sqft · 6% above area Est $180k · 6% over ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this brand new 2026 Champion manufactured home located in the highly desirable Colonial Manor Manufactured Home Community in San Luis Obispo. This spacious single-wide offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a bright, open-concept layout designed to maximize both comfort and functionality. The well-appointed kitchen features sleek stainless steel appliances and ample cabinetry, creating a modern and inviting space that flows seamlessly into the main living area—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Indoor laundry hookups add to the home’s convenience, while contemporary finishes throughout enhance its clean, move-in ready appeal. Enjoy comfortable, low-maintenance living in a well-maintained community with affordable space rent of just $995 per month. This is a rare opportunity to own a brand new, thoughtfully designed home in a prime coastal location.

Key facts

  • Spacious single-wide
  • Ample cabinetry
  • Open-concept layout

Tags

SPACIOUS SINGLE-WIDEWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESAMPLE CABINETRYOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTINDOOR LAUNDRY HOOKUPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $933 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.1% in San Luis Obispo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#132 in CA, #4,576 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Luis Coastal Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #118 of 517 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,104 units permitted in San Luis Obispo County in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Luis Obispo County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $178,553 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.18%
Cash-on-cash
21.04%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$180,000
List price
$189,950
Delta
5.53%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1255 Orcutt Rd Unit B29 0.03mi 2/1.5 720 (-3%) 21mo $172,500 $240 74
1255 Orcutt Rd Unit B18 0.03mi 2/1.5 688 (-8%) 15mo $189,950 $276 71
3500 Bullock Ln #16 0.16mi 2/2.0 840 (+13%) 5mo $180,000 $214 67
1255 Orcutt Unit B26 0.03mi 2/1.0 673 (-10%) 15mo $175,000 $260 66
1121 Orcutt Rd #68 0.08mi 2/1.0 800 (+7%) 20mo $135,000 $169 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$32,747
Equity at exit
$28,322
10-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
3.30×
Total profit
$122,439
Equity at exit
$16,423

Cash invested: $53,186 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93401

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
140
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,842 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax est. 1.5%
$237 /mo · $2,849/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$597
Net cashflow
$933

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,662
Max offer price $189,950
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,064 -5% $998 +0% $933 +5% $867 +10% $801
Rent -10% $708 -5% $820 +0% $933 +5% $1,045 +10% $1,157
Rate -1.0pp $1,028 -0.5pp $981 base $933 +0.5pp $883 +1.0pp $833

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,488
Closing costs
$5,698
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
791 Orcutt Rd San Luis Obispo, CA 1.0 1.0 651 $2,750 $4.22 22d 3 0.40mi
3150 Rockview Pl #8 San Luis Obispo, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $2,475 $4.12 45d 1 0.58mi
2800 Broad St San Luis Obispo, CA 1.0 1.0 464 $2,500 $5.39 45d 1 0.64mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $189,950 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    price $189,950 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $194,950 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $194,950 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $194,950 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $194,950 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $194,950 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $194,950 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $194,950 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $194,950 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $194,950 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $194,950 Active 67 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $194,950 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $194,950 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $194,950 Active 61 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $194,950 Active 60 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $194,950 Active 59 DOM
  18. 2026-04-27
    price $194,950 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Welcome to this brand new 2026 Champion manufactured home located in the highly desirable Colonial Manor Manufactured Home Community in San Luis Obispo. This spacious single-wide offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a bright, open-concept layout designed to maximize both comfort and functionality. The well-appointed kitchen features sleek stainless steel appliances and ample cabinetry, creating a modern and inviting space that flows seamlessly into the main living area—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Indoor laundry hookups add to the home’s convenience, while contemporary finishes throughout enhance its clean, move-in ready appeal. Enjoy comfortable, low-maintenance living in a well-maintained community with affordable space rent of just $995 per month. This is a rare opportunity to own a brand new, thoughtfully designed home in a prime coastal location.

  19. 2026-04-01
    listed $199,950 Active 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Welcome to this brand new 2026 Champion manufactured home located in the highly desirable Colonial Manor Manufactured Home Community in San Luis Obispo. This spacious single-wide offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a bright, open-concept layout designed to maximize both comfort and functionality. The well-appointed kitchen features sleek stainless steel appliances and ample cabinetry, creating a modern and inviting space that flows seamlessly into the main living area—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Indoor laundry hookups add to the home’s convenience, while contemporary finishes throughout enhance its clean, move-in ready appeal. Enjoy comfortable, low-maintenance living in a well-maintained community with affordable space rent of just $995 per month. This is a rare opportunity to own a brand new, thoughtfully designed home in a prime coastal location.

  20. 2019-09-16
    historical
  21. 2019-08-23
    price $195,000
  22. 2019-07-08
    price $215,000
  23. 2019-05-24
    listed $225,000 Active
  24. 2019-03-19
    historical
  25. 2019-02-23
    price $225,000
  26. 2019-01-02
    listed $230,000 Active
  27. 2018-12-05
    historical
  28. 2018-06-19
    price $220,000
  29. 2017-12-20
    listed $225,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,105
− Mortgage interest
−$10,640
− Property taxes
−$2,849
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,728
− Management
−$2,728
− Depreciation
−$5,526
Taxable income
$8,684
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,084
After-tax cash flow
$9,107/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Luis Coastal Unified
NCES district ID
0634800
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$53,428
Composite
46.4/100
National rank
#2455
State rank
#118 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Luis Obispo

Score
74/100
State rank
#132
US rank
#4576

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Luis Obispo, CA
County
San Luis Obispo County · 224,651 people
City population
54,204
Metro
San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA
Population (ZIP)
29,202
Household income
$96,824
Rent vs Own
52.1% rent · 47.9% own
Severe rent burden
2050.0

Population outlook (San Luis Obispo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
306,977 people
By 2030
320,378 · +4.4%
By 2040
343,933 · +12.0%
By 2050
366,853 · +19.5%
By 2075
428,329 · +39.5%
By 2100
460,687 · +50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 12% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Luis Obispo

2024 margin
D (+10.9) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
+5.5pp toward D · 2008: 5.4pp · 2024: 10.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.9 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+8.3 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+5.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -796.84%
Current HPI
359.9248
Rent YoY
▲ 4.41%
Metro
San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $194,950 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $199,950 CRMLS
  • 2019-09-16 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2019-08-23 Price Changed $195,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-07-08 Price Changed $215,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-05-24 Listed $225,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-03-19 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2019-02-23 Price Changed $225,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-01-02 Listed $230,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-12-05 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2018-06-19 Price Changed $220,000 CRMLS
  • 2017-12-20 Listed $225,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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