46 S Elberon Ave · Atlantic City, NJ
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.56%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +4.2/30.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$549,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor alert! This spacious legal duplex in the sought-after Lower Chelsea section of Atlantic City is just 1.5 blocks from the beaches and boardwalk, making it a prime rental opportunity. The basement-level apartment has been recently renovated with new carpeting, fresh paint, and updated appliances, offering 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The main home upstairs features 6 bedrooms and 2 full baths with oversized bedrooms and plenty of space. With a strong rental market and endless possibilities, this property is perfect for investors—rent both units for maximum income, live in one and rent the other, or take advantage of the short-term rental market with Airbnb. Well-maintained with a new roof and ideally located, this duplex is a smart investment with excellent cash flow potential in one of Atlantic City’s most desirable neighborhoods.
Key facts
- Updated appliances
- Recently renovated
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit property; Monthly rental information (see remarks)
Exterior
- Parking: No exterior parking; No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Separate electric and gas meters
- Home design: Zoned R-2; For sale
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Sidewalks
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1 — 2 bedrooms (basement level); Unit 2 — 6 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Unit 1 — 1 bathroom; Unit 2 — 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Natural gas heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 8-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $549k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $288k (47.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $277k (49.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $277k (49.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#525 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A; Watch: commute D, schools F, crime F.
- Atlantic City School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #454 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 482 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,767/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 3414% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $549k implies a 632% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.50% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.54%
- DSCR
- 0.49
- GRM
- 16.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $692,328
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 S Raleigh Ave | 0.21mi | 7/4.5 (-1) | 1,897 (-0%) | 21mo | $690,000 | $364 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -34.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.14×
- Total profit
- $-175,950
- Equity at exit
- $81,858
- IRR
- -33.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.58×
- Total profit
- $-243,518
- Equity at exit
- $47,467
Cash invested: $153,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08401
- Home prices YoY
- -7.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 482
- Price-to-rent
- 16.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,767 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,879
- Tax from tax record
- −$556 /mo · $6,672/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$581
- Net cashflow
- $-1,478
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,250
- Closing costs
- $16,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $549,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $549,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $549,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $549,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-15$549,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,672 · $556/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,171 · $848/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,499/yr (+$292/mo · 52.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 56% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,753
- − Property taxes
- −$6,672
- − Insurance
- −$2,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,656
- − Management
- −$2,656
- − Depreciation
- −$15,971
- Taxable loss
- −$28,253
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,781
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,957/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlantic City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3400960
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,842
- Composite
- 13.66/100
- National rank
- #9504
- State rank
- #454 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Atlantic City
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #525
- US rank
- #23095
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atlantic City, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- City population
- 38,925
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,925
- Household income
- $41,126
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3414.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 32% Asian 16% White 16% Two or more races 11% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 8% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.82%
- Current HPI
- 353.7827
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.52%
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+632.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $549,000 SJSRMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2025-12-03 Relisted — SJSRMLS
- 2025-11-22 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2025-08-21 Listed $549,000 SJSRMLS
- 2025-03-14 Contingent — SJSRMLS
- 2025-03-14 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2024-12-07 Listed $499,000 SJSRMLS
- 2024-11-16 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2024-09-26 Price Changed $559,000 SJSRMLS
- 2024-08-19 Listed $599,999 SJSRMLS
- 1982-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,672 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…