10028 Stahelin Ave · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this charming Detroit ranch featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 1 full bath. Enjoy a bright living area with large windows, a functional kitchen ready for your personal touch, and a generous backyard perfect for gatherings or gardening. Conveniently located near major freeways, schools, and shopping. Ideal for homeowners or investors looking for a solid property in a growing neighborhood. Property does have a tenant.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1958
- Listed 11 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water service
- Home design: Ranch-style single-family home; One-story; Living area reported at about 1,024 square feet
- Construction: Built in 1958; Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Small lot (~0.12 acres); Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (approximately 17 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (approximately 10 x 11)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; Additional bathroom (approx. 10 x 4)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Slab foundation/basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room (approximately 8 x 10)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mann Learning Community (335 students, 96% FRL); Cody High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 466 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 92% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 367 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,227/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.11%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $76,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9934 Warwick St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,018 (-1%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $69 | 90 |
| 9976 Warwick St | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,024 (0%) | 4mo | $129,900 | $127 | 89 |
| 9608 Piedmont St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (+2%) | 4mo | $74,900 | $71 | 80 |
| 9317 Artesian St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 994 (-3%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $25 | 70 |
| 11658 Ashton Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+6%) | 0mo | $89,000 | $82 | 69 |
| 9221 Grandville Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 971 (-5%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $139 | 63 |
| 11700 Auburn St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 964 (-6%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $57 | 61 |
| 10006 Auburn St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (+12%) | 1mo | $63,000 | $55 | 58 |
| 9534 Heyden St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-6%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $104 | 53 |
| 9634 Evergreen Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-11%) | 3mo | $23,000 | $25 | 52 |
| 9977 Evergreen Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (+12%) | 2mo | $86,000 | $75 | 50 |
| 9581 Heyden St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 950 (-7%) | 4mo | $92,000 | $97 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $114
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $7,011
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 367
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,227 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$299 /mo · $3,583/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $247
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $503 | -5% $477 | +0% $247 | +5% $225 | +10% $204 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $150 | -5% $198 | +0% $247 | +5% $295 | +10% $343 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $284 | -0.5pp $266 | base $247 | +0.5pp $227 | +1.0pp $207 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,117 | $1.62 | 0d | 15 | 0.33mi |
| 11704 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 26d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 19440 W Chicago St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,225 | $1.02 | 19d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 19440 W Chicago St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,225 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 19449 W Chicago St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 9090 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $1,250 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 6d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 10030 Abington Ave Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,475 | $1.09 | 12d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 12084 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 19d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 11652 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,386 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 20522 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 20529 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 9401 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 20550 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 20541 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 20545 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9410 Patton St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 20547 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9404 Patton St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 20619 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 12875 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,200 | $1.63 | 6d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 12950 Glastonbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 26d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 12941 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 19050 W Davison St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 13514 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 19d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12944 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 6d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9589 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 6d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 11641 Mansfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 8262 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,200 | $1.44 | 6d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 12711 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 19d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 20921 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 13591 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 13581 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 20935 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 20937 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 20945 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $74,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13$80,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,583 · $299/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,583 · $299/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$3,583
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,178
- − Management
- −$1,178
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $2,033
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$488
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,470/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+92.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-10 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-10 Listed $80,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2009-02-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-10-27 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2004-01-28 Sold (MLS) $20,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-12-09 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-10-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-03-21 Listed $35,500 REALCOMP
- 2000-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $26,900 Public Records
- 2000-08-25 Sold (MLS) $26,900 REALCOMP
- 2000-07-05 Listed $26,900 REALCOMP
- 2000-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $21,900 Public Records
- 2000-04-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2000-01-25 Listed $42,000 REALCOMP
- 1999-09-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1999-05-28 Listed $41,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+24.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,583 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…