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1909 N Davis St
B+ Composite 75.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$59,900

1909 N Davis St · Lavaca, AR 72941
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1960 Fair condition 0.67 ac lot ↓ 46% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

8 +/- acre tract in desirable in Lavaca, AR. Wonderful building acreage with City water and AOG through property. Outside city limits, but has some city utilities. Call for your appointment today!

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Brick exterior
  • Covered carport

Tags

BRICK EXTERIORNEW ROOFCOVERED CARPORTSPACIOUS YARDCIRCULAR DRIVECLOSE TO PARK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 1 covered parking space; Concrete parking surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone service available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing (wire); Paved public road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Floor furnace heating; Window cooling units; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($922/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($750 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.0% in Lavaca — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#5 in AR, #2,687 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Lavaca School District (rural): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #77 of 238 in AR (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lavaca Elementary School (math 57% / reading 42%, grade D, #93 of 454 statewide, top 23%, 346 students, 56% FRL); Lavaca Middle School (math 32% / reading 35%, grade F, #129 of 201 statewide, top 64%, 231 students, 48% FRL); Lavaca High School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #64 of 292 statewide, top 26%, 260 students, 44% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.34%
Cash-on-cash
14.46%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$145,728
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1206 Brewer Ln 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,134 (+3%) 6mo $145,000 $128 66
105 W Houston St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,066 (-3%) 3mo $164,000 $154 62
1700 Brewer Ln 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,215 (+10%) 6mo $160,000 $132 62
1204 N Davis St 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,215 (+10%) 1mo $127,000 $105 61
1201 Brewer Ln 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,000 (-9%) 13mo $142,000 $142 48
203 Ohio Ln 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,269 (+15%) 11mo $165,000 $130 47
1204 Brewer Ln 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,215 (+10%) 17mo $135,000 $111 44
201 W Houston St 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,014 (-8%) 17mo $150,000 $148 42
4 Fayetteville St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,245 (+13%) 11mo $180,000 $145 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$37,590
Equity at exit
$53,963
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
7.38×
Total profit
$106,996
Equity at exit
$116,373

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72941

Home prices YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$750 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $617/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$158
Net cashflow
$77

Break-even live

Break-even rent $653
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1307 W Main St Unit 53 Lavaca, AR 3.0 2.0 1280 $750 $0.59 43d 1 0.94mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    statusdays on market $59,900 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $59,900 Pending 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-05-20
    status Active
  12. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  13. 2026-05-04
    listed $59,900 Active
  14. 2025-09-14
    status Active
  15. 2025-07-20
    status Pending
  16. 2025-07-15
    soldstatus $60,000 Closed 196-char remark
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    8 +/- acre tract in desirable in Lavaca, AR. Wonderful building acreage with City water and AOG through property. Outside city limits, but has some city utilities. Call for your appointment today!

  17. 2025-07-12
    listed $85,000 Active
  18. 2025-05-13
    status Pending 196-char remark
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    8 +/- acre tract in desirable in Lavaca, AR. Wonderful building acreage with City water and AOG through property. Outside city limits, but has some city utilities. Call for your appointment today!

  19. 2025-05-05
    price $85,000 196-char remark
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    8 +/- acre tract in desirable in Lavaca, AR. Wonderful building acreage with City water and AOG through property. Outside city limits, but has some city utilities. Call for your appointment today!

  20. 2025-04-09
    listed $96,000 Active 196-char remark
    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    8 +/- acre tract in desirable in Lavaca, AR. Wonderful building acreage with City water and AOG through property. Outside city limits, but has some city utilities. Call for your appointment today!

  21. 2019-12-06
    soldstatus $90,000
  22. 2019-07-22
    listed $110,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$617 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$617 · $51/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,000
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$617
− Insurance
−$1,802
− Repairs & maintenance
−$720
− Management
−$720
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$44
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$10
After-tax cash flow
$912/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. The kitchen and bathroom need significant updates, and the exterior paint should be repaired.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — severely worn and outdated
  • Major kitchen countertops — severely worn and outdated
  • Major bathroom fixtures — basic and outdated
  • Major exterior paint — some discoloration and wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers
  • Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom will attract more buyers
  • Both paint interior walls — improves the home's appearance and can be done on a budget
  • Both repair exterior paint — improves the home's curb appeal and can be done on a budget

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · severely worn and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen countertops · severely worn and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · basic and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
exterior paint · some discoloration and wear Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers
  • Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom will attract more buyers
  • Both paint interior walls — improves the home's appearance and can be done on a budget
  • Both repair exterior paint — improves the home's curb appeal and can be done on a budget

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lavaca School District
NCES district ID
0508730
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$51,457
Composite
32.55/100
National rank
#5687
State rank
#77 of 238 in AR

Livability — Lavaca

Score
78/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#2687

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,775

Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
133,992 people
By 2030
136,620 · +2.0%
By 2040
140,832 · +5.1%
By 2050
143,301 · +6.9%
By 2075
147,964 · +10.4%
By 2100
145,848 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.99%
Current HPI
376.37
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-45.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Relisted WRVBOR
  • 2026-05-15 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $59,900 WRVBOR
  • 2025-09-14 Relisted WRVBOR
  • 2025-07-20 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2025-07-15 Sold (MLS) $60,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-07-12 Listed $85,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-05-13 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2025-05-05 Price Changed $85,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $96,000 WRVBOR
  • 2019-12-06 Sold (MLS) $90,000 WRVBOR
  • 2019-07-22 Listed $110,000 WRVBOR

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $617 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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