517 Mulberry St · Peru, NE
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.5/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$37,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cash only. 1-story ranch situated on almost 0.75 acres. Fix and hold as a rental or renovate to build equity. Plenty of yard space and opportunity to add value.
Key facts
- Plenty of yard space
- Almost 0.75 acres
- 1 story ranch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($861 rent vs $38k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#297 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, schools F.
- Auburn Public Schools (town): math 49% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #58 of 111 in NE (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Nemaha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($259 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (9.0% local appreciation)).
- Nemaha County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (9.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $38k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.67%
- DSCR
- 3.21
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,819
- List price
- $37,500
- Delta
- -37.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
8.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.34×
- Total profit
- $45,558
- Equity at exit
- $31,067
- IRR
- 56.5%
- Equity multiple
- 11.66×
- Total profit
- $111,880
- Equity at exit
- $64,302
Cash invested: $10,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68421
- Home prices YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $861 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$197
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $397/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$181
- Net cashflow
- $435
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $456 | -5% $445 | +0% $435 | +5% $424 | +10% $413 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $367 | -5% $401 | +0% $435 | +5% $469 | +10% $503 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $454 | -0.5pp $444 | base $435 | +0.5pp $425 | +1.0pp $415 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,375
- Closing costs
- $1,125
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-22price $37,500 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Cash only. 1-story ranch situated on almost 0.75 acres. Fix and hold as a rental or renovate to build equity. Plenty of yard space and opportunity to add value.
-
2026-02-27$45,000 New 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Cash only. 1-story ranch situated on almost 0.75 acres. Fix and hold as a rental or renovate to build equity. Plenty of yard space and opportunity to add value.
-
2025-12-11historical
-
2025-11-18$45,000 New
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2010-04-18soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $397 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $649 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- +$251/yr (+$21/mo · 63.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,330
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,101
- − Property taxes
- −$397
- − Insurance
- −$188
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$826
- − Management
- −$826
- − Depreciation
- −$1,091
- Taxable income
- $4,901
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,176
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,040/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3103330
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,761
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2807
- State rank
- #58 of 111 in NE
Livability — Peru
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #11229
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peru, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,019
Population outlook (Nemaha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,018 people
- By 2030
- 6,911 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 6,730 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 6,738 · -4.0%
- By 2075
- 7,053 · +0.5%
- By 2100
- 7,347 · +4.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Romanian 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nemaha
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.7) · D 26.8% · R 71.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.0pp toward R · 2008: -25.7pp · 2024: -44.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.7 2020: R+43.9 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+28.5 2008: R+25.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.99%
- Current HPI
- 166.0307
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+150.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $37,500 GPRMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $45,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-12-11 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $45,000 GPRMLS
- 2010-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $397 · -13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…