614 Ashley Falls Ln · Sienna, TX 77583

$249,900

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,611 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market

Built 2019 5,998 sqft lot $96/sqft · 14% below area Est $290k · 14% under $71/mo HOA · 2% of rent

---

Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +13.8/15.0
• Cash flow +13.7/30.0
• 1% rule +6.5/10.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• DSCR +4.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

A property built to deliver scale, flow, and everyday convenience from the moment you step inside. This 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a 2-car attached garage. The interior features a high-ceiling main living area that connects to the kitchen and dining spaces, creating an open flow for daily use. Upstairs bedrooms provide separation and flexibility, while the wide backyard offers room for general outdoor activities. Located near Highway 6, Fort Bend Tollway, Houston Southwest Airport, and retail options in the Missouri City/Shadow Creek areas, giving reach to nearby services and parks. A well-scaled property ready for in-person review, schedule your showing today!

Key facts

• Wide backyard
• Near retail options
• Near parks

Tags

• HIGH-CEILING MAIN LIVING AREA
• WIDE BACKYARD
• NEAR RETAIL OPTIONS
• NEAR PARKS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($241/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
• Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.3% in Sienna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1139 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $234,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.15% ✓
• Cap rate: 6.39%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.35%
• DSCR: 1.02
• GRM: 7.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $290,412
• List price: $249,900
• Delta: -13.95%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
8310 Oakleaf Meadow Ct	0.29mi	5/3.5 (+1)	2,642 (+1%)	1mo	$240,000	$91	77
210 Dusty Bridle Ln	0.39mi	4/3.0	2,516 (-4%)	2mo	$324,900	$129	74
1006 Cotswold Ct	0.48mi	4/2.5	2,501 (-4%)	0mo	$310,000	$124	68
631 Yard Master Trl	0.58mi	4/3.5	2,655 (+2%)	2mo	$340,990	$128	66
607 Yard Master Trl	0.59mi	4/3.5	2,712 (+4%)	1mo	$397,252	$146	63
8739 Mallow Rose Way	0.67mi	4/3.5	2,532 (-3%)	1mo	$372,795	$147	61
507 Marley Oak Dr	0.34mi	4/3.0	2,261 (-13%)	2mo	$319,900	$141	60
8706 Mallow Rose Way	0.60mi	4/3.5	2,782 (+6%)	2mo	$383,640	$138	58
643 Yard Master Trl	0.58mi	5/3.5 (+1)	2,793 (+7%)	3mo	$361,815	$130	52
619 Yard Master Trl	0.58mi	5/3.5 (+1)	2,793 (+7%)	3mo	$369,990	$132	52
8738 Mallow Rose Way	0.67mi	4/3.5	2,837 (+9%)	1mo	$396,843	$140	51
8730 Mallow Rose Way	0.66mi	5/4.5 (+1)	2,837 (+9%)	2mo	$386,990	$136	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -19.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.34×
• Total profit: $-46,081
• Equity at exit: $37,261

10-year hold

• IRR: -21.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.07×
• Total profit: $-65,187
• Equity at exit: $21,607

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77583

• Rents YoY: 0.4%
• Active inventory: 1139
• Price-to-rent: 7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,881 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,311
• Tax from tax record: −$770 /mo · $9,242/yr
• Insurance: −$104
• HOA: −$71
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$605
• Net cashflow: $20

