424 Clinton Ct · Meadville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid 2.5 story on a quiet side street in Meadville. A stone's throw from many amenities the downtown has to offer. First floor has a large living room with fireplace, dining room, kitchen and full bath. The second floor has three bedrooms, a full bath and a small bonus room overlooking back yard. A full basement with half bath and partially finished attic completes the layout.
Key facts
- Quiet side street
- Large living room
- Dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.9% in Meadville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#72 in PA, #502 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment F.
- Crawford Central SD (town): math 28% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #367 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.75%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,882
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -11.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 424 Clinton Ct | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,584 (0%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $51 | 100 |
| 573 Green St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,485 (-6%) | 4mo | $30,000 | $20 | 64 |
| 659 William St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,575 (-1%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $95 | 60 |
| 626 Walnut St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,459 (-8%) | 2mo | $169,500 | $116 | 59 |
| 908 Fairview Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,664 (+5%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $63 | 59 |
| 622 Walnut St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,471 (-7%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $65 | 58 |
| 673 Washington St | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,617 (+2%) | 4mo | $53,000 | $33 | 57 |
| 586 Walnut St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,770 (+12%) | 6mo | $37,500 | $21 | 56 |
| 712 State St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,509 (-5%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $83 | 55 |
| 725 Maple St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,704 (+8%) | 1mo | $247,500 | $145 | 55 |
| 249 Mount Hope St | 0.71mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,470 (-7%) | 4mo | $97,500 | $66 | 42 |
| 571 Cullum St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,352 (-15%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $92 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $8,644
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $36,395
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16335
- Home prices YoY
- -9.0%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,155 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $949/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $352
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $400 | -5% $376 | +0% $352 | +5% $328 | +10% $304 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $261 | -5% $306 | +0% $352 | +5% $398 | +10% $443 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $395 | -0.5pp $374 | base $352 | +0.5pp $330 | +1.0pp $308 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-27price $85,000 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Solid 2.5 story on a quiet side street in Meadville. A stone's throw from many amenities the downtown has to offer. First floor has a large living room with fireplace, dining room, kitchen and full bath. The second floor has three bedrooms, a full bath and a small bonus room overlooking back yard. A full basement with half bath and partially finished attic completes the layout.
-
2026-03-17$90,000 Active 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Solid 2.5 story on a quiet side street in Meadville. A stone's throw from many amenities the downtown has to offer. First floor has a large living room with fireplace, dining room, kitchen and full bath. The second floor has three bedrooms, a full bath and a small bonus room overlooking back yard. A full basement with half bath and partially finished attic completes the layout.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $949 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,146 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$197/yr (+$16/mo · 20.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,856
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$949
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,108
- − Management
- −$1,108
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $3,031
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$728
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,496/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crawford Central SD
- NCES district ID
- 4207080
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,837
- Composite
- 33.21/100
- National rank
- #5530
- State rank
- #367 of 539 in PA
Livability — Meadville
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Meadville, PA
- County
- Crawford County · 27,175 people
- City population
- 27,175
- Metro
- Meadville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,175
- Household income
- $57,591
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 953.0
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,399 people
- By 2030
- 77,977 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 70,659 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 63,841 · -21.6%
- By 2075
- 50,198 · -38.3%
- By 2100
- 37,898 · -53.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.2) · D 30.0% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -39.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.2 2020: R+37.2 2016: R+38.5 2012: R+19.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.80%
- Current HPI
- 272.4095
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Meadville, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-5.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $85,000 GEBOR
- 2026-03-17 Listed $90,000 GEBOR
Property tax history
-4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $949 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…