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78 1st St Multi-family
D- Composite 37.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0

$289,900

78 1st St · Albany, NY 12210
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,078 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1991 2,613 sqft lot $140/sqft · 6% below area Est $307k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

10 YEAR OLD TWO FAMILY WITH SECURITY SYSTEM, DECK AND FENCED BACK YARD. INTERIOR WORK IS NEEDED, BUT GREAT INVESTMENT FOR DO-IT-YOURSELFER. Poor Condition

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Albany skyline views
  • Garden apartment

Tags

GARDEN APARTMENTALBANY SKYLINE VIEWSSEPARATE UTILITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property has 2 total rental units; Tenants pay hot water, heat, internet, cable TV, electricity, and gas; Owner pays grounds care

Exterior

  • Parking: Two off-street driveway parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Duplex; 3 stories (units occupy multiple levels); Entry facing directions not specified
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Composite deck; Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Unit 1: 1 kitchen (1st floor); Unit 2: 1 kitchen (2nd floor)
  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms (both on 1st floor); Unit 2: 3 bedrooms (all on 3rd floor)
  • Bathrooms: Total of 3 bathrooms (2 full, 1 half); Unit 1: 1 full bath (1st floor); Unit 2: 1 full bath (3rd floor) and 1 half bath (2nd floor)
  • Interior features: Slab foundation; Road frontage; Views; Cleared lot
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in bathroom and on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-342 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (20.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (30.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albany City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $290k implies a 287% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $201,576 (30.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.88%
Cash-on-cash
-5.06%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$306,799
List price
$289,900
Delta
-5.51%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
39-47 Ten Broeck Pl 0.15mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,936 (-7%) 5mo $160,000 $83 72
193 Livingston Ave 0.24mi 4/2.0 2,244 (+8%) 2mo $194,000 $86 72
179 Lancaster St 0.54mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,016 (-3%) 5mo $200,000 $99 58
149 Jefferson St 0.74mi 4/2.0 2,016 (-3%) 5mo $325,000 $161 55
9 Pennsylvania Ave 0.56mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,960 (-6%) 4mo $225,000 $115 54
246 1st St 0.45mi 4/2.0 1,860 (-10%) 9mo $185,000 $99 52
144 Jay St 0.57mi 4/2.0 2,220 (+7%) 14mo $325,000 $146 49
339 Hudson Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,160 (+4%) 14mo $370,000 $171 45
436 Clinton Ave 0.67mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,180 (+5%) 12mo $120,000 $55 43
369 Madison Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,280 (+10%) 4mo $230,000 $101 41
279 Lark St 0.70mi 4/3.0 2,309 (+11%) 13mo $325,000 $141 36
314 Hudson Ave 0.64mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,350 (+13%) 13mo $470,000 $200 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.9%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-60,665
Equity at exit
$43,225
10-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-44,821
Equity at exit
$25,065

Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12210

Home prices YoY
-2.3%
Rents YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,016 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,520
Tax from tax record
$294 /mo · $3,526/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$423
Net cashflow
$-342

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,449
Max offer price $229,410
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-178 -5% $-260 +0% $-342 +5% $-424 +10% $-507
Rent -10% $-502 -5% $-422 +0% $-342 +5% $-263 +10% $-183
Rate -1.0pp $-196 -0.5pp $-269 base $-342 +0.5pp $-418 +1.0pp $-494

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,475
Closing costs
$8,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
32 1st St Albany, NY 4.0 1.5 1773 $1,850 $1.04 45d 1 0.12mi
282 Livingston Ave Albany, NY 3.0 1.5 1464 $2,400 $1.64 24d 1 0.42mi
346 Madison Ave Albany, NY 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,495 $1.66 24d 1 0.75mi
201 Park Ave Unit 10 Albany, NY 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,100 $1.31 45d 1 0.93mi
119 Grand St Albany, NY 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,300 $0.81 45d 1 0.95mi
147 Western Ave Albany, NY 3.0 1.0 1428 $1,800 $1.26 15d 1 1.06mi
178 Western Ave Unit 3 Albany, NY 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,725 $1.15 15d 1 1.14mi
154 Spring St Albany, NY 3.0 1.0 2500 $1,695 $0.68 45d 1 1.23mi
257 Quail St Albany, NY 4.0 2.5 2208 $2,800 $1.27 45d 1 1.31mi
624 N Pearl St Unit 1st floor Albany, NY 4.0 2.0 1800 $1,950 $1.08 15d 1 1.38mi
546 Mercer St Unit 1 Albany, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 1283-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $289,900 Active 1283-char remark
  3. 2001-12-12
    soldstatus $75,000
  4. 2001-07-27
    soldstatus $27,905 154-char remark
    Show marketing remark (154 chars)

    10 YEAR OLD TWO FAMILY WITH SECURITY SYSTEM, DECK AND FENCED BACK YARD. INTERIOR WORK IS NEEDED, BUT GREAT INVESTMENT FOR DO-IT-YOURSELFER. Poor Condition

  5. 2001-07-25
    soldstatus $27,905
  6. 2001-04-26
    listed $27,500 154-char remark
    Show marketing remark (154 chars)

    10 YEAR OLD TWO FAMILY WITH SECURITY SYSTEM, DECK AND FENCED BACK YARD. INTERIOR WORK IS NEEDED, BUT GREAT INVESTMENT FOR DO-IT-YOURSELFER. Poor Condition

  7. 2001-01-05
    soldstatus $58,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,526 · $294/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,213 · $351/mo
Expected delta
+$687/yr (+$57/mo · 19.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,189
− Mortgage interest
−$16,239
− Property taxes
−$3,526
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,935
− Management
−$1,935
− Depreciation
−$8,433
Taxable loss
−$9,329
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,239
After-tax cash flow
$-1,870/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albany City School District
NCES district ID
3602460
Math proficiency
37% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,568
Composite
32.34/100
National rank
#5744
State rank
#543 of 590 in NY

Livability — Albany

Score
79/100
State rank
#129
US rank
#2083

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albany, NY
County
Albany County · 196,626 people
City population
116,921
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
10,297
Household income
$55,843
Rent vs Own
75.3% rent · 24.7% own
Severe rent burden
1211.0

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.92%
Current HPI
252.3084
Rent YoY
▲ 6.86%
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+399.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $289,900 Global MLS
  • 2001-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2001-07-27 Sold (MLS) $27,905 Global MLS
  • 2001-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $27,905 Public Records
  • 2001-04-26 Listed $27,500 Global MLS
  • 2001-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,526 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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