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,855

Max offer price $249,900

Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $62,475
• Closing costs: $7,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 9 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
8210 Radial Ct Rosharon, TX	5.0	2.5	2506	$2,550	$1.02	43d	1	0.29mi
8310 Rose Petals Ln Rosharon, TX	4.0	2.0	1833	$2,300	$1.25	43d	1	0.29mi
8414 Aster Glen Way Rosharon, TX	4.0	2.5	2588	$2,650	$1.02	43d	1	0.38mi
7711 Sleek Flock Ln Rosharon, TX	4.0	3.0	2492	$2,850	$1.14	24d	1	0.39mi
8043 House Bank Ln Rosharon, TX	4.0	3.0	2512	$2,550	$1.02	18d	1	0.58mi
1119 Toledo Bend Pass Rosharon, TX	5.0	3.0	2200	$2,500	$1.14	43d	1	0.63mi
1014 Star Grass Ln Rosharon, TX	4.0	2.0	2067	$2,375	$1.15	43d	1	0.94mi
7218 Bakersfield Ct Rosharon, TX	3.0	2.5	2004	$2,200	$1.10	43d	1	0.97mi
6927 Ventura Dr Rosharon, TX	5.0	4.0	2771	$3,300	$1.19	43d	1	1.23mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $71 · $852/yr

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-05-11
   status Pending 669-char remark

   Show marketing remark (669 chars)

   A property built to deliver scale, flow, and everyday convenience from the moment you step inside. This 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a 2-car attached garage. The interior features a high-ceiling main living area that connects to the kitchen and dining spaces, creating an open flow for daily use. Upstairs bedrooms provide separation and flexibility, while the wide backyard offers room for general outdoor activities. Located near Highway 6, Fort Bend Tollway, Houston Southwest Airport, and retail options in the Missouri City/Shadow Creek areas, giving reach to nearby services and parks. A well-scaled property ready for in-person review, schedule your showing today!

2. 2026-04-27
   price $249,900 669-char remark

   Show marketing remark (669 chars)

   A property built to deliver scale, flow, and everyday convenience from the moment you step inside. This 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a 2-car attached garage. The interior features a high-ceiling main living area that connects to the kitchen and dining spaces, creating an open flow for daily use. Upstairs bedrooms provide separation and flexibility, while the wide backyard offers room for general outdoor activities. Located near Highway 6, Fort Bend Tollway, Houston Southwest Airport, and retail options in the Missouri City/Shadow Creek areas, giving reach to nearby services and parks. A well-scaled property ready for in-person review, schedule your showing today!

3. 2026-03-28
   status Active 669-char remark

   Show marketing remark (669 chars)

   A property built to deliver scale, flow, and everyday convenience from the moment you step inside. This 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a 2-car attached garage. The interior features a high-ceiling main living area that connects to the kitchen and dining spaces, creating an open flow for daily use. Upstairs bedrooms provide separation and flexibility, while the wide backyard offers room for general outdoor activities. Located near Highway 6, Fort Bend Tollway, Houston Southwest Airport, and retail options in the Missouri City/Shadow Creek areas, giving reach to nearby services and parks. A well-scaled property ready for in-person review, schedule your showing today!

4. 2026-03-27
   price $273,000 669-char remark

   Show marketing remark (669 chars)

   A property built to deliver scale, flow, and everyday convenience from the moment you step inside. This 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a 2-car attached garage. The interior features a high-ceiling main living area that connects to the kitchen and dining spaces, creating an open flow for daily use. Upstairs bedrooms provide separation and flexibility, while the wide backyard offers room for general outdoor activities. Located near Highway 6, Fort Bend Tollway, Houston Southwest Airport, and retail options in the Missouri City/Shadow Creek areas, giving reach to nearby services and parks. A well-scaled property ready for in-person review, schedule your showing today!

5. 2025-12-08
   historical 669-char remark

   Show marketing remark (669 chars)

   A property built to deliver scale, flow, and everyday convenience from the moment you step inside. This 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a 2-car attached garage. The interior features a high-ceiling main living area that connects to the kitchen and dining spaces, creating an open flow for daily use. Upstairs bedrooms provide separation and flexibility, while the wide backyard offers room for general outdoor activities. Located near Highway 6, Fort Bend Tollway, Houston Southwest Airport, and retail options in the Missouri City/Shadow Creek areas, giving reach to nearby services and parks. A well-scaled property ready for in-person review, schedule your showing today!

