5285 Wardell Rd · Claypool Hill, VA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch-style home offers the ease of single-level living in a quiet rural setting. The layout is practical and functional, providing comfortable everyday living. The exterior features low-maintenance vinyl siding and a durable metal roof, along with a covered front porch that offers a welcoming place to relax. Around back, a large open deck provides additional outdoor space, while the spacious backyard offers plenty of room for a variety of uses. Inside, the home includes all kitchen appliances and is equipped with insulated windows for added efficiency. A large crawl space provides excellent storage and easy access to the home's systems, adding to the property's overall functionality. The home is served by a private well. With its combination of single-level living, outdoor space, affordable price and a peaceful location, this property offers a great opportunity to enjoy country living.
Key facts
- Durable metal roof
- Covered front porch
- Spacious backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-446/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (5.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (20.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $95k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#485 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Tazewell County Public School District (town): math 67% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #21 of 131 in VA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $316 of equity ($823 loan paydown + $-507 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
- Tazewell County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.06%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,910
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- -14.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5285 Wardell Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (0%) | 1mo | $112,000 | $108 | 99 |
| 5366 Wardell Rd | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,060 (+2%) | 12mo | $18,222 | $17 | 83 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.43% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-8,218
- Equity at exit
- $32,039
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,762
- Equity at exit
- $36,559
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24637
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $951 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $582/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $-37
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-04$119,000 Active 922-char remark
Show marketing remark (922 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch-style home offers the ease of single-level living in a quiet rural setting. The layout is practical and functional, providing comfortable everyday living. The exterior features low-maintenance vinyl siding and a durable metal roof, along with a covered front porch that offers a welcoming place to relax. Around back, a large open deck provides additional outdoor space, while the spacious backyard offers plenty of room for a variety of uses. Inside, the home includes all kitchen appliances and is equipped with insulated windows for added efficiency. A large crawl space provides excellent storage and easy access to the home's systems, adding to the property's overall functionality. The home is served by a private well. With its combination of single-level living, outdoor space, affordable price and a peaceful location, this property offers a great opportunity to enjoy country living.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $582 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $976 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$394/yr (+$33/mo · 67.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥88°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,414
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$582
- − Insurance
- −$1,392
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$913
- − Management
- −$913
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$2,514
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$603
- After-tax cash flow
- $158/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tazewell County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103810
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,003
- Composite
- 60.16/100
- National rank
- #865
- State rank
- #21 of 131 in VA
Livability — Claypool Hill
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #485
- US rank
- #21221
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,595
Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,275 people
- By 2030
- 35,719 · -6.7%
- By 2040
- 30,875 · -19.3%
- By 2050
- 26,798 · -30.0%
- By 2075
- 19,286 · -49.6%
- By 2100
- 13,631 · -64.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.9) · D 15.3% · R 84.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.0pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -68.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.9 2020: R+67.2 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.43%
- Current HPI
- 160.9238
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Listed $119,000 SWVAR
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $582 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…