611 Cora St · Chapman, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Don't miss this charming 3 bed 2 bath mobile home situated on lot 16! It features a kitchen/dining room combo as well as a covered porch. Lot rent is $325 and includes water, sewer, and one trash can. Call for a showing today!
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Built 2012
- Listed 48 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax approximately $298.76
Exterior
- Home design: Mobile home (residential)
- Construction: Zoned SF (single-family)
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two bathrooms on the main level
- Interior features: Main-level laundry
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($994 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#376 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Northwest Public Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #53 of 111 in NE (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in Merrick County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Merrick County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.46%
- DSCR
- 2.18
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $36,248
- Equity at exit
- $32,737
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.35×
- Total profit
- $89,806
- Equity at exit
- $55,481
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68827
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $994 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $370
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $412 | -5% $391 | +0% $370 | +5% $350 | +10% $329 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $292 | -5% $331 | +0% $370 | +5% $410 | +10% $449 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $401 | -0.5pp $386 | base $370 | +0.5pp $355 | +1.0pp $339 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $60,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $60,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $60,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $60,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-04-30$75,000 Active 226-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,925
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$954
- − Management
- −$954
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $3,711
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$891
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwest Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3174580
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,589
- Composite
- 45.28/100
- National rank
- #2654
- State rank
- #53 of 111 in NE
Livability — Chapman
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #376
- US rank
- #14029
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chapman, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 737
Population outlook (Merrick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,635 people
- By 2030
- 7,504 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 7,217 · -5.5%
- By 2050
- 6,843 · -10.4%
- By 2075
- 5,739 · -24.8%
- By 2100
- 4,320 · -43.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Merrick
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.0) · D 16.8% · R 81.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.5pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -65.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.0 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+62.4 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+40.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Current HPI
- 283.8371
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
-20.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $60,000 GMNMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $70,000 GMNMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $75,000 GMNMLS
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $64 · +1646.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…