6. 2025-11-20
   listed $274,900 Active 669-char remark

   Show marketing remark (669 chars)

   A property built to deliver scale, flow, and everyday convenience from the moment you step inside. This 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a 2-car attached garage. The interior features a high-ceiling main living area that connects to the kitchen and dining spaces, creating an open flow for daily use. Upstairs bedrooms provide separation and flexibility, while the wide backyard offers room for general outdoor activities. Located near Highway 6, Fort Bend Tollway, Houston Southwest Airport, and retail options in the Missouri City/Shadow Creek areas, giving reach to nearby services and parks. A well-scaled property ready for in-person review, schedule your showing today!

7. 2025-09-08
   soldstatus
8. 2020-01-13
   soldstatus Sold 1045-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1045 chars)

   * HURRY NOW-11/15/19 FREE WASHER, DRYER, BLINDS, FRIDGE & GARAGE DOOR OPENER * The Sommerville(2394)Floor Plan by Express Homes!Beautiful 2 Story Home features Soaring Ceilings, Gorgeous Wood Looking Vinyl Floors Throughout & The"SMART HOME SYSTEM" w/ Camera Doorbell, Electric Deadbolt Lock, Alexa home system & more. Control the home from anywhere! Stunning Foyer!Elegant Formal Dining Room! Butlers Pantry w/ Sleek Laminate Counters, Tall Cabinets & direct entry into your Gourmet Kitchen w/ Beautiful Laminate Counters, Eat-In Working Island, Tall Cabinets, Tile Back-splash, Stainless Appliances! Family Rm w/ 2 Story High Ceilings & Wall of Windows! Master Down w/ Luxurious Bath featuring Vanity w/ 2 Private Sinks, Separate Shower, Deep Soaker Tub & Walk In Closet! Upstairs 3 Bedrooms, 1 Bath & Huge Game Room!Energy Features:HERS Energy Rated, Tank-less Water Heater & is Certified Energy Smart!No Flooding!Amenities: Covered Picnic Area, Playground, Splash Pad & more!

9. 2019-11-13
   status Pending, Continue to Show 1045-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1045 chars)

   * HURRY NOW-11/15/19 FREE WASHER, DRYER, BLINDS, FRIDGE & GARAGE DOOR OPENER * The Sommerville(2394)Floor Plan by Express Homes!Beautiful 2 Story Home features Soaring Ceilings, Gorgeous Wood Looking Vinyl Floors Throughout & The"SMART HOME SYSTEM" w/ Camera Doorbell, Electric Deadbolt Lock, Alexa home system & more. Control the home from anywhere! Stunning Foyer!Elegant Formal Dining Room! Butlers Pantry w/ Sleek Laminate Counters, Tall Cabinets & direct entry into your Gourmet Kitchen w/ Beautiful Laminate Counters, Eat-In Working Island, Tall Cabinets, Tile Back-splash, Stainless Appliances! Family Rm w/ 2 Story High Ceilings & Wall of Windows! Master Down w/ Luxurious Bath featuring Vanity w/ 2 Private Sinks, Separate Shower, Deep Soaker Tub & Walk In Closet! Upstairs 3 Bedrooms, 1 Bath & Huge Game Room!Energy Features:HERS Energy Rated, Tank-less Water Heater & is Certified Energy Smart!No Flooding!Amenities: Covered Picnic Area, Playground, Splash Pad & more!

