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464 Old 76 Rd
C- Composite 51.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$149,000

464 Old 76 Rd · Slaterville Springs, NY 14817
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 234 Days on market
Built 1890 6,534 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming home situated on a spacious double lot in the heart of Caroline. Conveniently located near local amenities, with an easy commute to Ithaca or Binghamton and just minutes from over 5,000 acres of Shindagin Hollow State Forest, offering endless opportunities for outdoor adventure. Step inside through the entryway and into a bright, welcoming kitchen that flows nicely through the main level living. Just off the kitchen, find a comfortable bedroom, laundry hook-ups, and a bathroom with modern updates. The spacious living room features warm wood floors and plenty of natural light, providing a space to relax, while the sun porch invites you to enjoy quiet mornings with coffee or unwind in the evenings. Upstairs, a versatile flex space ideal for a home office, or reading nook. The beautiful wood floors continue into a large sunlit bedroom featuring a walk-in closet, and potential for a half bath if desired. Outside provides you with ample yard space and a second septic system already installed, makes adding a garage or workshop is​​‌​​​​‌​‌​​​​‌​​‌​​​​‌‌ effortless.

Key facts

  • Bright kitchen
  • Modern updates
  • Double lot

Tags

DOUBLE LOTSHINDAGIN HOLLOW STATE FORESTBRIGHT KITCHENMODERN UPDATESSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMNATURAL LIGHT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-50/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (0.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (10.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Ithaca City School District (urban): math 57% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #195 of 590 in NY (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 382 units permitted in Tompkins County in 2024 (208 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Tompkins County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 15 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $131,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.26%
Cash-on-cash
-0.12%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$80,920
Equity at exit
$134,231
10-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
6.72×
Total profit
$238,582
Equity at exit
$289,474

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14817

Home prices YoY
16.5%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,335 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$215 /mo · $2,581/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$-4

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,340
Max offer price $148,260
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $149,000 Active 234 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,000 Active 233 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,000 Active 232 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 231 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 230 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,000 Active 228 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,000 Active 227 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,000 Active 225 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,000 Active 224 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 223 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 222 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $149,000 Active 219 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,000 Active 217 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,000 Active 216 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 215 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $149,000 Active 214 DOM
  17. 2026-05-06
    price $149,000 1136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1136 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home situated on a spacious double lot in the heart of Caroline. Conveniently located near local amenities, with an easy commute to Ithaca or Binghamton and just minutes from over 5,000 acres of Shindagin Hollow State Forest, offering endless opportunities for outdoor adventure. Step inside through the entryway and into a bright, welcoming kitchen that flows nicely through the main level living. Just off the kitchen, find a comfortable bedroom, laundry hook-ups, and a bathroom with modern updates. The spacious living room features warm wood floors and plenty of natural light, providing a space to relax, while the sun porch invites you to enjoy quiet mornings with coffee or unwind in the evenings. Upstairs, a versatile flex space ideal for a home office, or reading nook. The beautiful wood floors continue into a large sunlit bedroom featuring a walk-in closet, and potential for a half bath if desired. Outside provides you with ample yard space and a second septic system already installed, makes adding a garage or workshop is​​‌​​​​‌​‌​​​​‌​​‌​​​​‌‌ effortless.

  18. 2026-03-30
    price $157,000 1136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1136 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home situated on a spacious double lot in the heart of Caroline. Conveniently located near local amenities, with an easy commute to Ithaca or Binghamton and just minutes from over 5,000 acres of Shindagin Hollow State Forest, offering endless opportunities for outdoor adventure. Step inside through the entryway and into a bright, welcoming kitchen that flows nicely through the main level living. Just off the kitchen, find a comfortable bedroom, laundry hook-ups, and a bathroom with modern updates. The spacious living room features warm wood floors and plenty of natural light, providing a space to relax, while the sun porch invites you to enjoy quiet mornings with coffee or unwind in the evenings. Upstairs, a versatile flex space ideal for a home office, or reading nook. The beautiful wood floors continue into a large sunlit bedroom featuring a walk-in closet, and potential for a half bath if desired. Outside provides you with ample yard space and a second septic system already installed, makes adding a garage or workshop is​​‌​​​​‌​‌​​​​‌​​‌​​​​‌‌ effortless.

