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424 Clinton Ct
B Composite 73.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

424 Clinton Ct · Meadville, PA 16335
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,584 sqft · SingleFamily · 65 Days on market
Built 1930 5,340 sqft lot $54/sqft · 11% below area Est $96k · 11% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Solid 2.5 story on a quiet side street in Meadville. A stone's throw from many amenities the downtown has to offer. First floor has a large living room with fireplace, dining room, kitchen and full bath. The second floor has three bedrooms, a full bath and a small bonus room overlooking back yard. A full basement with half bath and partially finished attic completes the layout.

Key facts

  • Quiet side street
  • Large living room
  • Dining room

Tags

QUIET SIDE STREETLARGE LIVING ROOMFIREPLACEDINING ROOMFULL BATHTHREE BEDROOMS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.9% in Meadville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#72 in PA, #502 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment F.
  • Crawford Central SD (town): math 28% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #367 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.26%
Cash-on-cash
17.75%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$95,882
List price
$85,000
Delta
-11.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
424 Clinton Ct 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,584 (0%) 0mo $80,000 $51 100
573 Green St 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,485 (-6%) 4mo $30,000 $20 64
659 William St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,575 (-1%) 0mo $150,000 $95 60
626 Walnut St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,459 (-8%) 2mo $169,500 $116 59
908 Fairview Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,664 (+5%) 5mo $105,000 $63 59
622 Walnut St 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,471 (-7%) 8mo $95,000 $65 58
673 Washington St 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,617 (+2%) 4mo $53,000 $33 57
586 Walnut St 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,770 (+12%) 6mo $37,500 $21 56
712 State St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,509 (-5%) 5mo $125,000 $83 55
725 Maple St 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,704 (+8%) 1mo $247,500 $145 55
249 Mount Hope St 0.71mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,470 (-7%) 4mo $97,500 $66 42
571 Cullum St 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,352 (-15%) 6mo $125,000 $92 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$8,644
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$36,395
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16335

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,155 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $949/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$352

Break-even live

Break-even rent $709
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $400 -5% $376 +0% $352 +5% $328 +10% $304
Rent -10% $261 -5% $306 +0% $352 +5% $398 +10% $443
Rate -1.0pp $395 -0.5pp $374 base $352 +0.5pp $330 +1.0pp $308

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    price $85,000 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Solid 2.5 story on a quiet side street in Meadville. A stone's throw from many amenities the downtown has to offer. First floor has a large living room with fireplace, dining room, kitchen and full bath. The second floor has three bedrooms, a full bath and a small bonus room overlooking back yard. A full basement with half bath and partially finished attic completes the layout.

  2. 2026-03-17
    listed $90,000 Active 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Solid 2.5 story on a quiet side street in Meadville. A stone's throw from many amenities the downtown has to offer. First floor has a large living room with fireplace, dining room, kitchen and full bath. The second floor has three bedrooms, a full bath and a small bonus room overlooking back yard. A full basement with half bath and partially finished attic completes the layout.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$949 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,146 · $95/mo
Expected delta
+$197/yr (+$16/mo · 20.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,856
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$949
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,108
− Management
−$1,108
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$3,031
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$728
After-tax cash flow
$3,496/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crawford Central SD
NCES district ID
4207080
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$41,837
Composite
33.21/100
National rank
#5530
State rank
#367 of 539 in PA

Livability — Meadville

Score
85/100
State rank
#72
US rank
#502

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Meadville, PA
County
Crawford County · 27,175 people
City population
27,175
Metro
Meadville, PA
Population (ZIP)
27,175
Household income
$57,591
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
953.0

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,399 people
By 2030
77,977 · -4.2%
By 2040
70,659 · -13.2%
By 2050
63,841 · -21.6%
By 2075
50,198 · -38.3%
By 2100
37,898 · -53.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.2) · D 30.0% · R 69.2%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -39.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.2 2020: R+37.2 2016: R+38.5 2012: R+19.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.80%
Current HPI
272.4095
Rent YoY
Metro
Meadville, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $85,000 GEBOR
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $90,000 GEBOR

Property tax history

-4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $949 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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