10. 2019-11-06
    price $248,990 1045-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1045 chars)

    * HURRY NOW-11/15/19 FREE WASHER, DRYER, BLINDS, FRIDGE & GARAGE DOOR OPENER * The Sommerville(2394)Floor Plan by Express Homes!Beautiful 2 Story Home features Soaring Ceilings, Gorgeous Wood Looking Vinyl Floors Throughout & The"SMART HOME SYSTEM" w/ Camera Doorbell, Electric Deadbolt Lock, Alexa home system & more. Control the home from anywhere! Stunning Foyer!Elegant Formal Dining Room! Butlers Pantry w/ Sleek Laminate Counters, Tall Cabinets & direct entry into your Gourmet Kitchen w/ Beautiful Laminate Counters, Eat-In Working Island, Tall Cabinets, Tile Back-splash, Stainless Appliances! Family Rm w/ 2 Story High Ceilings & Wall of Windows! Master Down w/ Luxurious Bath featuring Vanity w/ 2 Private Sinks, Separate Shower, Deep Soaker Tub & Walk In Closet! Upstairs 3 Bedrooms, 1 Bath & Huge Game Room!Energy Features:HERS Energy Rated, Tank-less Water Heater & is Certified Energy Smart!No Flooding!Amenities: Covered Picnic Area, Playground, Splash Pad & more!

11. 2019-10-15
    price $250,990 1045-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1045 chars)

    * HURRY NOW-11/15/19 FREE WASHER, DRYER, BLINDS, FRIDGE & GARAGE DOOR OPENER * The Sommerville(2394)Floor Plan by Express Homes!Beautiful 2 Story Home features Soaring Ceilings, Gorgeous Wood Looking Vinyl Floors Throughout & The"SMART HOME SYSTEM" w/ Camera Doorbell, Electric Deadbolt Lock, Alexa home system & more. Control the home from anywhere! Stunning Foyer!Elegant Formal Dining Room! Butlers Pantry w/ Sleek Laminate Counters, Tall Cabinets & direct entry into your Gourmet Kitchen w/ Beautiful Laminate Counters, Eat-In Working Island, Tall Cabinets, Tile Back-splash, Stainless Appliances! Family Rm w/ 2 Story High Ceilings & Wall of Windows! Master Down w/ Luxurious Bath featuring Vanity w/ 2 Private Sinks, Separate Shower, Deep Soaker Tub & Walk In Closet! Upstairs 3 Bedrooms, 1 Bath & Huge Game Room!Energy Features:HERS Energy Rated, Tank-less Water Heater & is Certified Energy Smart!No Flooding!Amenities: Covered Picnic Area, Playground, Splash Pad & more!

12. 2019-10-07
    price $251,990 1045-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1045 chars)

    * HURRY NOW-11/15/19 FREE WASHER, DRYER, BLINDS, FRIDGE & GARAGE DOOR OPENER * The Sommerville(2394)Floor Plan by Express Homes!Beautiful 2 Story Home features Soaring Ceilings, Gorgeous Wood Looking Vinyl Floors Throughout & The"SMART HOME SYSTEM" w/ Camera Doorbell, Electric Deadbolt Lock, Alexa home system & more. Control the home from anywhere! Stunning Foyer!Elegant Formal Dining Room! Butlers Pantry w/ Sleek Laminate Counters, Tall Cabinets & direct entry into your Gourmet Kitchen w/ Beautiful Laminate Counters, Eat-In Working Island, Tall Cabinets, Tile Back-splash, Stainless Appliances! Family Rm w/ 2 Story High Ceilings & Wall of Windows! Master Down w/ Luxurious Bath featuring Vanity w/ 2 Private Sinks, Separate Shower, Deep Soaker Tub & Walk In Closet! Upstairs 3 Bedrooms, 1 Bath & Huge Game Room!Energy Features:HERS Energy Rated, Tank-less Water Heater & is Certified Energy Smart!No Flooding!Amenities: Covered Picnic Area, Playground, Splash Pad & more!

