Multi-family
241 Herman St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Wow! Updated and well-maintained multi-family property featuring a newer tear-off roof—an excellent opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants. This classic Buffalo double offers a spacious lower unit with 3 bedrooms and a comfortable upper unit with 2 bedrooms, each with its own full bath. Located on a residential street, the property provides strong income potential along with the flexibility to occupy one unit while renting the other. A great opportunity to own a sizable multi-unit in the City of Buffalo.
Key facts
- Spacious lower unit
- Newer tear-off roof
- 4,810 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two total units in the building; Two separate gas meters and two separate electric meters (one for each unit)
- Financial info: Operating expense details: see remarks; Owner pays: see remarks; Rent includes: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway/parking with two or more spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story multi-family property; Resale condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Existing construction
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Paved parking with two or more spaces
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: One unit with 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (total for property); Each 3-bed unit has 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric and gas heating (see remarks)
- Interior features: Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Separate gas meters for each unit; Separate electric meters for each unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $246k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,769/mo this rent would consume 125% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $103k; list at $250k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.45%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,059
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- 34.31%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 494 Wilson St | 0.21mi | 6/2.0 | 2,148 (+7%) | 11mo | $121,000 | $56 | 69 |
| 396 Guilford St | 0.31mi | 6/3.0 | 2,144 (+7%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $63 | 68 |
| 352 Guilford St | 0.23mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,088 (+4%) | 14mo | $120,000 | $57 | 65 |
| 301 Reed St | 0.18mi | 6/2.0 | 2,224 (+11%) | 20mo | $65,000 | $29 | 56 |
| 227 Timon St | 0.62mi | 6/2.0 | 2,084 (+4%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $91 | 56 |
| 443 Madison St | 0.59mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,892 (-5%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $40 | 51 |
| 38 Fox St | 0.41mi | 6/2.0 | 2,172 (+9%) | 23mo | $65,000 | $30 | 48 |
| 553 E North St | 0.28mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,272 (+14%) | 16mo | $83,800 | $37 | 46 |
| 65 Kingsley St | 0.75mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,884 (-6%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $122 | 42 |
| 424 Dodge St | 0.63mi | 6/2.0 | 2,142 (+7%) | 21mo | $245,000 | $114 | 41 |
| 64 Sweet Ave | 0.72mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (-13%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $83 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $97,461
- Equity at exit
- $99,232
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.59×
- Total profit
- $251,423
- Equity at exit
- $143,409
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14211
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,769 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$312 /mo · $3,748/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$791
- Net cashflow
- $1,251
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $2,108 |
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,661 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,769 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1848 | $1,500 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.19mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 527-char remark
-
2026-04-29$249,900 Active 527-char remark
-
2026-02-13historical
-
2026-02-04$149,900 Active
-
2026-01-16soldstatus $103,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,228
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$3,748
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,618
- − Management
- −$3,618
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable income
- $11,725
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,814
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,192/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,663
- Household income
- $36,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1804.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Current HPI
- 357.6438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+142.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $249,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-13 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.7%/yrLatest (2025): $175 · +183.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…