2776 Santa Barbara Dr NW · Atlanta, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special in Historic Collier Heights! Don’t miss this incredible opportunity to add value and build equity in one of Atlanta’s fastest-growing and most sought-after communities. This charming fixer-upper sits on a solid foundation and offers endless potential for investors or savvy homeowners looking for their next rehab project. The existing carport presents the perfect opportunity to create a spacious owner’s suite with a full bathroom, transforming the home into a 4-bedroom, 2-bath layout. Inside, you’ll find real hardwood floors and a functional floorplan where the living room flows effortlessly into the kitchen. Priced to sell, this is a rare chance to p
Key facts
- Real hardwood floors
- Solid foundation
- Functional floorplan
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Road surface: Asphalt; Road frontage: City street; Directions: Use GPS; County: Fulton, GA
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric: Other; Other utilities
- Home design: One-level single-family home; Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Property listed as fixer
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Chain link fence; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen opens to family room (view to family room); Other kitchen features
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level); Master bathroom: Other features
- Heating & cooling: Heating: Other; Cooling: Other
- Interior features: No shared/common walls; Fixer condition
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $438 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-.
- Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Barack And Michelle Obama Academy (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,125 of 1,228 statewide, top 93%, 258 students, 100% FRL); John Lewis Invictus Academy (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #470 of 470 statewide, top 100%, 825 students, 100% FRL); Frederick Douglass High School (math 24%, 1,112 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 71% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 5% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Atlanta Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 722 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.91%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $152,150
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2648 Santa Monica Dr NW | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 850 (0%) | 11mo | $157,500 | $185 | 86 |
| 2720 Santa Barbara Dr NW | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (+7%) | 9mo | $149,000 | $163 | 75 |
| 467 Park Valley Dr NW | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 840 (-1%) | 3mo | $122,000 | $145 | 66 |
| 2631 Godfrey Dr NW | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 840 (-1%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $179 | 64 |
| 568 Commercial Ave NW | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 728 (-14%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $227 | 50 |
| 462 Center Hill Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-10%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $241 | 46 |
| 2375 Baker Rd NW | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 725 (-15%) | 4mo | $112,500 | $155 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $6,508
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $43,580
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30318
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 722
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,736 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $438
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2740 Oldknow Dr NW Unit A Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,050 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2762 Oldknow Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,600 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 488 Park Valley Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $2,500 | $2.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2875 Hedgewood Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 156 Fairfield Pl NW Unit B-9 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,199 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2199 Tiger Flowers Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,325 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2423 M.L.K. Jr Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1120 | $1,750 | $1.56 | 2d | 19 | 1.01mi |
| 100 Peyton Pl SW Atlanta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1040 | $1,799 | $1.73 | 2d | 26 | 1.04mi |
| 2595 Elliott St NW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 11d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2175 Pansy St NW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,403 | $2.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2059 Detroit Ave NW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,340 | $1.79 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 139 Peyton Pl SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 139 Peyton Pl SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 929 N Grand Ave NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3188 Delmar Ln NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $2,400 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1958 Maywood Pl NW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 829 | $1,425 | $1.72 | 5d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 511 Emily Pl NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1101 | $1,745 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2227 Telhurst St SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,395 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2227 Telhurst St SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,395 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1916 Joseph E. Boone Blvd NW Unit A Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 20d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1916 Joseph E. Boone Blvd NW Unit B Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 340 Dixie Hills Cir NW Unit C1 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,099 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 166 Anderson Ave NW Unit B18 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,095 | $1.44 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 166 Anderson Ave NW Unit B17 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,150 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1894 North Ave NW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,995 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 269 Florida Ave SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,850 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 166 Anderson Ave NW Unit B12 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,095 | $1.44 | 7d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 166 Anderson Ave NW Apt B4 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,095 | $1.44 | 12d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3136 Martin Luther King Jr Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 20d | 5 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20$135,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,826
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,666
- − Management
- −$1,666
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $3,304
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$793
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,464/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlanta Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1300120
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,306
- Composite
- 27.27/100
- National rank
- #7006
- State rank
- #80 of 174 in GA
Livability — Atlanta
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #919
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atlanta, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 629,525
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,609
- Household income
- $83,116
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4182.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -470.82%
- Current HPI
- 224.1493
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.26%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $135,000 FMLS
Property tax history
-15.7%/yrLatest (2025): $7 · -54.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…