412 E Butler St · Bryan, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property needs some TLC, but has great potential. There is a spacious entry with an impressive Open stairway, park across the street and close to downtown. The roof is approximately 4 years old and the furnace and hot water heater are approximately 2 years old There is a small room on the second floor that could be a 4th bedroom, computer area or used as a large closet. The fence along the driveway belongs to the neighboring property
Key facts
- Open stairway
- Close to downtown
- 5,009 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential single-family; Lot on a city street with asphalt road frontage
- HOA & community: Community features include curbs, park, playground, and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: 1 garage space; Driveway; Gravel parking areas; Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (100 amp service); Natural gas connected; Fiber available; Internet available
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); Two levels / two stories; Not attached to other structures; No common walls
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Block foundation; Block, unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Deck; Enclosed porch; Front porch; Rear porch; Partial chain link fencing; Garage(s) as additional structure; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Wall oven; Range hood; Refrigerator; Water heater
- Bedrooms: Upstairs bedrooms (two bedrooms on the upper level)
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Screens on windows; Storm door(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Water softener (owned)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.1% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in OH, #2,623 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Bryan City (town): math 60% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #266 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bryan Elementary (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B, #573 of 1,584 statewide, top 37%, 884 students, 31% FRL); Bryan Middle School/High School (math 57% / reading 66%, grade B-, #231 of 781 statewide, top 30%, 936 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Williams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Williams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5.94M (98%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $100k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.99%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $179,760
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 315 N Williams St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,458 (-3%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $120 | 77 |
| 509 S Lynn St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,524 (+2%) | 5mo | $73,500 | $48 | 68 |
| 321 N Cherry St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,370 (-8%) | 4mo | $72,100 | $53 | 66 |
| 615 S Portland St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (-6%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $160 | 59 |
| 724 S Main St | 0.53mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,437 (-4%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $49 | 58 |
| 316 E Mulberry St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-14%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $108 | 57 |
| 542 S Beech St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (-12%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $110 | 53 |
| 1114 Bavarian Ln | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (-9%) | 1mo | $187,000 | $138 | 52 |
| 411 E Hamilton St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,335 (-11%) | 7mo | $166,000 | $124 | 46 |
| 317 W Perry St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,316 (-12%) | 8mo | $199,050 | $151 | 46 |
| 917 S Walnut St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (-10%) | 8mo | $309,000 | $229 | 46 |
| 323 E South St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,314 (-12%) | 2mo | $139,900 | $106 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $3,123
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $27,642
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43506
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,260 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,525/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $303
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $359 | -5% $331 | +0% $303 | +5% $275 | +10% $246 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $203 | -5% $253 | +0% $303 | +5% $353 | +10% $402 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $353 | -0.5pp $328 | base $303 | +0.5pp $277 | +1.0pp $251 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 448-char remark
-
2026-06-07$99,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,525 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,542 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$17/yr (+$1/mo · 1.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,121
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,525
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,210
- − Management
- −$1,210
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $2,175
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$522
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,113/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bryan City
- NCES district ID
- 3904367
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,709
- Composite
- 52.34/100
- National rank
- #1587
- State rank
- #266 of 656 in OH
Livability — Bryan
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #2623
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bryan, OH
- County
- Williams · 37,585 people
- City population
- 14,691
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,691
- Household income
- $60,705
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3.6
Population outlook (Williams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,125 people
- By 2030
- 35,264 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 33,264 · -7.9%
- By 2050
- 31,072 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 26,553 · -26.5%
- By 2100
- 21,318 · -41.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Williams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.2) · D 25.4% · R 73.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -48.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.2 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.45%
- Current HPI
- 211.2824
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+76.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $99,900 NORIS
- 2026-06-04 Listed $6,042,026 NORIS
- 2014-11-10 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2014-05-03 Listed $79,900 NORIS
- 1994-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,525 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…