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11735 Pen Mar Rd
D+ Composite 45.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$14,500

11735 Pen Mar Rd · Washington, PA 17268
1 bd · 1.0 ba · — sqft · Manufactured · 37 Days on market
↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Up for sale is a mobile home on a rented lot right around the corner from everything Waynesboro PA has to offer laundry mat, post office, walmart, storage units are all walking distance. Home is 50& apos; x14& apos; has 1 large bedroom and 1 bathroom. Large lovely living room and decent size kitchen. Home has washer and dryer hookups and fairly new water heater. Plumbing is in good working order. Roof is solid no leaks. Porch was just rebuilt and is almost complete just needs a roof installed. Home uses electric baseboard heat and window ac units for air conditioning. There is a spot along the side of the home if the new owner would like to install a shed that would not be a problem

Key facts

  • Rebuilt porch
  • Solid roof
  • Listed 37 days

Tags

WASHER AND DRYER HOOKUPSFAIRLY NEW WATER HEATERPLUMBING IN GOOD WORKING ORDERSOLID ROOFREBUILT PORCHELECTRIC BASEBOARD HEAT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $14k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $769 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $14k).
  • Recommended offer: $14k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 69.9% vs local median 2.8% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#77 in PA, #558 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D-.
  • Waynesboro Area SD (town): math 36% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #283 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 230 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $100 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $435 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($14k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $14,065 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.51%
Cap rate
69.93%
Cash-on-cash
227.27%
DSCR
11.11
GRM
1.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.49×
Total profit
$46,636
Equity at exit
$2,162
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
26.55×
Total profit
$103,718
Equity at exit
$1,254

Cash invested: $4,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17268

Active inventory
230
Price-to-rent
1.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,089 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$76
Tax from tax record
$10 /mo · $115/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$769

Break-even live

Break-even rent $116
Max offer price $14,500
Occupancy floor 24%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,625
Closing costs
$435
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12935 Washington Twp Blvd Waynesboro, PA 2.0–3.0 1.5 1201 $933 $0.78 12d 2 0.52mi
10727 Sunburst Gardens Dr Unit C Waynesboro, PA 2.0 2.0 $1,295 21d 1 0.86mi
10641 Sunburst Gardens Dr Unit E Waynesboro, PA 2.0 1.0 $1,095 43d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $14,500 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $14,500 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $14,500 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $14,500 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $14,500 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $14,500 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $14,500 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $14,500 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $14,500 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $14,500 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $14,500 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $14,500 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $14,500 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $14,500 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $14,500 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $14,500 Active 18 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    price $14,500 1224-char remark
  18. 2026-05-12
    listed $16,000 Active 1224-char remark
  19. 2026-05-12
    listed $20,000 Active 1510-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$115 · $10/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$172 · $14/mo
Expected delta
+$57/yr (+$5/mo · 49.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,073
− Mortgage interest
−$812
− Property taxes
−$115
− Insurance
−$72
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,046
− Management
−$1,046
− Depreciation
−$422
Taxable income
$9,559
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,294
After-tax cash flow
$6,933/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waynesboro Area SD
NCES district ID
4225110
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$50,445
Composite
37.79/100
National rank
#4342
State rank
#283 of 539 in PA

Livability — Washington

Score
85/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#558

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rouzerville, PA
County
Franklin County · 56,916 people
City population
50,348
Metro
Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
Population (ZIP)
29,362
Household income
$73,161
Rent vs Own
28.8% rent · 71.2% own
Severe rent burden
539.0

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
157,827 people
By 2030
158,933 · +0.7%
By 2040
159,060 · +0.8%
By 2050
155,132 · -1.7%
By 2075
138,545 · -12.2%
By 2100
112,321 · -28.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -113.20%
Current HPI
189.6931
Rent YoY
Metro
Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $14,500 FSBO.com
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $16,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $115 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…