13. 2019-10-01
    price $250,990 1045-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1045 chars)

    * HURRY NOW-11/15/19 FREE WASHER, DRYER, BLINDS, FRIDGE & GARAGE DOOR OPENER * The Sommerville(2394)Floor Plan by Express Homes!Beautiful 2 Story Home features Soaring Ceilings, Gorgeous Wood Looking Vinyl Floors Throughout & The"SMART HOME SYSTEM" w/ Camera Doorbell, Electric Deadbolt Lock, Alexa home system & more. Control the home from anywhere! Stunning Foyer!Elegant Formal Dining Room! Butlers Pantry w/ Sleek Laminate Counters, Tall Cabinets & direct entry into your Gourmet Kitchen w/ Beautiful Laminate Counters, Eat-In Working Island, Tall Cabinets, Tile Back-splash, Stainless Appliances! Family Rm w/ 2 Story High Ceilings & Wall of Windows! Master Down w/ Luxurious Bath featuring Vanity w/ 2 Private Sinks, Separate Shower, Deep Soaker Tub & Walk In Closet! Upstairs 3 Bedrooms, 1 Bath & Huge Game Room!Energy Features:HERS Energy Rated, Tank-less Water Heater & is Certified Energy Smart!No Flooding!Amenities: Covered Picnic Area, Playground, Splash Pad & more!

14. 2019-09-30
    listed $251,990 Active 1045-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1045 chars)

    * HURRY NOW-11/15/19 FREE WASHER, DRYER, BLINDS, FRIDGE & GARAGE DOOR OPENER * The Sommerville(2394)Floor Plan by Express Homes!Beautiful 2 Story Home features Soaring Ceilings, Gorgeous Wood Looking Vinyl Floors Throughout & The"SMART HOME SYSTEM" w/ Camera Doorbell, Electric Deadbolt Lock, Alexa home system & more. Control the home from anywhere! Stunning Foyer!Elegant Formal Dining Room! Butlers Pantry w/ Sleek Laminate Counters, Tall Cabinets & direct entry into your Gourmet Kitchen w/ Beautiful Laminate Counters, Eat-In Working Island, Tall Cabinets, Tile Back-splash, Stainless Appliances! Family Rm w/ 2 Story High Ceilings & Wall of Windows! Master Down w/ Luxurious Bath featuring Vanity w/ 2 Private Sinks, Separate Shower, Deep Soaker Tub & Walk In Closet! Upstairs 3 Bedrooms, 1 Bath & Huge Game Room!Energy Features:HERS Energy Rated, Tank-less Water Heater & is Certified Energy Smart!No Flooding!Amenities: Covered Picnic Area, Playground, Splash Pad & more!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $9,242 · $770/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $9,242 · $770/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $34,571
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,998
• − Property taxes: −$9,242
• − Insurance: −$1,250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,766
• − Management: −$2,766
• − HOA: −$852
• − Depreciation: −$7,270
• Taxable loss: −$3,572
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$857
• After-tax cash flow: $1,099/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Fort Bend ISD
• NCES district ID: 4819650
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $82,360
• Composite: 44.61/100
• National rank: #2779
• State rank: #140 of 826 in TX

Livability — Sienna

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Brazoria County · 374,982 people
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 52,747
• Household income: $119,287
• Rent vs Own: 9.8% rent · 90.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 251.0

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,004,526 people
• By 2030: 1,153,104 · +14.8%
• By 2040: 1,453,718 · +44.7%
• By 2050: 1,753,781 · +74.6%
• By 2075: 2,455,772 · +144.5%
• By 2100: 2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 34% White 20% Two or more races 18% Asian 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 31% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -120.19%
• Current HPI: 198.6559
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.44%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-0.8% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-11 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-04-27 Price Changed $249,900 HARMLS
• 2026-03-28 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2026-03-27 Price Changed $273,000 HARMLS
• 2025-12-08 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-11-20 Listed $274,900 HARMLS
• 2025-09-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2020-01-13 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2019-11-13 Pending — HARMLS
• 2019-11-06 Price Changed $248,990 HARMLS
• 2019-10-15 Price Changed $250,990 HARMLS
• 2019-10-07 Price Changed $251,990 HARMLS
• 2019-10-01 Price Changed $250,990 HARMLS
• 2019-09-30 Listed $251,990 HARMLS

Property tax history

+52.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,242 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.