CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
10130 Locust St
F Composite 29.6
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +9.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.5/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

10130 Locust St · Kansas City, MO 64131
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,146 sqft · Townhouse public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1972 986 sqft lot Est $253k · 5% under $375/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Extra Large Townhome with two Large Living Rooms/Family Room, Open Floorplan, four Bedrooms, Formal Dining Room two car garage, two fireplaces, finished lower level with plenty of storage space. Do you love natural light, well this home is for you? Master has two large walk-in BIG closets, bathroom with a jetted tub, separate walk-in shower. The lighting is phenomenal and the open floorplan one of a kind. One of the bedrooms have build-ins that could easily be used as an office. Need a mancave? This townhome has you covered, with the lower level finished basement. Garage space is heated.

Key facts

  • $375 HOA
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Below-grade finished area present
  • HOA & community: Cedarbrooke Townhomes HOA; Monthly HOA fee of $375; Community amenities: clubhouse, party room, pool; HOA covers building exterior, roof repair/replace, lawn service, management, snow removal, street maintenance, trash and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Garage door opener; garage faces front
  • Security: Security system; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Attached townhouse; Tri-level design; Living area and finished lower level included
  • Construction: Stucco and frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Wood fencing; Property located within city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric range; Breakfast area / eat-in kitchen and formal dining options
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (mostly upper level; one listed as third level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (central)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Storm windows; Storm doors; Double vanity in bath(s); Tri-level floor plan; Finished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-512 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (37.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (24.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (37.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Center 58 (urban): math 12% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #301 of 324 in MO (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Indian Creek Elem. (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #993 of 1,115 statewide, top 90%, 274 students, 99% FRL); Center Middle (math 7% / reading 28%, grade F, #350 of 391 statewide, top 90%, 560 students, 66% FRL); Center Sr. High (math 5% / reading 37%, grade F, #468 of 521 statewide, top 90%, 742 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 30% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Recommended offer $149,476 (37.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
3.73%
Cash-on-cash
-9.15%
DSCR
0.59
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$253,228
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10209 Cedarbrooke Ln 0.06mi 3/2.5 2,220 (+3%) 3mo $249,000 $112 89
10229 Cedarbrooke Ln 0.10mi 3/2.5 2,146 (0%) 13mo $254,000 $118 85
10203 Cedarbrooke Ln 0.04mi 3/2.5 2,432 (+13%) 4mo $245,000 $101 72
10132 Locust St 0.01mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,890 (-12%) 3mo $239,900 $127 72
10248 Cedarbrooke Ln 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,859 (-13%) 4mo $249,500 $134 70
10200 Locust St 0.06mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,960 (-9%) 19mo $185,000 $94 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-31.1%
Equity multiple
-0.03×
Total profit
$-69,521
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
-28.6%
Equity multiple
-0.40×
Total profit
$-94,190
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64131

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,825 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$220 /mo · $2,643/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$375
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$383
Net cashflow
$-512

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,473
Max offer price $149,476
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-377 -5% $-445 +0% $-512 +5% $-580 +10% $-648
Rent -10% $-657 -5% $-585 +0% $-512 +5% $-440 +10% $-368
Rate -1.0pp $-392 -0.5pp $-451 base $-512 +0.5pp $-575 +1.0pp $-638

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 W 99th Ter Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1262 $1,962 $1.55 3d 52 0.48mi
9615 Holmes Rd Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.0 1442 $2,300 $1.60 16d 1 0.73mi
9706 Wornall Rd Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.5 1400 $1,395 $1.00 19d 1 0.81mi
10601 Jefferson St Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1090 $3,886 $3.57 12d 1 0.83mi
1520 E 97th St Kansas City, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1163 $1,595 $1.37 4d 7 1.06mi
9108 Oak St Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1966 $2,295 $1.17 23d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$375 · $4,500/yr

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $240,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $240,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,643 · $220/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,643 · $220/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,894
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$2,643
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,752
− Management
−$1,752
− HOA
−$4,500
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$10,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,490
After-tax cash flow
$-3,659/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Center 58
NCES district ID
2908250
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,544
Composite
17.64/100
National rank
#9031
State rank
#301 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
439,467
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
21,942
Household income
$64,201
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1249.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -253.25%
Current HPI
340.8202
Rent YoY
▲ 3.97%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+54.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Coming Soon $240,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-12-23 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-06 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-04 Listed $185,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-04-16 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-13 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-03-20 Contingent Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-03-08 Listed $155,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-12-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-11-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1991-01-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,643 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…