31788 Arenac Ct · Westland, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NO SHOWINGS UNTIL ACCEPTED OFFER. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT. Investment opportunity with tenant already in place paying $995/month plus all utilities. Zillow estimates potential rent upside of up to $1,300. This ranch-style home offers immediate cash flow and is rental certified through March 2028 for added peace of mind. Features include a spacious kitchen, dedicated laundry/utility room, large driveway, detached garage, and sizable yard. Convenient location with easy access to major freeways. Great addition to an investment portfolio with long-term rental potential.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1942
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (approximately 1.5 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Porch; Exterior lighting
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric oven; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Lighting; Porch
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.5% in Westland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#124 in MI, #3,067 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime D+.
- Wayne-Westland Community School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #474 of 540 in MI (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.21%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $111,398
- List price
- $99,500
- Delta
- -10.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31905 Saginaw Ct | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 834 (0%) | 0mo | $127,000 | $152 | 93 |
| 31784 Arenac Ct | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 834 (0%) | 8mo | $99,000 | $119 | 88 |
| 31842 Bay Ct | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+4%) | 6mo | $149,000 | $172 | 77 |
| 32332 Kalamazoo Ct | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 834 (0%) | 4mo | $119,000 | $143 | 74 |
| 32757 Missaukee Ct | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 834 (0%) | 4mo | $101,500 | $122 | 69 |
| 32304 Hazelwood St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 882 (+6%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $244 | 56 |
| 1255 Windham St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 895 (+7%) | 5mo | $206,000 | $230 | 53 |
| 32462 Muskegon Ct | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+8%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $83 | 52 |
| 30805 Parkwood St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 895 (+7%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $223 | 52 |
| 31606 Fairchild St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 882 (+6%) | 6mo | $168,070 | $191 | 51 |
| 32200 Fairchild St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 894 (+7%) | 6mo | $173,000 | $194 | 46 |
| 2075 Alanson St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+12%) | 6mo | $127,300 | $136 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-3,567
- Equity at exit
- $14,836
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $14,235
- Equity at exit
- $8,603
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48186
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,219 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,512/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $191
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $247 | -5% $219 | +0% $191 | +5% $162 | +10% $134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $94 | -5% $142 | +0% $191 | +5% $239 | +10% $287 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $241 | -0.5pp $216 | base $191 | +0.5pp $165 | +1.0pp $139 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31820 Bay Ct Westland, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $1,125 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 32667 Menominee St Unit 32667 Westland, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $750 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 29971 Brooklane St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $1,450 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 32860 Mecosta St Westland, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 32860 Mecosta St Unit 1 Westland, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2036 Alberta St Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,325 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 30010 Hazelwood St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,300 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 33000 Parkhill St Wayne, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $1,240 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 32448 Birchwood St Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,675 | $1.74 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 30043 Grandview St Unit 1 Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1004 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 33507 Berville Ct Westland, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 907 | $1,350 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 30520 Hiveley St Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $1,700 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 29800 Oakwood St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,400 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 31217 Cherry Hill Rd Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 130 E Tami Cir Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $1,209 | $1.51 | 44d | 3 | 1.19mi |
| 33402 Michigan Ave Unit 5 Wayne, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $725 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 110 Waterbury Ct Westland, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 581 | $1,350 | $2.32 | 2d | 7 | 1.22mi |
| 29203 Oakwood St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,600 | $1.75 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 34039 Cambria Ct Westland, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,395 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2264 Delton Ct Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1076 | $1,300 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2310 Deerfield Ct Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,125 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 33095 Forest St Wayne, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $1,142 | $1.40 | 3d | 5 | 1.36mi |
| 2040 Dryden St Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 18d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-07$99,500 Active 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
NO SHOWINGS UNTIL ACCEPTED OFFER. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT. Investment opportunity with tenant already in place paying $995/month plus all utilities. Zillow estimates potential rent upside of up to $1,300. This ranch-style home offers immediate cash flow and is rental certified through March 2028 for added peace of mind. Features include a spacious kitchen, dedicated laundry/utility room, large driveway, detached garage, and sizable yard. Convenient location with easy access to major freeways. Great addition to an investment portfolio with long-term rental potential.
-
2026-05-07$99,500 Active 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
NO SHOWINGS UNTIL ACCEPTED OFFER. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT. Investment opportunity with tenant already in place paying $995/month plus all utilities. Zillow estimates potential rent upside of up to $1,300. This ranch-style home offers immediate cash flow and is rental certified through March 2028 for added peace of mind. Features include a spacious kitchen, dedicated laundry/utility room, large driveway, detached garage, and sizable yard. Convenient location with easy access to major freeways. Great addition to an investment portfolio with long-term rental potential.
-
2022-03-09soldstatus $245,000
-
2021-09-24historical
-
2020-09-25$70,000
-
2020-09-25$70,000
-
2008-09-10soldstatus $11,000
-
2008-05-27$14,900
-
2004-02-11soldstatus $61,000
-
1998-10-28soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,512 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,512 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,631
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$2,512
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,170
- − Management
- −$1,170
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $812
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$195
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,093/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne-Westland Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 2600015
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,524
- Composite
- 16.4/100
- National rank
- #9195
- State rank
- #474 of 540 in MI
Livability — Westland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #124
- US rank
- #3067
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Westland, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 83,633
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,103
- Household income
- $65,187
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 980.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 23% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -262.09%
- Current HPI
- 237.6325
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+397.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $99,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Listed $99,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2021-09-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-09-25 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-09-25 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-09-10 Sold (MLS) $11,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-05-27 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,512 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…