434 Oak Ridge Dr · Radcliff, KY 40160

$90,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Other · 3 Days on market

Built 1996 0.29 ac lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.6/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.5/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +3.1/5.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Great opportunity for investors, first-time buyers, or anyone looking to add their personal touch! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a spacious living room, dedicated dining area, and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space. Large windows provide plenty of natural light throughout the home, while the generous room sizes create a comfortable layout with endless possibilities. With solid bones and room for updates, this property is ready for your vision. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, this home is full of potential and waiting for its next owner.

Key facts

• 0.29 acre lot
• Built 1996
• Listed 3 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Building area reported as 1,080; Living area reported as 1,080
• HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

• Parking: No parking listed
• Utilities: Electricity connected
• Home design: Single family residence; One-story home; Built in 1996; Shingle roof; Vinyl siding
• Construction: Built in 1996; Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof
• Exterior features: Located in the Windsor Forest subdivision; Lot size approximately 0.29 acres

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor; Two bedrooms total
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating
• Interior features: Six total rooms; Living room on the first floor; No basement
• Laundry & utility: Laundry on the first floor

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $90k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
• Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.5% in Radcliff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#367 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Hardin County (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #47 of 165 in KY (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 946 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (464 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hardin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.25% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.62%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.44%
• DSCR: 1.69
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 5.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.20×
• Total profit: $5,148
• Equity at exit: $13,419

10-year hold

• IRR: 14.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.09×
• Total profit: $27,370
• Equity at exit: $7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kentucky: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 40160

• Home prices YoY: -14.1%
• Rents YoY: 2.2%
• Active inventory: 173
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,123 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$472
• Tax from tax record: −$54 /mo · $643/yr
• Insurance: −$38
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$236
• Net cashflow: $324

Break-even live

Break-even rent $713

Max offer price $90,000

Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,500
• Closing costs: $2,700
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-06-19
   statusdays on market $90,000 Pending 3 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   remarks 594-char remark
4. 2026-06-17
   listed $90,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $643 · $54/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $774 · $64/mo
• Expected delta: +$131/yr (+$11/mo · 20.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,477
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,041
• − Property taxes: −$643
• − Insurance: −$450
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,078
• − Management: −$1,078
• − Depreciation: −$2,618
• Taxable income: $2,568
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$616
• After-tax cash flow: $3,274/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hardin County
• NCES district ID: 2102490
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $50,728
• Composite: 31.61/100
• National rank: #5945
• State rank: #47 of 165 in KY

Livability — Radcliff

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #367
• US rank: #17445

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Hardin County · 77,611 people
• City population: 23,624
• Metro: Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY
• Population (ZIP): 23,624
• Household income: $58,506
• Rent vs Own: 46.1% rent · 53.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 638.0

Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 105,573 people
• By 2030: 103,563 · -1.9%
• By 2040: 97,077 · -8.0%
• By 2050: 88,367 · -16.3%
• By 2075: 65,405 · -38.0%
• By 2100: 42,245 · -60.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: White 61% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hardin

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.7pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -29.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+29.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+30.2 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+20.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -44.02%
• Current HPI: 268.1177
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.20%
• Metro: Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$118B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$7B

Price history

+50.3% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-15 Listed $90,000 Metro Search MLS
• 2015-04-15 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
• 2014-10-23 Listed $59,900 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $643 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.