Duplex
3113 12th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$1,089,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to 31-13 12th Street, a charming two-family home in the heart of Astoria, near Long Island City. Perfect for homeowners or investors, it offers two income-generating units and endless potential. The first-floor unit features 2 bedrooms, an eat-in kitchen, and a full bath. The second unit upstairs includes 3 spacious bedrooms, another eat-in kitchen, and a full bath. A fully finished walk-in basement with a separate entrance adds extra living space or rental possibilities. Outside, enjoy a large private backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Conveniently close to shopping, public transportation, and more, this "as is" property will be delivered vacant, ready for your
Key facts
- Two family home
- Close to shopping
- 1,953 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Sewer: Other
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit (duplex property)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Attic fan; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Beamed ceilings; Bidet; Eat-in kitchen; Finished full basement with walk-out access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.5ba + 1×3bd/1.5ba units multifamily listed at $1.09M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $1.09M).
- Recommended offer: $1.02M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $12,574/mo this rent would consume 178% of the median local household income ($85k/yr) (locally 3679% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $305k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$76k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.02M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $750k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.48%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,538,240
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3004 14th St | 0.24mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (-2%) | 10mo | $1,150,000 | $639 | 68 |
| 3361 29th St | 0.60mi | 4/— | 1,890 (+3%) | 6mo | $1,510,000 | $799 | 62 |
| 31-71 32 St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,764 (-4%) | 1mo | $1,475,000 | $836 | 57 |
| 2308 31 Dr | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,566 (-15%) | 5mo | $1,130,000 | $722 | 52 |
| 3329 29th St Unit 2FAM | 0.57mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (-2%) | 13mo | $1,725,000 | $958 | 50 |
| 26-19 14th Pl | 0.49mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-13%) | 4mo | $1,339,000 | $837 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.06% appreciation · 7.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $288,239
- Equity at exit
- $433,321
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.22×
- Total profit
- $981,420
- Equity at exit
- $626,914
Cash invested: $304,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11106
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 15.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,574 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,711
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,361 /mo · $16,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$454
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,641
- Net cashflow
- $2,408
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1.5 | $5,946 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1.5 | $6,628 |
| Total (2 units) | $12,574 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $272,250
- Closing costs
- $32,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888 Main St New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 963 | $7,375 | $7.66 | 6d | 7 | 0.52mi |
| 2812 37th St Astoria, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2200 | $4,700 | $2.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 344 E 84th St #1 New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $14,000 | $6.67 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 360 E 65th St #1283 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1059 | $8,790 | $8.30 | 3d | 3 | 1.37mi |
| 200 E 69th St New York, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1958 | $20,000 | $10.21 | 2d | 2 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,089,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,089,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,089,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,089,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $1,089,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,095,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,095,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,095,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,095,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,095,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,095,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $1,095,000
-
2026-04-05$1,098,888 Active
-
2025-11-24historical
-
2024-09-06price $1,100,000
-
2024-08-02$1,200,000 Active
-
2021-03-18historical
-
2020-03-19$1,199,000 New
-
2014-10-02historical
-
2013-10-02$825,000
-
2008-03-24soldstatus $750,000
-
2004-07-03soldstatus $525,000
-
2003-04-02soldstatus $315,000
-
1997-07-16soldstatus $120,000
-
1993-08-30soldstatus $165,500
-
1990-03-21soldstatus $225,000
-
1990-03-21soldstatus $225,000
-
1988-11-02soldstatus $200,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $150,888
- − Mortgage interest
- −$61,001
- − Property taxes
- −$16,335
- − Insurance
- −$5,445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$12,071
- − Management
- −$12,071
- − Depreciation
- −$31,680
- Taxable income
- $12,285
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,948
- After-tax cash flow
- $25,943/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,930
- Household income
- $84,867
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3679.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 27% Asian 19% Two or more races 12% Black 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 3% Estonian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 39% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 13% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.06%
- Current HPI
- 348.3009
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.28%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+447.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $1,095,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-05 Listed $1,098,888 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-24 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-06 Price Changed $1,100,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-02 Listed $1,200,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-18 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-19 Listed $1,199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-02 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-02 Listed $825,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $750,000 Public Records
- 2004-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $525,000 Public Records
- 2003-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $315,000 Public Records
- 1997-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 1993-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $165,500 Public Records
- 1990-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 1990-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 1988-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,071 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…