2184 Garrick Ave · Warren, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3-bedroom brick ranch with a 2-car detached garage. Cash only due to faster sale Features a newer furnace, a newer hot water tank, and a bathroom in great condition. Excellent investment opportunity
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Newer hot water tank
- 5,663 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built with approximately 960 above-grade finished square feet
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Accessible entrance; 6 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $560 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 5.3% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
- Fitzgerald Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #503 of 540 in MI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $80k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.03%
- DSCR
- 2.34
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $145,920
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2184 Garrick Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 1mo | $95,100 | $99 | 99 |
| 2007 Pearl Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 937 (-2%) | 2mo | $131,500 | $140 | 86 |
| 1644 E Goulson Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (-1%) | 0mo | $139,950 | $147 | 76 |
| 3135 Jarvis Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,052 (+10%) | 2mo | $163,000 | $155 | 65 |
| 1521 E Granet Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (+4%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $195 | 65 |
| 3471 Los Angeles Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (+3%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $142 | 61 |
| 2167 Woodruff Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+12%) | 2mo | $146,000 | $135 | 60 |
| 1218 E Milton Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,021 (+6%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $152 | 54 |
| 1221 E Goulson Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (+4%) | 5mo | $208,000 | $208 | 53 |
| 1129 E Harry Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (+9%) | 4mo | $185,900 | $178 | 50 |
| 1437 E Madge Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (+15%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $145 | 45 |
| 1106 E Granet Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 819 (-15%) | 4mo | $172,000 | $210 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $21,803
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 31.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.74×
- Total profit
- $61,240
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48091
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,466 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,757/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $560
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $605 | -5% $582 | +0% $560 | +5% $537 | +10% $515 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $444 | -5% $502 | +0% $560 | +5% $618 | +10% $676 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $600 | -0.5pp $580 | base $560 | +0.5pp $539 | +1.0pp $518 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,375 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1731 E Pearl Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,500 | $1.78 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,029 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 749 | $1,295 | $1.73 | 18d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2034 John B Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,261 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 23077 Davey Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,895 | $2.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1326 E Evelyn Ave Unit 1032332P Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $6,448 | $5.88 | 2d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2709 Capitol Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,649 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $1,500 | $2.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 20255 Harned St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,374 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $5,301 | $5.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3840 Bart Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,525 | $1.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Unit E3 Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Hazel Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,400 | $1.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 23115 Tawas Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,375 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 23345 Tawas Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 11d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 407 E Hayes Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1045 E Woodward Heights Blvd Hazel Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,209 | $1.69 | 25d | 3 | 1.19mi |
| 19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 22580 Masch Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,450 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 23773 Hazelwood Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 671 | $1,400 | $2.09 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 90 W Meyers Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 831 | $1,800 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 19930 Binder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 266 W Goulson Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,600 | $1.70 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 155 W George Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,000 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 19360 Revere St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
3-bedroom brick ranch with a 2-car detached garage. Cash only due to faster sale Features a newer furnace, a newer hot water tank, and a bathroom in great condition. Excellent investment opportunity
-
2026-05-07status Pending
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
3-bedroom brick ranch with a 2-car detached garage. Cash only due to faster sale Features a newer furnace, a newer hot water tank, and a bathroom in great condition. Excellent investment opportunity
-
2026-05-04$79,900 Active 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
3-bedroom brick ranch with a 2-car detached garage. Cash only due to faster sale Features a newer furnace, a newer hot water tank, and a bathroom in great condition. Excellent investment opportunity
-
2026-05-04$79,900 Active
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
3-bedroom brick ranch with a 2-car detached garage. Cash only due to faster sale Features a newer furnace, a newer hot water tank, and a bathroom in great condition. Excellent investment opportunity
-
2012-05-22soldstatus $51,750
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,757 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,757 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,597
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,757
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,408
- − Management
- −$1,408
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $5,825
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,398
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,319/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fitzgerald Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2614460
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,828
- Composite
- 12.67/100
- National rank
- #9608
- State rank
- #503 of 540 in MI
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 114,937
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,696
- Household income
- $54,230
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1296.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 25% Asian 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.66%
- Current HPI
- 177.9273
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+54.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $51,750 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,757 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…