  19. 2025-11-05
    listed $164,900 Active
  20. 2025-10-28
    listed $164,900 Active 1136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1136 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home situated on a spacious double lot in the heart of Caroline. Conveniently located near local amenities, with an easy commute to Ithaca or Binghamton and just minutes from over 5,000 acres of Shindagin Hollow State Forest, offering endless opportunities for outdoor adventure. Step inside through the entryway and into a bright, welcoming kitchen that flows nicely through the main level living. Just off the kitchen, find a comfortable bedroom, laundry hook-ups, and a bathroom with modern updates. The spacious living room features warm wood floors and plenty of natural light, providing a space to relax, while the sun porch invites you to enjoy quiet mornings with coffee or unwind in the evenings. Upstairs, a versatile flex space ideal for a home office, or reading nook. The beautiful wood floors continue into a large sunlit bedroom featuring a walk-in closet, and potential for a half bath if desired. Outside provides you with ample yard space and a second septic system already installed, makes adding a garage or workshop is​​‌​​​​‌​‌​​​​‌​​‌​​​​‌‌ effortless.

  21. 2023-11-16
    historical
  22. 2023-10-17
    price $129,500
  23. 2023-09-05
    price $139,500
  24. 2023-07-20
    listed $129,500
  25. 2023-07-20
    listed $149,500 Active
  26. 2023-07-20
    listed $129,500
  27. 2019-05-08
    listed $110,500
  28. 2019-01-07
    listed $115,500
  29. 2018-06-18
    listed $115,500
  30. 2018-05-01
    listed $119,900
  31. 2017-04-28
    listed $89,900
  32. 2016-10-24
    listed $89,900
  33. 2016-09-06
    listed $89,900
  34. 2016-06-28
    listed $94,900
  35. 2015-12-23
    listed $97,500
  36. 2015-07-02
    listed $99,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,581 · $215/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,581 · $215/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,015
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$2,581
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,281
− Management
−$1,281
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable loss
−$2,554
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$613
After-tax cash flow
$563/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ithaca City School District
NCES district ID
3615570
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▲ 11.00%
Median HH income
$46,528
Composite
54.01/100
National rank
#1397
State rank
#195 of 590 in NY

Livability — Slaterville Springs

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,811

Population outlook (Tompkins County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
113,958 people
By 2030
118,774 · +4.2%
By 2040
125,927 · +10.5%
By 2050
133,599 · +17.2%
By 2075
156,759 · +37.6%
By 2100
169,896 · +49.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Tompkins

2024 margin
Solid D (+50.6) · D 75.3% · R 24.7%
2008→2024 swing
+8.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 50.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+50.6 2020: D+49.2 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+39.8 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 55.86%
Current HPI
395.0138
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+49.7% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $149,000 IBRMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $157,000 IBRMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Listed $164,900 GBAOR
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $164,900 IBRMLS
  • 2023-11-16 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2023-10-17 Price Changed $129,500 IBRMLS
  • 2023-09-05 Price Changed $139,500 IBRMLS
  • 2023-07-20 Listed $129,500 IBRMLS
  • 2023-07-20 Listed $149,500 IBRMLS
  • 2023-07-20 Listed $129,500 UNYREIS
  • 2019-05-08 Listed $110,500 IBRMLS
  • 2019-01-07 Listed $115,500 IBRMLS
  • 2018-06-18 Listed $115,500 IBRMLS
  • 2018-05-01 Listed $119,900 IBRMLS
  • 2017-04-28 Listed $89,900 IBRMLS
  • 2016-10-24 Listed $89,900 IBRMLS
  • 2016-09-06 Listed $89,900 IBRMLS
  • 2016-06-28 Listed $94,900 IBRMLS
  • 2015-12-23 Listed $97,500 IBRMLS
  • 2015-07-02 Listed $99,500 IBRMLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,581 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…