529 Tambay Dr · Fultondale, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FRESHENED UP. READY FOR NEW FAMILY. RECENT PAINT A/C COMPRESSOR, WATER HEATER, SOME NEW CARPET. INGROUND POOL, NEW LINER WILL BE INSTALLED WHEN THE WEATHER WARMS UP- FENCED FOR SAFETY.
Key facts
- Inground pool
- Fenced backyard
- 0.47 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Quarterly garbage fee of $75
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Internet availability unknown
- Home design: Brick over foundation construction; Basement foundation; Existing/established property
- Construction: Brick over foundation; Basement foundation
- Exterior features: In-ground personal pool; No patio, deck, or garden listed; Lot not in a floodplain; Approximately 0.47 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Two additional bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Subflooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: No heat; No air conditioning
- Interior features: Subflooring throughout; One wood-burning fireplace with brick surround located in the den; Pull-down attic; Full finished daylight basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room located in the basement; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $904 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 4.7% in Fultondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#51 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Fultondale Elementary School (math 6% / reading 30%, grade F, #481 of 627 statewide, top 77%, 982 students, 49% FRL); Fultondale High School (math 3% / reading 23%, grade F, #236 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 635 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 49% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,772/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 594% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.44%
- DSCR
- 3.16
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $257,412
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 521 Tambay Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 2,100 (-7%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $110 | 84 |
| 521 Lynnwood Cir | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,234 (-1%) | 20mo | $176,000 | $79 | 69 |
| 725 Parker Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 2,224 (-2%) | 9mo | $330,000 | $148 | 62 |
| 3102 Willow Ln | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 2,054 (-9%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $122 | 61 |
| 731 Parker Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 2,419 (+7%) | 11mo | $274,900 | $114 | 58 |
| 917 Calvary Crossings | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 2,448 (+8%) | 9mo | $304,000 | $124 | 47 |
| 614 Piney Woods Rd | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,141 (-5%) | 17mo | $75,000 | $35 | 43 |
| 3032 Teresa Dr | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,042 (-10%) | 18mo | $206,000 | $101 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $45,657
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 52.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.28×
- Total profit
- $118,195
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35217
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,772 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $512/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $904
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $949 | -5% $927 | +0% $904 | +5% $882 | +10% $859 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $764 | -5% $834 | +0% $904 | +5% $974 | +10% $1,044 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $944 | -0.5pp $925 | base $904 | +0.5pp $883 | +1.0pp $862 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716 Brookview Dr Gardendale, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,873 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3186 Sayers Rd Fultondale, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 20d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 236 Garrison Rd Gardendale, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,900 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-07$80,000 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $512 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $512 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,262
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$512
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,701
- − Management
- −$1,701
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $10,139
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,433
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Fultondale
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #8334
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fultondale, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 12,240
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,240
- Household income
- $40,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 594.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.54%
- Current HPI
- 117.416
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.58%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
-42.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $80,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2012-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
- 2012-02-23 Sold (MLS) $113,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2012-01-23 Listed $119,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2004-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $512 · +139.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…