13 Fisher Trail Ter · Silver Springs Shores East, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Don't miss out on this highly desired area of Marion County. A beautiful country living home with lots of trees.
Key facts
- 0.35 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2004
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished; Living area approximately 1,455 (public records); Total building area approximately 2,264 (public records); Total acreage: 1/4 to less than 1/2 acre; Directions: Please use GPS
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage, 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Well water; Sewer: Other; Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces west; R1 zoning
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.35 acre lot (approx. 82 x 125)
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $817 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 5.2% in Silver Springs Shores East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 426 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,948/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 303% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.69%
- DSCR
- 3.08
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $222,615
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227 Fisher Run | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,311 (-10%) | 11mo | $201,000 | $153 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $40,042
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 50.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.88×
- Total profit
- $102,506
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32179
- Home prices YoY
- -18.3%
- Active inventory
- 426
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,948 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$298 /mo · $3,571/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $817
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,073 | -5% $1,047 | +0% $817 | +5% $796 | +10% $775 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $663 | -5% $740 | +0% $817 | +5% $894 | +10% $971 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $855 | -0.5pp $836 | base $817 | +0.5pp $798 | +1.0pp $778 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Fisher Trace Pl Ocklawaha, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,765 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 56 Fisher Way Pass Ocklawaha, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,895 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-04-03$75,000 Active
-
2023-07-19status Pending 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Don't miss out on this highly desired area of Marion County. A beautiful country living home with lots of trees.
-
2023-07-19soldstatus $220,000 Closed 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Don't miss out on this highly desired area of Marion County. A beautiful country living home with lots of trees.
-
2023-07-12$220,000 Active 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Don't miss out on this highly desired area of Marion County. A beautiful country living home with lots of trees.
-
2023-07-11soldstatus $220,000
-
2004-10-15soldstatus $112,000 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
NICE COUNTRY SETTING - 2 NEW HOUSES SIDE BY SIDE. GREAT FOR STARTER HOME OR FOR DOWN SIZE. LOTS OF WILDLIFE. DIRS: FISHER TRL T/R. GO TO FISHER TRL TERR APPROX 4 BLKS HAS STREET SIGN T/R 2ND HOUSE L
-
2004-08-18$117,600 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
NICE COUNTRY SETTING - 2 NEW HOUSES SIDE BY SIDE. GREAT FOR STARTER HOME OR FOR DOWN SIZE. LOTS OF WILDLIFE. DIRS: FISHER TRL T/R. GO TO FISHER TRL TERR APPROX 4 BLKS HAS STREET SIGN T/R 2ND HOUSE L
-
2004-01-06soldstatus $8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,571 · $298/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,571 · $298/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,380
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$3,571
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,870
- − Management
- −$1,870
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $9,311
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,235
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,570/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Silver Springs Shores East
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Silver Springs Shores East, FL
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,318
- Household income
- $46,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 303.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.21%
- Current HPI
- 242.0408
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+837.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-19 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-19 Sold (MLS) $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-12 Listed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2004-10-15 Sold (MLS) $112,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-18 Listed $117,600 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,571 · +18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…