CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5285 Wardell Rd
C- Composite 54.76
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.9/15.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,000

5285 Wardell Rd · Claypool Hill, VA 24637
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1988 0.49 ac lot $114/sqft · 14% below area Est $139k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch-style home offers the ease of single-level living in a quiet rural setting. The layout is practical and functional, providing comfortable everyday living. The exterior features low-maintenance vinyl siding and a durable metal roof, along with a covered front porch that offers a welcoming place to relax. Around back, a large open deck provides additional outdoor space, while the spacious backyard offers plenty of room for a variety of uses. Inside, the home includes all kitchen appliances and is equipped with insulated windows for added efficiency. A large crawl space provides excellent storage and easy access to the home's systems, adding to the property's overall functionality. The home is served by a private well. With its combination of single-level living, outdoor space, affordable price and a peaceful location, this property offers a great opportunity to enjoy country living.

Key facts

  • Durable metal roof
  • Covered front porch
  • Spacious backyard

Tags

SINGLE-LEVEL LIVINGLOW-MAINTENANCE VINYL SIDINGDURABLE METAL ROOFCOVERED FRONT PORCHLARGE OPEN DECKSPACIOUS BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-446/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (5.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (20.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#485 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tazewell County Public School District (town): math 67% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #21 of 131 in VA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $316 of equity ($823 loan paydown + $-507 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Tazewell County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,115 (20.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.06%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,910
List price
$119,000
Delta
-14.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5285 Wardell Rd 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,040 (0%) 1mo $112,000 $108 99
5366 Wardell Rd 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,060 (+2%) 12mo $18,222 $17 83

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.43% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-8,218
Equity at exit
$32,039
10-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$2,762
Equity at exit
$36,559

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24637

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$951 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $582/yr
Insurance
$50
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$-37

Break-even live

Break-even rent $998
Max offer price $112,435
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-04-04
    listed $119,000 Active 922-char remark
    Show marketing remark (922 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch-style home offers the ease of single-level living in a quiet rural setting. The layout is practical and functional, providing comfortable everyday living. The exterior features low-maintenance vinyl siding and a durable metal roof, along with a covered front porch that offers a welcoming place to relax. Around back, a large open deck provides additional outdoor space, while the spacious backyard offers plenty of room for a variety of uses. Inside, the home includes all kitchen appliances and is equipped with insulated windows for added efficiency. A large crawl space provides excellent storage and easy access to the home's systems, adding to the property's overall functionality. The home is served by a private well. With its combination of single-level living, outdoor space, affordable price and a peaceful location, this property offers a great opportunity to enjoy country living.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$582 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$976 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$394/yr (+$33/mo · 67.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥88°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,414
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$582
− Insurance
−$1,392
− Repairs & maintenance
−$913
− Management
−$913
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable loss
−$2,514
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$603
After-tax cash flow
$158/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tazewell County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103810
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,003
Composite
60.16/100
National rank
#865
State rank
#21 of 131 in VA

Livability — Claypool Hill

Score
58/100
State rank
#485
US rank
#21221

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,595

Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,275 people
By 2030
35,719 · -6.7%
By 2040
30,875 · -19.3%
By 2050
26,798 · -30.0%
By 2075
19,286 · -49.6%
By 2100
13,631 · -64.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 0%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.9) · D 15.3% · R 84.2%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -68.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.9 2020: R+67.2 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.43%
Current HPI
160.9238
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $119,000 SWVAR

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $582 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…